Georgia Southern Eagles vs Old Dominion Monarchs Final — October 15, 2026
GASOOffense2026 regular season to dateODU
GASODefenseODUGASORecent formODUGASOHome and roadseason to dateODUGASOLast 10 gamesODURest & travelrest and travel
GASORest & travelODUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Georgia Southern (1-4) visited Old Dominion (1-4) on Thursday, October 15 at 7:30 PM ET.
Georgia Southern has the 82nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 90th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Old Dominion has the 136th-ranked offense and the 25th-ranked defense. When Georgia Southern has the ball, a 82nd-ranked offense (+0.025 EPA per play) meets a 25th-ranked defense (−0.069 allowed); when Old Dominion has it, a 136th-ranked offense (−0.276) meets a 90th-ranked defense (+0.123 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia Southern offense is at 41.7% (121st) and the Old Dominion offense at 36.7% (137th). Georgia Southern scores 23.4 points per game (77th) and allows 29.2 (94th); Old Dominion scores 15.6 (125th) and allows 31.0 (104th).
Georgia Southern is 2-4 and 5-1 against the spread; its last game was a 27-24 loss to James Madison. Old Dominion is 2-4 and 1-5 against the spread; its last game was a 10-3 win over App State.
Georgia Southern closed as a 3.5-point road favorite, with Old Dominion getting the points at home. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 44.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Georgia Southern -162, Old Dominion +134) prices Georgia Southern at 59% and Old Dominion at 41%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Georgia Southern Eagles 23, Old Dominion Monarchs 15
Georgia Southern Eagles won by 8.
- Against the closing spread (Old Dominion Monarchs +3.5): Georgia Southern Eagles covered.
- Combined score 38 vs the closing total of 44.5: Under.
- Georgia Southern Eagles closed at -162 on the moneyline (a 59% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Georgia Southern Eagles.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Georgia Southern Eagles 59%, Old Dominion Monarchs 41%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 8:07 — Georgia Southern Eagles ball, 4th & 13 at GASO 22#25 A.Smith punt 33 yards to the ODU45, out of bounds at ODU45 PENALTY ODU Roughing The Kicker (#28 C.Boykins) 15 yards from GS 22 to GS 37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYGeorgia Southern Eagles 38% → 46% (+8 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 1:10 — Old Dominion Monarchs ball, 2nd & 3 at ODU 41No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ODU46 fumbled by #3 D.Roche at ODU46 forced by #44 N.Eldridge Jr. recovered by GS #0 A.Sears at…Georgia Southern Eagles 56% → 68% (+12 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 13:16 — Georgia Southern Eagles ball, 4th & 3 at ODU 15#95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #41 C.Glenn), clock 13:16Old Dominion Monarchs 25% → 33% (+9 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 10:17 — Old Dominion Monarchs ball, 4th & 5 at GASO 33No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Henicle pass incomplete deep left to #11 T.Johnson thrown to GS 02 broken up by #22 C.Calicut, TURNOVER ON DOWNSGeorgia Southern Eagles 65% → 73% (+8 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 12:03 — Old Dominion Monarchs ball, 2nd & 12 at ODU 12No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ODU14 (#57 L.Bullard)Old Dominion Monarchs 3% → 11% (+8 pts) · Drive 15 in Drive X-Ray
Georgia Southern Eagles won after falling as low as 38% (Q1 8:07).
Game DNA
| Georgia Southern | Points added | Old Dominion |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8 | Passingdropbacks | -14.1 |
| -0.4 | Rushingdesigned runs | -5.2 |
| +4.5 | Explosive plays3 plays · 2 plays | +5.0 |
| -2.2 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -5.9 |
| +1.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.8 |
| +4.2 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +12.3 |
| -0.7 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 7 · 1 of 1 | +2.3 |
| +5.7 | All plays | -4.8 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 13.3 points to Georgia Southern Eagles. The final margin was 8.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Georgia Southern Eagles closed as the market favourite at 59% and won.
The line moved toward Georgia Southern Eagles before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Georgia Southern -3.5 (+105)
Georgia Southern -3.5 (-114)
Old Dominion +125 43%
Old Dominion +134 41%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts224
- Completion %66.1%69th
- Passing yards1,57232nd
- Yards per attempt7.0153rd
- TD–INT11–2
- Rushing yards233190th
- Season line39 carries, 233 yds
- Receiving yards290133rd
- Season line37 catches, 290 yds
- Tackles33224th
- Attempts88
- Completion %54.5%221st
- Passing yards564245th
- Yards per attempt6.4197th
- TD–INT3–4
- Rushing yards34884th
- Season line80 carries, 348 yds
- Receiving yards179336th
- Season line14 catches, 179 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles4197th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Georgia Southern | Old Dominion |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Old Dominion defense | 39.1%114th | 46.0%107th |
| Early-down success rateOld Dominion offense vs Georgia Southern defense | 43.9%80th | 34.7%136th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Old Dominion defense | 41.4%67th | 33.9%30th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOld Dominion offense vs Georgia Southern defense | 38.3%57th | 30.3%120th |
| Explosive play rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Old Dominion defense | 6.2%84th | 6.5%64th |
| Explosive play rateOld Dominion offense vs Georgia Southern defense | 5.5%30th | 5.0%111th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 60.7%9th-highest | 46.7%95th-highest |
On 3rd down Georgia Southern converts 41.4% (67th) against a Old Dominion defense allowing 33.9% (30th).
On 3rd down Old Dominion converts 30.3% (120th) against a Georgia Southern defense allowing 38.3% (57th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Georgia Southern | Old Dominion |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Clay Helton | Ricky Rahne |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 7th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 29–29 | 32–36 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 75–53 | 32–36 |
| Offensive coordinator | Ryan Aplin | Kody Cook / Alex Huettel |
| Defensive coordinator | Mike Mutz | Blake Seiler |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Georgia Southern won 1 and Old Dominion 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Old Dominion 45, Georgia Southern 10 Old Dominion won | ||
| Oct 24, 2024 | Georgia Southern 19, Old Dominion 47 Old Dominion won | ||
| Nov 18, 2023 | Old Dominion 20, Georgia Southern 17 Old Dominion won | ||
| Oct 22, 2022 | Georgia Southern 28, Old Dominion 23 Georgia Southern won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Georgia Southern Eagles
- Georgia Southern Eagles team stats
- Appalachian State Mountaineers at Georgia Southern Eagles (Oct 31)
- James Madison Dukes 27, Georgia Southern Eagles 24 (Oct 10)
- Georgia Southern Eagles 31, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 24 (Oct 3)
Old Dominion Monarchs
- Old Dominion Monarchs team stats
- Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs (Oct 31)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 0, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26 (Oct 24)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Georgia State Panthers 42 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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