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NCAAF · October 24, 2026

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Final — October 24, 2026

Old Dominion Monarchs logo
1-5
0
Quarterback Jaxon Potter
FINAL
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
3-2
26
Quarterback Blake Baker
Saturday, October 24 · 5:00 PM ET
ODUOffense2026 regular season to dateLT
138th−0.286
EPA/play
−0.023101st
138th36.4%
Success %
46.2%78th
126th15.5
PPG
24.078th
ODUDefenseLT
28th−0.054
EPA/play allowed
+0.00949th
81st47.5%
Success % allowed
45.5%53rd
97th29.7
Opp PPG
28.285th
ODURecent formLT
Lvs East Carolina 17-20Lvs James Madison 20-46L@ Georgia State 10-42W@ App State 10-3Lvs Georgia Southern 15-23
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ LSU 14-45L@ Baylor 19-36Wvs Army 31-29Wvs Louisiana 32-31W@ UL Monroe 24-0
2-5
Record
4-2
1-6
ATS
5-1
3-4
Over–under
5-1
ODUHome and roadseason to dateLT
1-3
Home record
3-0
1-2
Road record
1-2
0-4
Home ATS
2-1
1-2
Road ATS
3-0
1-3
Home O/U
3-0
2-1
Road O/U
2-1
ODULast 10 gamesLT
+21-23-3-26-32+7-8
Game by game
+74-31-17+2+1+24
2-5
Last 7
—
-64
Net points
+53
—
Last 6
4-2
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
ODURest & travelLT
9 days
Days of rest
7 days
975 mi1,569 km
Travel to the game
Home
−1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

Old Dominion (1-5) visited Louisiana Tech (3-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 5:00 PM ET.

Old Dominion has the 138th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 28th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech has the 101st-ranked offense and the 49th-ranked defense. When Old Dominion has the ball, a 138th-ranked offense (−0.286 EPA per play) meets a 49th-ranked defense (+0.009 allowed); when Louisiana Tech has it, a 101st-ranked offense (−0.023) meets a 28th-ranked defense (−0.054 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Old Dominion offense is at 36.4% (138th) and the Louisiana Tech offense at 46.2% (78th). Old Dominion scores 15.5 points per game (126th) and allows 29.7 (97th); Louisiana Tech scores 24.0 (78th) and allows 28.2 (85th).

Old Dominion is 2-5 and 1-6 against the spread; its last game was a 23-15 loss to Georgia Southern. Louisiana Tech is 4-2 and 5-1 against the spread; its last game was a 24-0 win over UL Monroe.

Louisiana Tech closed as a 13.5-point favorite at home against Old Dominion. The spread opened at Louisiana Tech -8.5. The total closed at 43.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Old Dominion +410, Louisiana Tech -579) prices Old Dominion at 19% and Louisiana Tech at 81%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Old Dominion Monarchs 0, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won by 26.

  • Against the closing spread (Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -13.5): Louisiana Tech Bulldogs covered.
  • Combined score 26 vs the closing total of 43.5: Under.
  • Louisiana Tech Bulldogs closed at -579 on the moneyline (a 81% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

19%Market at the close81%
Old Dominion MonarchsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
26%Market at the open74%

From open to close the market moved 7 points toward Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Old Dominion Monarchs 19%, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 81%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Market start■ Louisiana Tech■ Old Dominion
 
Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

Old DominionPoints addedLouisiana Tech
-19.2Passingdropbacks
+2.7
-5.6Rushingdesigned runs
-5.3
+2.7Explosive plays1 plays · 5 plays
+13.0
-2.2Turnovers1 giveaways · 0 giveaways
+0.0
+0.5Special teamskicks, punts and returns
-3.0
+7.3Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball
-0.3
+0.0Red zoneTDs on trips: 0 of 0 · 2 of 6
-1.4
-16.5All plays
+5.7
Bar left: Old Dominion gainedBar right: Louisiana Tech gained

The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 21.9 points to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. The final margin was 26.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

Line review

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs closed as the market favourite at 81% and won.

The line moved toward Louisiana Tech Bulldogs before kickoff, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 5
OpenLouisiana Tech -8.5 (-110)
Old Dominion +8.5 (-110)
CloseLouisiana Tech -13.5 (-114)
Old Dominion +13.5 (-105)
Totaldown 2
Open45.5 (o -109 / u -110)
Close43.5 (o -112 / u -109)
Moneyline
OpenOld Dominion +270 26%
Louisiana Tech -332 74%
CloseOld Dominion +410 19%
Louisiana Tech -579 81%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Old Dominion Monarchs logo
Old Dominion
QB · Jaxon Potter
  • Attempts5
  • Completion %40.0%
  • Passing yards12
  • Yards per attempt2.4
  • TD–INT0–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Devin Roche
  • Rushing yards373100th
  • Season line95 carries, 373 yds
Leading receiver (WR) · TJ Johnson
  • Receiving yards262224th
  • Season line16 catches, 262 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (S) · Lucas Struck
  • Tackles5249th
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
Louisiana Tech
QB · Blake Baker
  • Attempts99
  • Completion %68.7%26th
  • Passing yards857211th
  • Yards per attempt8.744th
  • TD–INT9–1
Leading rusher (RB) · Andrew Burnette
  • Rushing yards286181st
  • Season line65 carries, 286 yds, 1 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jalen Mickens
  • Receiving yards47643rd
  • Season line32 catches, 476 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Alonzo Jackson Jr.
  • Tackles41173rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationOld DominionLouisiana Tech
Early-down success rateOld Dominion offense vs Louisiana Tech defense35.0%136th40.6%33rd
Early-down success rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Old Dominion defense46.0%106th45.8%38th
3rd-down conversion rateOld Dominion offense vs Louisiana Tech defense30.7%123rd46.6%113th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Old Dominion defense33.3%21st39.0%83rd
Explosive play rateOld Dominion offense vs Louisiana Tech defense4.8%123rd10.6%136th
Explosive play rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Old Dominion defense6.3%47th6.6%76th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks47.3%97th-highest51.3%65th-highest

On 3rd down Old Dominion converts 30.7% (123rd) against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 46.6% (113th).

On 3rd down Louisiana Tech converts 39.0% (83rd) against a Old Dominion defense allowing 33.3% (21st).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffOld DominionLouisiana Tech
Head coachRicky RahneSonny Cumbie
Tenureat this school7th season5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below32–3723–33
Career recordas an FBS head coach32–3725–36
Offensive coordinatorKody Cook / Alex HuettelNathan Young
Defensive coordinatorBlake SeilerLuke Olson

Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Old Dominion won 1 and Louisiana Tech 0.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 30, 2021Louisiana Tech 20, Old Dominion 23
Old Dominion won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

Old Dominion Monarchs

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

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