New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams Final — September 21, 2026


Final score and result vs the closing line
New York Giants 6, Los Angeles Rams 28
Los Angeles Rams won by 22.
- Against the closing spread (Los Angeles Rams -6.5): Los Angeles Rams covered.
- Combined score 34 vs the closing total of 47.5: Under.
- Los Angeles Rams closed at -299 on the moneyline (a 72% no-vig market-implied chance).
The pre-game matchup
The Giants (1-0) visited the Rams (0-1) at SoFi Stadium on Monday, September 21 at 8:15 PM ET in Week 2.
The Giants have the 2nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 27th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Rams have the 29th-ranked offense and the 25th-ranked defense. When the Giants have the ball, a 2nd-ranked offense (+0.369 EPA per play) meets a 25th-ranked defense (+0.179 allowed); when the Rams have it, a 29th-ranked offense (−0.265) meets a 27th-ranked defense (+0.221 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Giants offense is at 60.0% (2nd) and the Rams offense at 42.9% (16th). Through the air, the Giants average +0.667 EPA per dropback (2nd) against a Rams pass defense ranked 22nd; the Rams average −0.352 (29th) against a Giants pass defense ranked 26th. The Giants score 28.0 points per game (12th) and allow 20.0 (10th); the Rams score 7.0 (32nd) and allow 27.0 (18th).
Jaxson Dart has a 74.4% success rate (1st of 32 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Matthew Stafford's 30.8% (31st). Per dropback, Dart is at +0.667 EPA to Stafford's −0.449, with 3 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions to Stafford's 0 and 1.
The Giants are 1-0 and 1-0 against the spread; their last game was a 28-20 win over the Cowboys. The Rams are 0-1 and 0-1 against the spread; their last game was a 27-7 loss to the 49ers.
The Rams closed as 6.5-point favorites at home against the Giants. The spread opened at Rams -7. The total closed at 47.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Giants +240, Rams -299) prices the Giants at 28% and the Rams at 72%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Tale of the tape
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Quarterback matchup
- Dropbacks33
- Success rate74.4%1st
- EPA per dropback+0.6672nd
- Completion %79.3%2nd
- CPOE+13.44th
- Yards per attempt7.912th
- TD–INT3–0
- Sack rate6.1%16th
- Dropbacks25
- Success rate30.8%31st
- EPA per dropback−0.44931st
- Completion %60.0%24th
- CPOE−4.724th
- Yards per attempt6.222nd
- TD–INT0–1
- Sack rate0.0%1st
Primary passer = most dropbacks over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among 32 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game). Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
Players to watch
Malik Nabers leads the Giants wide receivers with 69 receiving yards (19th of 82 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 31.0%. Cam Skattebo has 81 rushing yards on 18 carries (11th of 47 qualified running backs). Puka Nacua leads the Rams wide receivers with 74 receiving yards (17th of 82 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 33.3%. Kyren Williams has 41 rushing yards on 11 carries (30th of 47 qualified running backs).
- Carries18
- Rush yards8111th
- Yards per carry4.520th
- EPA per rush−0.03623rd
- Rush success rate44.4%18th
- Targets / catches9 / 6
- Receiving yards6919th
- Target share31.0%6th
- Yards per target7.739th
- EPA per target+0.55732nd
- Targets / catches8 / 8
- Receiving yards783rd
- Target share27.6%2nd
- Yards per target9.89th
- EPA per target+1.3792nd
- Carries11
- Rush yards4130th
- Yards per carry3.730th
- EPA per rush+0.10413th
- Rush success rate45.5%17th
- Targets / catches9 / 5
- Receiving yards7417th
- Target share33.3%5th
- Yards per target8.236th
- EPA per target−0.29064th
- Targets / catches2 / 2
- Receiving yards12
- Target share7.4%
- Yards per target6.0
- EPA per target−2.366
Lead back = most carries and lead receivers = most targets over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Giants | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateGiants offense vs Rams defense | 54.5%3rd | 55.8%31st |
| Early-down success rateRams offense vs Giants defense | 41.5%10th | 47.7%10th |
| Early-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Rams defense | +0.2276th | +0.19125th |
| Early-down EPA per playRams offense vs Giants defense | +0.07620th | −0.07922nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGiants offense vs Rams defense | 90.0%1st | 58.3%29th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRams offense vs Giants defense | 72.7%31st | 22.2%26th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Rams defense | +1.1491st | +0.12520th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRams offense vs Giants defense | +0.75928th | −0.79329th |
| Red-zone TD rateGiants offense vs Rams defense | 100.0%1st | 66.7%14th |
| Red-zone TD rateRams offense vs Giants defense | 100.0%24th | 33.3%27th |
| Red-zone success rateGiants offense vs Rams defense | 66.7%4th | 50.0%19th |
| Red-zone success rateRams offense vs Giants defense | 44.4%14th | 33.3%22nd |
On early downs the Giants succeed on 54.5% of plays (3rd) against a Rams defense that allows 55.8% (31st); on 3rd down they convert 90.0% (1st) against a defense allowing 58.3% (29th). On early downs the Rams succeed on 47.7% of plays (10th) against a Giants defense that allows 41.5% (10th); on 3rd down they convert 22.2% (26th) against a defense allowing 72.7% (31st). The Giants score touchdowns on 100.0% of red-zone trips (1st). The Rams score touchdowns on 33.3% of red-zone trips (27th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Giants | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | John Harbaugh | Sean McVay |
| Offensive coordinator | Matt Nagy | Nathan Scheelhaase |
| Defensive coordinator | Dennard Wilson | Chris Shula |
| Offense tendencies | Giants | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.6% | −4.1%20th-highest | −17.3%32nd-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 59.9% | 50.8%27th-highest | 51.8%25th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.6% | 47.3%27th-highest | 47.7%25th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 58.6% | 50.8%22nd-highest | 48.2%24th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.8% | 1.5%28th-highest | 12.5%6th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.7 | 38.34th-slowest | 30.824th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 14.9% | 19.4%8th | 10.3%24th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.0% | 0.0%28th | 6.9%17th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 10.6% | 12.5%9th | 7.4%22nd |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.3% | 6.1%15th | 0.0%1st |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 2.20% | 1.54%11th | 3.57%25th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 59.6 | 65.09th-most | 56.020th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 45.7% | — | 2 of 2 |
| Defense | Giants | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.3% | 0.0%28th | 0.0%28th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 14.9% | 8.3%7th | 8.3%7th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.0% | 0.0%1st | 2.8%8th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 10.6% | 0.0%1st | 14.3%27th |
| Takeaways per playleague 2.20% | 1.92%15th | 1.56%20th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.8% | 8.3%27th | 5.6%30th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.8% | 15.2%16th | 27.6%30th |
The Giants run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−4.1% pass rate over expected, 20th-highest), while the Rams sit at −17.3% (32nd-highest). In neutral situations the Giants take 38.3 seconds between snaps and the Rams 30.8, so the Rams play faster.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest. Coaching staff: Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Injury report
- Deonte Banks CBQuestionableCalf
- Kamren Kinchens SOutHamstring
- Puka Nacua WRQuestionableHip
Starters (and the primary passer) on the game's official injury report, as of the latest report captured before kickoff.
Travel and schedule
The Giants have 8 days between games and the Rams 11. The Giants travel about 2,449 miles, moving their body clock 3 hours back.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Recent form and rest
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Against-the-spread and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2015: the Giants won 1 and the Rams 4. In the most recent meeting (December 31, 2023), the Rams won 26-25; the Rams averaged +0.018 EPA per play; the Giants averaged −0.068 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | Rams 26, Giants 25 Rams won | Rams -6 Giants covered | 43.5 over | Rams +0.018 · Giants −0.068 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Rams 38, Giants 11 Rams won | Rams -7.5 Rams covered | 49.5 under | Rams +0.166 · Giants −0.264 |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Giants 9, Rams 17 Rams won | Rams -13.5 Giants covered | 49.5 under | Rams −0.100 · Giants −0.176 |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Rams 51, Giants 17 Rams won | Rams -5.5 Rams covered | 42.5 over | Rams +0.410 · Giants −0.092 |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Giants 17, Rams 10 Giants won | Giants -3 Giants covered | 44.5 under | Rams −0.214 · Giants −0.165 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the nflverse closing lines.
Closing line and line movement
Giants +7 (-103)
Giants +6.5 (-105)
Rams -362 76%
Rams -299 72%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Dig deeper
Teams
New York Giants
- New York Giants team stats
- Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (Oct 4)
- Tennessee Titans 7, New York Giants 12 (Sep 27)
- Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 28 (Sep 13)
Los Angeles Rams
- Los Angeles Rams team stats
- Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles (Oct 4)
- Los Angeles Rams 26, Denver Broncos 30 (Sep 27)
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