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NFL · Week 8 · November 1, 2026

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Los Angeles Chargers logo
0-6
Quarterback Justin Herbert Status pending
at
Los Angeles Rams logo
3-4
Quarterback Matthew Stafford Status pending
Sunday, November 1 · 4:05 PM ETSoFi Stadium · indoorsWeek 8
LACStarting quarterbacksexpected startersLAR
34th−0.240
EPA/dropback
+0.09718th
34th36.8%
Success %
50.0%8th
31st−5.7
CPOE
+1.513th
32nd9.6%
Sack %
3.8%5th
5–8
TD–INT
14–7
219
Dropbacks
290
LACOffense2026 regular season to dateLAR
32nd−0.225
EPA/play
+0.05910th
32nd35.9%
Success %
48.8%4th
32nd−0.241
EPA/dropback
+0.09217th
29th−0.201
EPA/rush
+0.00310th
32nd15.0
PPG
24.311th
LACDefenseLAR
12th−0.036
EPA/play allowed
−0.0575th
16th43.5%
Success % allowed
42.3%10th
10th−0.003
EPA/dropback allowed
−0.0066th
17th−0.074
EPA/rush allowed
−0.1289th
22nd25.2
Opp PPG
22.716th
LACRecent formLAR
Lvs LV 14-26L@ BUF 16-24L@ SEA 23-30Lvs DEN 17-23L@ KC 6-22
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ DEN 26-30W@ PHI 24-20Lvs BUF 34-37Lvs ARI 16-18W@ LV 35-21
0-6
Record
3-4
0-5-1
ATS
3-4
1-5
Over–under
4-3
LACHome and roadseason to dateLAR
0-3
Home record
1-3
0-3
Road record
2-1
0-3
Home ATS
1-3
0-2-1
Road ATS
2-1
0-3
Home O/U
1-3
1-2
Road O/U
3-0
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
LACRest & travelLAR
14 daysoff a bye
Days of rest
7 days
0 mi0 km
Travel to the game
Home
VenueSoFi Stadium
Indoors
About these numbers

Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

The Chargers (0-6) visit the Rams (3-4) at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 4:05 PM ET in Week 8.

The Chargers have the 32nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 12th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Rams have the 10th-ranked offense and the 5th-ranked defense. When the Chargers have the ball, a 32nd-ranked offense (−0.225 EPA per play) meets a 5th-ranked defense (−0.057 allowed); when the Rams have it, a 10th-ranked offense (+0.059) meets a 12th-ranked defense (−0.036 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Chargers offense is at 35.9% (32nd) and the Rams offense at 48.8% (4th). Through the air, the Chargers average −0.241 EPA per dropback (32nd) against a Rams pass defense ranked 6th; the Rams average +0.092 (17th) against a Chargers pass defense ranked 10th. The Chargers score 15.0 points per game (32nd) and allow 25.2 (22nd); the Rams score 24.3 (11th) and allow 22.7 (16th).

Over the last five games, the Chargers rank 32nd on offense and 5th on defense by EPA per play; the Rams rank 11th and 11th.

Matthew Stafford has a 50.0% success rate (8th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Justin Herbert's 36.8% (34th). Per dropback, Stafford is at +0.097 EPA to Herbert's −0.240, with 14 touchdown passes and 7 interceptions to Herbert's 5 and 8.

The Chargers are 0-6 and 0-5-1 against the spread; their last game was a 22-6 loss to the Chiefs. The Rams are 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; their last game was a 35-21 win over the Raiders. The Chargers are coming off a bye.

The Rams are 6.5-point favorites at home against the Chargers. The spread opened at Rams -7.5. The total is 44.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Chargers +240, Rams -300) prices the Chargers at 28% and the Rams at 72%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenRams -7.5 (-107)
Chargers +7.5 (-112)
NowRams -6.5 (-115)
Chargers +6.5 (-105)
Totaldown 1
Open45.5 (o -109 / u -110)
Now44.5 (o -112 / u -108)
Moneyline
OpenChargers +295 24%
Rams -377 76%
NowChargers +240 28%
Rams -300 72%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Chargers +6.5-102DraftKings
  • Rams -6.5-104Novig
  • Over 44.5-109BetRivers
  • Under 44.5+103ProphetX
  • Chargers+270ProphetX
  • Rams-270Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Tre Harris has 225 receiving yards for the Chargers (55th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.1%. Omarion Hampton has 289 rushing yards on 80 carries (26th of 39 qualified running backs). Puka Nacua has 485 receiving yards for the Rams (13th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 32.3%. Kyren Williams has 492 rushing yards on 96 carries (9th of 39 qualified running backs).

Los Angeles Chargers logo
Chargers
RB · Omarion Hampton
  • Carries80
  • Rush yards28926th
  • Yards per carry3.628th
  • EPA per rush−0.26735th
  • Rush success rate33.8%30th
WR · Tre Harris
  • Targets / catches25 / 15
  • Receiving yards22555th
  • Target share18.1%41st
  • Yards per target9.023rd
  • EPA per target+0.21544th
TE · Oronde Gadsden II
  • Targets / catches21 / 12
  • Receiving yards10335th
  • Target share12.1%29th
  • Yards per target4.935th
  • EPA per target−0.52336th
Los Angeles Rams logo
Rams
RB · Kyren Williams
  • Carries96
  • Rush yards4929th
  • Yards per carry5.16th
  • EPA per rush+0.01213th
  • Rush success rate42.7%15th
WR · Puka Nacua
  • Targets / catches62 / 45
  • Receiving yards48513th
  • Target share32.3%3rd
  • Yards per target7.841st
  • EPA per target+0.18949th
TE · Tyler Higbee
  • Targets / catches32 / 26
  • Receiving yards26013th
  • Target share13.3%27th
  • Yards per target8.111th
  • EPA per target+0.19824th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

Early-down success rate35.7% / 48.1%league 43.1%
3rd-down conversion rate34.1% / 45.8%league 40.2%
Red-zone TD rate53.3% / 69.0%league 60.3%
SituationChargersRams
Early-down success rateChargers offense vs Rams defense35.7%31st44.2%21st
Early-down success rateRams offense vs Chargers defense44.6%23rd48.1%3rd
Early-down EPA per playChargers offense vs Rams defense−0.21032nd+0.06325th
Early-down EPA per playRams offense vs Chargers defense+0.01416th+0.0868th
3rd-down conversion rateChargers offense vs Rams defense34.1%29th31.0%5th
3rd-down conversion rateRams offense vs Chargers defense31.9%6th45.8%6th
3rd-down EPA per playChargers offense vs Rams defense−0.18429th−0.4151st
3rd-down EPA per playRams offense vs Chargers defense−0.2646th−0.00613th
Red-zone TD rateChargers offense vs Rams defense53.3%22nd46.2%6th
Red-zone TD rateRams offense vs Chargers defense50.0%9th69.0%7th
Red-zone success rateChargers offense vs Rams defense34.7%30th32.5%5th
Red-zone success rateRams offense vs Chargers defense36.9%8th53.8%3rd

On early downs the Chargers succeed on 35.7% of plays (31st) against a Rams defense that allows 44.2% (21st); on 3rd down they convert 34.1% (29th) against a defense allowing 31.0% (5th). On early downs the Rams succeed on 48.1% of plays (3rd) against a Chargers defense that allows 44.6% (23rd); on 3rd down they convert 45.8% (6th) against a defense allowing 31.9% (6th). The Chargers score touchdowns on 53.3% of red-zone trips (22nd). The Rams score touchdowns on 69.0% of red-zone trips (7th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

Chargers head coachJim Harbaugh
Rams head coachSean McVay
StaffChargersRams
Head coachJim HarbaughSean McVay
Offensive coordinatorMike McDanielNathan Scheelhaase
Defensive coordinatorChris O'LearyChris Shula
Pass rate over expected−10.0% / 0.3%league −1.9%
Seconds per snap33.5 / 32.0league 32.9
Early-down dropback rate51.3% / 60.2%league 55.3%
Offense tendenciesChargersRams
Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9%−10.0%31st-highest0.3%8th-highest
Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9%59.5%20th-highest63.1%12th-highest
Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3%51.3%26th-highest60.2%6th-highest
Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4%67.0%9th-highest51.8%28th-highest
No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4%5.7%15th-highest10.1%5th-highest
Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.933.513th-slowest32.026th-slowest
Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4%13.1%26th14.8%19th
Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5%6.5%28th7.8%23rd
Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4%8.8%18th10.4%12th
Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0%9.5%31st3.7%5th
Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85%3.78%32nd2.34%23rd
Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.361.715th-most66.73rd-most
4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8%1 of 45 of 8
DefenseChargersRams
Sack rate generatedleague 6.0%5.8%18th3.9%28th
Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4%16.3%19th13.4%9th
Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5%9.6%22nd6.7%7th
Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4%10.8%26th7.8%7th
Takeaways per playleague 1.85%2.53%5th1.39%27th
QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5%18.0%5th11.2%30th
QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5%20.5%31st15.0%16th

The Chargers run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−10.0% pass rate over expected, 31st-highest), while the Rams sit at 0.3% (8th-highest). In neutral situations the Chargers take 33.5 seconds between snaps and the Rams 32.0, so the Rams play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Chargers have gone for it 1 of 4 times and the Rams 5 of 8.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Chargers offense
after wk 532ndafter wk 632ndafter wk 732nd
steady
Chargers defense
after wk 56thafter wk 611thafter wk 712th
falling
Rams offense
after wk 59thafter wk 610thafter wk 710th
falling
Rams defense
after wk 510thafter wk 610thafter wk 75th
rising

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2015: the Chargers won 1 and the Rams 1. In the most recent meeting (January 1, 2023), the Chargers won 31-10; the Rams averaged −0.102 EPA per play; the Chargers averaged +0.286 EPA per play.

DateScoreSpreadTotalEPA/play
Jan 1, 2023Rams 10, Chargers 31
Chargers won
Chargers -6.5
Chargers covered
41.5
under
Rams −0.102 · Chargers +0.286
Sep 23, 2018Chargers 23, Rams 35
Rams won
Rams -7.5
Rams covered
49
over
Rams +0.280 · Chargers +0.130

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Rams

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