Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026
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About these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
The Chargers (0-6) visit the Rams (3-4) at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 4:05 PM ET in Week 8.
The Chargers have the 32nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 12th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Rams have the 10th-ranked offense and the 5th-ranked defense. When the Chargers have the ball, a 32nd-ranked offense (−0.225 EPA per play) meets a 5th-ranked defense (−0.057 allowed); when the Rams have it, a 10th-ranked offense (+0.059) meets a 12th-ranked defense (−0.036 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Chargers offense is at 35.9% (32nd) and the Rams offense at 48.8% (4th). Through the air, the Chargers average −0.241 EPA per dropback (32nd) against a Rams pass defense ranked 6th; the Rams average +0.092 (17th) against a Chargers pass defense ranked 10th. The Chargers score 15.0 points per game (32nd) and allow 25.2 (22nd); the Rams score 24.3 (11th) and allow 22.7 (16th).
Over the last five games, the Chargers rank 32nd on offense and 5th on defense by EPA per play; the Rams rank 11th and 11th.
Matthew Stafford has a 50.0% success rate (8th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Justin Herbert's 36.8% (34th). Per dropback, Stafford is at +0.097 EPA to Herbert's −0.240, with 14 touchdown passes and 7 interceptions to Herbert's 5 and 8.
The Chargers are 0-6 and 0-5-1 against the spread; their last game was a 22-6 loss to the Chiefs. The Rams are 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; their last game was a 35-21 win over the Raiders. The Chargers are coming off a bye.
The Rams are 6.5-point favorites at home against the Chargers. The spread opened at Rams -7.5. The total is 44.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Chargers +240, Rams -300) prices the Chargers at 28% and the Rams at 72%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Chargers +7.5 (-112)
Chargers +6.5 (-105)
Rams -377 76%
Rams -300 72%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Chargers +6.5-102DraftKings
- Rams -6.5-104Novig
- Over 44.5-109BetRivers
- Under 44.5+103ProphetX
- Chargers+270ProphetX
- Rams-270Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Tre Harris has 225 receiving yards for the Chargers (55th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.1%. Omarion Hampton has 289 rushing yards on 80 carries (26th of 39 qualified running backs). Puka Nacua has 485 receiving yards for the Rams (13th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 32.3%. Kyren Williams has 492 rushing yards on 96 carries (9th of 39 qualified running backs).
- Carries80
- Rush yards28926th
- Yards per carry3.628th
- EPA per rush−0.26735th
- Rush success rate33.8%30th
- Targets / catches25 / 15
- Receiving yards22555th
- Target share18.1%41st
- Yards per target9.023rd
- EPA per target+0.21544th
- Targets / catches21 / 12
- Receiving yards10335th
- Target share12.1%29th
- Yards per target4.935th
- EPA per target−0.52336th
- Carries96
- Rush yards4929th
- Yards per carry5.16th
- EPA per rush+0.01213th
- Rush success rate42.7%15th
- Targets / catches62 / 45
- Receiving yards48513th
- Target share32.3%3rd
- Yards per target7.841st
- EPA per target+0.18949th
- Targets / catches32 / 26
- Receiving yards26013th
- Target share13.3%27th
- Yards per target8.111th
- EPA per target+0.19824th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Chargers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateChargers offense vs Rams defense | 35.7%31st | 44.2%21st |
| Early-down success rateRams offense vs Chargers defense | 44.6%23rd | 48.1%3rd |
| Early-down EPA per playChargers offense vs Rams defense | −0.21032nd | +0.06325th |
| Early-down EPA per playRams offense vs Chargers defense | +0.01416th | +0.0868th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateChargers offense vs Rams defense | 34.1%29th | 31.0%5th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRams offense vs Chargers defense | 31.9%6th | 45.8%6th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playChargers offense vs Rams defense | −0.18429th | −0.4151st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRams offense vs Chargers defense | −0.2646th | −0.00613th |
| Red-zone TD rateChargers offense vs Rams defense | 53.3%22nd | 46.2%6th |
| Red-zone TD rateRams offense vs Chargers defense | 50.0%9th | 69.0%7th |
| Red-zone success rateChargers offense vs Rams defense | 34.7%30th | 32.5%5th |
| Red-zone success rateRams offense vs Chargers defense | 36.9%8th | 53.8%3rd |
On early downs the Chargers succeed on 35.7% of plays (31st) against a Rams defense that allows 44.2% (21st); on 3rd down they convert 34.1% (29th) against a defense allowing 31.0% (5th). On early downs the Rams succeed on 48.1% of plays (3rd) against a Chargers defense that allows 44.6% (23rd); on 3rd down they convert 45.8% (6th) against a defense allowing 31.9% (6th). The Chargers score touchdowns on 53.3% of red-zone trips (22nd). The Rams score touchdowns on 69.0% of red-zone trips (7th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Chargers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jim Harbaugh | Sean McVay |
| Offensive coordinator | Mike McDaniel | Nathan Scheelhaase |
| Defensive coordinator | Chris O'Leary | Chris Shula |
| Offense tendencies | Chargers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9% | −10.0%31st-highest | 0.3%8th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9% | 59.5%20th-highest | 63.1%12th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3% | 51.3%26th-highest | 60.2%6th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 67.0%9th-highest | 51.8%28th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 5.7%15th-highest | 10.1%5th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 33.513th-slowest | 32.026th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 13.1%26th | 14.8%19th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 6.5%28th | 7.8%23rd |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 8.8%18th | 10.4%12th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0% | 9.5%31st | 3.7%5th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 3.78%32nd | 2.34%23rd |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 61.715th-most | 66.73rd-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8% | 1 of 4 | 5 of 8 |
| Defense | Chargers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.0% | 5.8%18th | 3.9%28th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 16.3%19th | 13.4%9th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 9.6%22nd | 6.7%7th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 10.8%26th | 7.8%7th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 2.53%5th | 1.39%27th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5% | 18.0%5th | 11.2%30th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5% | 20.5%31st | 15.0%16th |
The Chargers run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−10.0% pass rate over expected, 31st-highest), while the Rams sit at 0.3% (8th-highest). In neutral situations the Chargers take 33.5 seconds between snaps and the Rams 32.0, so the Rams play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Chargers have gone for it 1 of 4 times and the Rams 5 of 8.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2015: the Chargers won 1 and the Rams 1. In the most recent meeting (January 1, 2023), the Chargers won 31-10; the Rams averaged −0.102 EPA per play; the Chargers averaged +0.286 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | Rams 10, Chargers 31 Chargers won | Chargers -6.5 Chargers covered | 41.5 under | Rams −0.102 · Chargers +0.286 |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Chargers 23, Rams 35 Rams won | Rams -7.5 Rams covered | 49 over | Rams +0.280 · Chargers +0.130 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Los Angeles Chargers
- Los Angeles Chargers team stats
- Los Angeles Chargers 6, Kansas City Chiefs 22 (Oct 18)
- Denver Broncos 23, Los Angeles Chargers 17 (Oct 11)
- Los Angeles Chargers 23, Seattle Seahawks 30 (Oct 4)
Los Angeles Rams
More NFL games on November 1, 2026
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- Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets (Nov 1)
- Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (Nov 1)
- Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Nov 1)
- Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (Nov 1)
- New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (Nov 1)
- Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders (Nov 1)
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