Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026
LARStarting quarterbacksexpected startersARI
LAROffense2026 regular season to dateARILARDefenseARILARRecent formARILARHome and roadseason to dateARIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
LARRest & travelARILARKey injuriesARIAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
Matchup preview
The Rams (5-4) visit the Cardinals (3-6) at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET in Week 10.
The Rams have the 11th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 4th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have the 21st-ranked offense and the 26th-ranked defense. When the Rams have the ball, a 11th-ranked offense (+0.041 EPA per play) meets a 26th-ranked defense (+0.073 allowed); when the Cardinals have it, a 21st-ranked offense (−0.036) meets a 4th-ranked defense (−0.111 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Rams offense is at 47.8% (5th) and the Cardinals offense at 43.3% (14th). Through the air, the Rams average +0.058 EPA per dropback (17th) against a Cardinals pass defense ranked 31st; the Cardinals average −0.023 (24th) against a Rams pass defense ranked 6th. The Rams score 23.8 points per game (13th) and allow 20.1 (8th); the Cardinals score 19.8 (26th) and allow 28.3 (31st).
Over the last five games, the Rams rank 11th on offense and 7th on defense by EPA per play; the Cardinals rank 20th and 26th.
Matthew Stafford has a 48.6% success rate on 360 dropbacks for the Rams this season.
Carson Beck is in line to start in place of Gardner Minshew, who is listed as injured reserve on the injury report.
The Rams are 5-4 and 5-4 against the spread; their last game was a 20-13 win over the Commanders. The Cardinals are 3-6 and 4-5 against the spread; their last game was a 17-3 loss to the Seahawks.
The Rams are 9.5-point road favorites, with the Cardinals getting the points at home. The spread opened at Rams -7.5. The total is 39.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Rams -480, Cardinals +360) prices the Rams at 79% and the Cardinals at 21%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Rams -7.5 (-106)
Rams -9.5 (-110)
Cardinals +277 25%
Cardinals +360 21%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 14
- Rams -9.5+102Novig
- Cardinals +9.5-106Novig
- Over 39.5-102Novig
- Under 39.5-102ProphetX
- Rams-413Novig
- Cardinals+420ProphetX
Matchup
Players to watch
Puka Nacua has 715 receiving yards for the Rams (7th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 36.0%. Kyren Williams has 593 rushing yards on 127 carries (13th of 41 qualified running backs). Michael Wilson has 546 receiving yards for the Cardinals (15th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.7%. Tyler Allgeier has 369 rushing yards on 89 carries (25th of 41 qualified running backs).
- Carries127
- Rush yards59313th
- Yards per carry4.711th
- EPA per rush−0.00912th
- Rush success rate40.9%19th
- Targets / catches93 / 70
- Receiving yards7157th
- Target share36.0%1st
- Yards per target7.747th
- EPA per target+0.22838th
- Targets / catches23 / 18
- Receiving yards11638th
- Target share8.8%38th
- Yards per target5.037th
- EPA per target−0.07532nd
- Carries89
- Rush yards36925th
- Yards per carry4.121st
- EPA per rush−0.10026th
- Rush success rate32.6%36th
- Targets / catches88 / 51
- Receiving yards54615th
- Target share25.7%14th
- Yards per target6.266th
- EPA per target+0.01765th
- Targets / catches94 / 73
- Receiving yards5982nd
- Target share27.5%1st
- Yards per target6.426th
- EPA per target+0.29015th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Rams | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateRams offense vs Cardinals defense | 48.1%5th | 41.6%8th |
| Early-down success rateCardinals offense vs Rams defense | 41.8%9th | 43.2%14th |
| Early-down EPA per playRams offense vs Cardinals defense | +0.08110th | +0.03321st |
| Early-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Rams defense | +0.00715th | +0.03413th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRams offense vs Cardinals defense | 40.7%13th | 41.1%20th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCardinals offense vs Rams defense | 31.6%4th | 38.2%16th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRams offense vs Cardinals defense | −0.15624th | +0.26032nd |
| 3rd-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Rams defense | −0.4381st | −0.24530th |
| Red-zone TD rateRams offense vs Cardinals defense | 66.7%8th | 68.8%25th |
| Red-zone TD rateCardinals offense vs Rams defense | 46.4%6th | 44.1%30th |
| Red-zone success rateRams offense vs Cardinals defense | 55.1%3rd | 37.4%9th |
| Red-zone success rateCardinals offense vs Rams defense | 32.5%5th | 35.5%29th |
On early downs the Rams succeed on 48.1% of plays (5th) against a Cardinals defense that allows 41.6% (8th); on 3rd down they convert 40.7% (13th) against a defense allowing 41.1% (20th). On early downs the Cardinals succeed on 43.2% of plays (14th) against a Rams defense that allows 41.8% (9th); on 3rd down they convert 38.2% (16th) against a defense allowing 31.6% (4th). The Rams score touchdowns on 66.7% of red-zone trips (8th). The Cardinals score touchdowns on 44.1% of red-zone trips (30th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Rams | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Sean McVay | Mike LaFleur |
| Offensive coordinator | Nathan Scheelhaase | Nathaniel Hackett |
| Defensive coordinator | Chris Shula | Nick Rallis |
| Offense tendencies | Rams | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.2% | 0.3%8th-highest | −0.7%10th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.3% | 61.6%14th-highest | 64.3%7th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.8% | 58.3%10th-highest | 58.8%9th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.7% | 51.5%28th-highest | 59.8%20th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 10.3%4th-highest | 9.7%5th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 31.728th-slowest | 33.018th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 14.0%22nd | 10.5%30th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 6.8%27th | 5.2%31st |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 10.1%13th | 6.5%27th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.3% | 3.6%4th | 6.0%15th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.98% | 2.36%23rd | 1.33%7th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 65.84th-most | 66.72nd-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.6% | 8 of 14 | 11 of 16 |
| Defense | Rams | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.3% | 4.8%29th | 6.5%15th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 14.2%11th | 18.1%26th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 7.4%10th | 10.0%25th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 7.4%6th | 8.3%10th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.98% | 1.82%19th | 1.31%30th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.7% | 11.7%31st | 13.8%25th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.7% | 14.0%8th | 17.4%25th |
The Rams pass more often than down, distance and score would suggest (0.3% pass rate over expected, 8th-highest), while the Cardinals sit at −0.7% (10th-highest). In neutral situations the Rams take 31.7 seconds between snaps and the Cardinals 33.0, so the Rams play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Rams have gone for it 8 of 14 times and the Cardinals 11 of 16.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 24 times since 2015: the Rams won 18 and the Cardinals 6. In the most recent meeting (October 18, 2026), the Cardinals won 18-16; the Cardinals averaged −0.021 EPA per play; the Rams averaged −0.155 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cardinals 18, Rams 16 Cardinals won | Rams -12.5 Cardinals covered | 51.5 under | Cardinals −0.021 · Rams −0.155 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Cardinals 20, Rams 37 Rams won | Rams -14.5 Rams covered | 49.5 over | Cardinals +0.036 · Rams +0.236 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Rams 45, Cardinals 17 Rams won | Rams -9.5 Rams covered | 49.5 over | Cardinals −0.062 · Rams +0.439 |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Cardinals 9, Rams 13 Rams won | Rams -6.5 Cardinals covered | 48 under | Cardinals −0.009 · Rams −0.031 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Rams 10, Cardinals 41 Cardinals won | Rams -1 Cardinals covered | 47.5 over | Cardinals +0.347 · Rams −0.263 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Los Angeles Rams
- Los Angeles Rams team stats
- Los Angeles Rams 20, Washington Commanders 13 (Nov 8)
- Los Angeles Chargers 9, Los Angeles Rams 24 (Nov 1)
- Los Angeles Rams 35, Las Vegas Raiders 21 (Oct 25)
Arizona Cardinals
More NFL games on November 15, 2026
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- Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (Nov 15)
- Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (Nov 15)
- Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Nov 15)
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (Nov 15)
- Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders (Nov 15)
- San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (Nov 15)
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (Nov 15)
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