Anaheim Ducks vs New York Rangers Final — October 19, 2026
ANAStarting goaliesNYR
ANAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NYRANADefenseNYRANATeamNYRANA5-on-5NYRANASpecial teamsNYRANARecent formNYRANAHome and roadseason to dateNYRInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
ANARest & travelNYRANAKey injuriesNYRAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 19, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Ducks (4-3-0) visited the Rangers (6-3-1) on Monday, October 19 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Ducks scored 3.33 goals per game (10th of 32) and allowed 3.51 (29th). The Rangers scored 2.90 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Ducks earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Rangers 47.0% (29th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Ducks 50.5% (15th), Rangers 48.4% (23rd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Ducks 52.4% (6th), Rangers 48.9% (20th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Ducks 47.6% (21st), Rangers 49.0% (17th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ducks +129, Rangers -150) prices the Ducks at 42% and the Rangers at 58%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Rangers 5
New York Rangers won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (New York Rangers -1.5): New York Rangers covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- New York Rangers closed at -150 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Rangers 5
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward New York Rangers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Anaheim Ducks 42%, New York Rangers 58%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 1:18 — New York Rangers goal (0-1)New York Rangers 58% → 72% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 4:38 — New York Rangers goal (0-2)New York Rangers 76% → 88% (+12 pts)
- 2nd 10:17 — New York Rangers goal (0-3)New York Rangers 89% → 96% (+7 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New York Rangers won 73% of G&W replays (Anaheim Ducks 27%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New York Rangers. Here is where that came from.
| Ducks | Goals | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 3.9 |
| 0.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.3 |
| 0.3 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.0 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 5.2 |
| 0.7 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| -1.0 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -0.2 |
| +0.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Ville Husso 25/30 · Dylan Garand 29/31 | +1.0 |
How the margin was built, from New York Rangers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
New York Rangers closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.
The line moved toward New York Rangers before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Ducks +1.5 (-220)
Ducks +1.5 (-200)
Rangers -133 55%
Rangers -150 58%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Ducks won 5 and the Rangers 9.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Rangers 3, Ducks 5 Ducks won | Ducks -145 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Ducks 4, Rangers 1 Ducks won | Rangers -115 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Rangers 4, Ducks 5 OT Ducks won | Rangers -165 underdog won | 6 over |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ducks 1, Rangers 2 Rangers won | Rangers -300 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Rangers 5, Ducks 2 Rangers won | Rangers -225 favorite won | 6 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Anaheim Ducks
- Anaheim Ducks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (Oct 24)
- Anaheim Ducks 1, New Jersey Devils 4 (Oct 22)
New York Rangers
- New York Rangers team stats
- Los Angeles Kings 6, New York Rangers 3 (Oct 26)
- New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 7 (Oct 24)
- New York Rangers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (Oct 22)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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