Winnipeg Jets vs Montréal Canadiens Final — November 3, 2026
WPGStarting goaliesMTL
WPGOffense2026-27 regular season to dateMTLWPGDefenseMTLWPGTeamMTLWPG5-on-5MTLWPGSpecial teamsMTLWPGRecent formMTLWPGHome and roadseason to dateMTLInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WPGRest & travelMTLWPGKey injuriesMTLAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 3, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Jets (4-8-3) visited the Canadiens (9-3-2) on Tuesday, November 3 at 7:10 PM ET.
The Jets score 2.27 goals per game (30th of 32) and allow 3.60 (28th). The Canadiens score 3.43 goals per game (11th of 32) and allow 3.00 (10th). The Jets earn 36.7% of available standings points (30th) and the Canadiens 71.4% (5th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Jets 44.7% (27th), Canadiens 52.7% (11th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Jets 47.8% (25th), Canadiens 53.6% (6th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Jets 28.6% (31st), Canadiens 58.1% (9th).
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Jets +142, Canadiens -175) prices the Jets at 39% and the Canadiens at 61%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Winnipeg Jets 5, Montréal Canadiens 4
Winnipeg Jets won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Montréal Canadiens -1.5): Winnipeg Jets covered.
- Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- Winnipeg Jets closed at +142 on the moneyline (a 39% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Montréal Canadiens 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Montréal Canadiens.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Winnipeg Jets 39%, Montréal Canadiens 61%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 3:05 — Montréal Canadiens goal (0-1)Montréal Canadiens 60% → 74% (+14 pts)
- 3rd 19:27 — Winnipeg Jets goal (4-4)Winnipeg Jets 3% → 46% (+44 pts)
- OT 3:30 — Winnipeg Jets goal (5-4)Winnipeg Jets 49% → 100% (+51 pts)
Winnipeg Jets won after falling as low as 0% (3rd 17:21).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Winnipeg Jets won 56% of G&W replays (Montréal Canadiens 44%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Jets | Goals | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.9 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.3 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.9 |
| 1.3 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.2 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.6 |
| +0.4 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.0 |
| -1.0 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Stuart Skinner 18/22 · Jacob Fowler 42/47 | -0.4 |
How the margin was built, from Winnipeg Jets's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Montréal Canadiens closed as the market favourite at 61% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Jets +1.5 (-182)
Jets +1.5 (-170)
Canadiens -168 60%
Canadiens -175 61%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 24 times since 2018-19: the Jets won 12 and the Canadiens 12.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Canadiens 2, Jets 1 Canadiens won | Canadiens -115 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Canadiens 5, Jets 1 Canadiens won | Jets -130 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Jets 2, Canadiens 3 SO Canadiens won | Jets -130 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Jets 4, Canadiens 1 Jets won | Jets -170 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Canadiens 2, Jets 4 Jets won | Jets -255 favorite won | 6 push |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets team stats
- Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets (Nov 5)
- Winnipeg Jets 0, Carolina Hurricanes 7 (Nov 1)
- Winnipeg Jets 2, Florida Panthers 5 (Oct 30)
- Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (Oct 29)
Montréal Canadiens
More NHL games on November 3, 2026
- Colorado Avalanche 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 7 (Nov 3)
- St Louis Blues 1, New York Rangers 3 (Nov 3)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Nov 3)
- Vegas Golden Knights 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (Nov 3)
- Detroit Red Wings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Nov 3)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Nov 3)
- Dallas Stars 6, Washington Capitals 5 (Nov 3)
- Edmonton Oilers 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Nov 3)
- Carolina Hurricanes 1, Nashville Predators 4 (Nov 3)
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Vancouver Canucks 4 (Nov 3)
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