Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Final — October 31, 2026
EDMStarting goaliesNYI
EDMOffense2026-27 regular season to dateNYIEDMDefenseNYIEDMTeamNYIEDM5-on-5NYIEDMSpecial teamsNYIEDMRecent formNYIEDMHome and roadseason to dateNYIInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
EDMRest & travelNYIEDMKey injuriesNYIAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 31, 12:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Oilers (9-2-2) visited the Islanders (7-4-2) on Saturday, October 31 at 2:10 PM ET.
The Oilers score 4.31 goals per game (1st of 32) and allow 3.31 (19th). The Islanders score 3.08 goals per game (19th of 32) and allow 2.69 (5th). The Oilers earn 76.9% of available standings points (2nd) and the Islanders 61.5% (12th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Oilers 47.6% (21st), Islanders 50.4% (17th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Oilers 48.0% (20th), Islanders 51.2% (15th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Oilers 57.9% (9th), Islanders 53.7% (14th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Oilers -110, Islanders -110) prices the Oilers at 50% and the Islanders at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Islanders 0
Edmonton Oilers won by 4.
- Against the closing spread (New York Islanders -1.5): Edmonton Oilers covered.
- Combined score 4 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Edmonton Oilers closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Islanders 0
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward New York Islanders.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Edmonton Oilers 50%, New York Islanders 50%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 8:42 — Edmonton Oilers goal (1-0)Edmonton Oilers 50% → 71% (+21 pts)
- 2nd 9:50 — Edmonton Oilers goal (2-0)Edmonton Oilers 71% → 86% (+15 pts)
- 2nd 18:26 — Edmonton Oilers goal (3-0)Edmonton Oilers 91% → 97% (+6 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New York Islanders won 54% of G&W replays (Edmonton Oilers 46%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Oilers | Goals | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.5 |
| 1.0 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.6 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.1 |
| 2.0 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.2 |
| 0.1 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| +1.0 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -2.2 |
| +2.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Tristan Jarry 18/18 · Ilya Sorokin 20/23 | -1.0 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Edmonton Oilers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
New York Islanders closed as the market favourite at 50% and lost.
The line moved toward New York Islanders before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Oilers -1.5 (+175)
Oilers +1.5 (-295)
Islanders +113 45%
Islanders -110 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Oilers won 7 and the Islanders 6.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Islanders 1, Oilers 0 Islanders won | Oilers -165 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Oilers 2, Islanders 4 Islanders won | Oilers -165 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Oilers 2, Islanders 1 OT Oilers won | Oilers -134 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Islanders 3, Oilers 4 OT Oilers won | Oilers -230 favorite won | 6 over |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Oilers 1, Islanders 3 Islanders won | Oilers -149 underdog won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers team stats
- Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers (Nov 5)
- Edmonton Oilers 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Nov 3)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Rangers 1 (Nov 1)
- Calgary Flames 0, Edmonton Oilers 4 (Oct 28)
New York Islanders
- New York Islanders team stats
- Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders (Nov 5)
- New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (Oct 29)
- New York Islanders 4, Nashville Predators 3 (Oct 27)
- New York Islanders 3, Dallas Stars 6 (Oct 25)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 31, 2026
- Chicago Blackhawks 4, Boston Bruins 5 (Oct 31)
- St Louis Blues 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 31)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 5 (Oct 31)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (Oct 31)
- Ottawa Senators 5, San Jose Sharks 1 (Oct 31)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Montréal Canadiens 5 (Oct 31)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 31)
- Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 31)
- Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Oct 31)
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