St Louis Blues vs New York Rangers Final — November 3, 2026
STLStarting goaliesNYR
STLOffense2026-27 regular season to dateNYRSTLDefenseNYRSTLTeamNYRSTL5-on-5NYRSTLSpecial teamsNYRSTLRecent formNYRSTLHome and roadseason to dateNYRInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
STLRest & travelNYRSTLKey injuriesNYRAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 3, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Blues (7-6-1) visited the Rangers (7-7-1) on Tuesday, November 3 at 7:10 PM ET.
The Blues score 3.14 goals per game (17th of 32) and allow 3.00 (10th). The Rangers score 3.00 goals per game (21st of 32) and allow 3.07 (12th). The Blues earn 53.6% of available standings points (20th) and the Rangers 50.0% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blues 50.8% (16th), Rangers 49.5% (19th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blues 49.5% (16th), Rangers 48.2% (22nd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blues 59.5% (6th), Rangers 52.7% (14th).
The total closed at 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Blues +100, Rangers -120) prices the Blues at 48% and the Rangers at 52%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
St Louis Blues 1, New York Rangers 3
New York Rangers won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (New York Rangers -1.5): New York Rangers covered.
- Combined score 4 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- New York Rangers closed at -120 on the moneyline (a 52% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New York Rangers 3
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (St Louis Blues 48%, New York Rangers 52%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 1:49 — New York Rangers goal (0-1)New York Rangers 52% → 70% (+18 pts)
- 3rd 4:42 — New York Rangers penaltySt Louis Blues 21% → 25% (+4 pts)
- 3rd 9:01 — New York Rangers goal (0-2)New York Rangers 82% → 95% (+13 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New York Rangers won 60% of G&W replays (St Louis Blues 40%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Blues | Goals | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.9 |
| 1.2 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.6 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.7 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.5 |
| 0.1 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.1 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.1 |
| -1.8 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.5 |
| +1.5 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Joel Hofer 28/30 · Dylan Garand 32/33 | +1.8 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from New York Rangers's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
New York Rangers closed as the market favourite at 52% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Blues +1.5 (-239)
Blues +1.5 (-260)
Rangers -122 53%
Rangers -120 52%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Blues won 7 and the Rangers 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | Rangers 2, Blues 1 OT Rangers won | Rangers -145 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Blues 2, Rangers 3 Rangers won | Rangers -145 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Rangers 2, Blues 3 Blues won | Rangers -125 underdog won | 6 under |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Blues 5, Rangers 2 Blues won | Rangers -220 underdog won | 6 over |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Blues 0, Rangers 4 Rangers won | Rangers -219 favorite won | 6 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
St Louis Blues
- St Louis Blues team stats
- St Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils (Nov 5)
- St Louis Blues 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 31)
- Boston Bruins 1, St Louis Blues 4 (Oct 29)
- Montréal Canadiens 2, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 27)
New York Rangers
- New York Rangers team stats
- Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers (Nov 5)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Rangers 1 (Nov 1)
- Los Angeles Kings 6, New York Rangers 3 (Oct 26)
- New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 7 (Oct 24)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on November 3, 2026
- Colorado Avalanche 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 7 (Nov 3)
- Winnipeg Jets 5, Montréal Canadiens 4 (Nov 3)
- Minnesota Wild 4, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Nov 3)
- Vegas Golden Knights 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (Nov 3)
- Detroit Red Wings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (Nov 3)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Nov 3)
- Dallas Stars 6, Washington Capitals 5 (Nov 3)
- Edmonton Oilers 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (Nov 3)
- Carolina Hurricanes 1, Nashville Predators 4 (Nov 3)
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Vancouver Canucks 4 (Nov 3)
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