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NHL · October 29, 2026

Chicago Blackhawks vs Detroit Red Wings Final — October 29, 2026

Chicago Blackhawks logo
4-8-0
1
Goalie Spencer Knight Confirmed
FINAL
Detroit Red Wings logo
5-4-3
4
Goalie John Gibson Confirmed
Thursday, October 29 · 7:40 PM ET
CHIStarting goaliesDET
This season
10
Starts
8
.897
Sv%
.867
.860
HDSv%
.682
+1.8
GSAx
−5.5
Last season
55
Starts
57
.902
Sv%
.901
.876
HDSv%
.824
+13.5
GSAx
+8.8
CHIOffense2026-27 regular season to dateDET
31st2.17
GF/G
2.7524th
29th3.97
PP GF/60
6.1723rd
CHIDefenseDET
30th3.67
GA/G
3.0813th
16th7.53
PK GA/60
13.2628th
CHITeamDET
30th33.3%
Pts%
54.2%17th
29th40.8%
xGF%
55.7%4th
30th42.8%
CF%
53.9%7th
26th38.9%
HDCF%
64.5%3rd
CHI5-on-5DET
30th2.03
xGF/60
2.5914th
30th2.95
xGA/60
2.065th
22nd8.4%
Sh%
7.5%27th
24th89.5%
Sv%
91.6%8th
31st107.0
CF/60 (both)
114.810th
26th−0.45
GAx/G
−0.5831st
17th−0.09
GSAx/G
−0.1119th
27th8.9%
Sh%
8.4%30th
25th88.6%
Sv%
89.0%20th
CHISpecial teamsDET
29th5.95
PP xG/60
7.8512th
25th63.6
PP FF/60
77.610th
18th5.0
PP min/G
5.75th
21st8.16
PK xGA/60
9.0126th
10th4.6
PK min/G
5.319th
CHIRecent formDET
Wvs WPG 4-3Lvs DAL 0-4Lvs MTL 1-4Lvs FLA 2-3Wvs LAK 2-1
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs SJS 4-3OTL@ SEA 3-4W@ VAN 5-2L@ CGY 1-4W@ EDM 4-3
below 50%below 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%
Game by game
above 50%above 50%below 50%below 50%above 50%above 50%above 50%above 50%above 50%above 50%
4-8-0
Record
5-4-3
2-3-0
Last 5
3-1-1
4-6-0
Last 10
5-2-3
—
Over–under
7-5
CHIHome and roadseason to dateDET
4-4-0
Home record
3-3-1
0-4-0
Road record
2-1-2
—
Home O/U
4-3
—
Road O/U
3-2
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
CHIRest & travelDET
1 day
Days of rest
2 days
239 mi384 km · straight-line from previous game (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
CHIKey injuriesDET
Bowen Byram DOutAlex Vlasic DDay-to-day
Players out or limited
Simon Edvinsson DIRDylan Larkin CIR
About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 29, 6:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Blackhawks (4-8-0) visited the Red Wings (5-4-3) on Thursday, October 29 at 7:40 PM ET.

The Blackhawks score 2.17 goals per game (31st of 32) and allow 3.67 (30th). The Red Wings score 2.75 goals per game (24th of 32) and allow 3.08 (13th). The Blackhawks earn 33.3% of available standings points (30th) and the Red Wings 54.2% (17th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blackhawks 40.8% (29th), Red Wings 55.7% (4th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blackhawks 42.8% (30th), Red Wings 53.9% (7th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blackhawks 38.9% (26th), Red Wings 64.5% (3rd).

The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Blackhawks +130, Red Wings -156) prices the Blackhawks at 42% and the Red Wings at 58%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Chicago Blackhawks 1, Detroit Red Wings 4

Detroit Red Wings won by 3.

  • Against the closing spread (Detroit Red Wings -1.5): Detroit Red Wings covered.
  • Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
  • Detroit Red Wings closed at -156 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final
Chicago Blackhawks 1
Detroit Red Wings 4
Decided
In regulation
Detroit Red Wings won
Lead changes
1

Before the game: market and G&W

42%Market at the close58%
Chicago BlackhawksDetroit Red Wings
38%Market at the open62%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Chicago Blackhawks.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Chicago Blackhawks 42%, Detroit Red Wings 58%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%1st2nd3rdOTMarket start11st 5:59: Chicago Blackhawks 42% to 58%22nd 7:31: Detroit Red Wings 36% to 56%33rd 1:09: Detroit Red Wings 58% to 81%■ Red Wings■ Blackhawks
 

Biggest swings

  1. 1st 5:59 — Chicago Blackhawks goal (1-0)Chicago Blackhawks 42% → 58% (+16 pts)
  2. 2nd 7:31 — Detroit Red Wings goal (1-1)Detroit Red Wings 36% → 56% (+21 pts)
  3. 3rd 1:09 — Detroit Red Wings goal (1-2)Detroit Red Wings 58% → 81% (+23 pts)

Detroit Red Wings won after falling as low as 36% (2nd 7:31).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

17%CHI
Share of G&W replays won
83%DET
1.5
Expected goals
4.2
1
Final score
4

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Detroit Red Wings won 83% of G&W replays (Chicago Blackhawks 17%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Detroit Red Wings. Here is where that came from.

BlackhawksGoalsRed Wings
1.55-on-5 chancesexpected goals
3.5
0.0Power-play chancesexpected goals
0.7
0.0Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed
0.0
1.5Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result
4.2
0.2Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result
0.0
0.5Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above
0.3
-0.7Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots
-1.2
+1.2Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Spencer Knight 27/30 · John Gibson 18/19
+0.7
0Empty-net goals1
Bar left: Blackhawks gainedBar right: Red Wings gained

How the margin was built, from Detroit Red Wings's side:

Chances +2.5Finishing & goaltending -0.5Empty net +1Detroit Red Wings by 3

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Detroit Red Wings closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.

The line moved toward Chicago Blackhawks before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move
OpenRed Wings -1.5 (+140)
Blackhawks +1.5 (-168)
CloseRed Wings -1.5 (+160)
Blackhawks +1.5 (-205)
Totalno move
Open5.5 (o -125 / u +105)
Close5.5 (o -120 / u -103)
Moneyline
OpenBlackhawks +150 38%
Red Wings -180 62%
CloseBlackhawks +130 42%
Red Wings -156 58%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2018-19: the Blackhawks won 12 and the Red Wings 10.

DateScoreLineTotal
Dec 13, 2025Red Wings 4, Blackhawks 0
Red Wings won
Red Wings -192
favorite won
6.5
under
Nov 9, 2025Blackhawks 5, Red Wings 1
Blackhawks won
Red Wings -185
underdog won
6
push
Jan 10, 2025Blackhawks 3, Red Wings 5
Red Wings won
Red Wings -184
favorite won
6
over
Nov 6, 2024Red Wings 4, Blackhawks 1
Red Wings won

6.5
under
Feb 25, 2024Red Wings 3, Blackhawks 2 OT
Red Wings won
Red Wings -175
favorite won
6
under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams

Chicago Blackhawks

Detroit Red Wings

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