Chicago Blackhawks vs Detroit Red Wings Final — October 29, 2026
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
About these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 29, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Blackhawks (4-8-0) visited the Red Wings (5-4-3) on Thursday, October 29 at 7:40 PM ET.
The Blackhawks score 2.17 goals per game (31st of 32) and allow 3.67 (30th). The Red Wings score 2.75 goals per game (24th of 32) and allow 3.08 (13th). The Blackhawks earn 33.3% of available standings points (30th) and the Red Wings 54.2% (17th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blackhawks 40.8% (29th), Red Wings 55.7% (4th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blackhawks 42.8% (30th), Red Wings 53.9% (7th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blackhawks 38.9% (26th), Red Wings 64.5% (3rd).
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Blackhawks +130, Red Wings -156) prices the Blackhawks at 42% and the Red Wings at 58%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Detroit Red Wings 4
Detroit Red Wings won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Detroit Red Wings -1.5): Detroit Red Wings covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- Detroit Red Wings closed at -156 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Detroit Red Wings 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Chicago Blackhawks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Chicago Blackhawks 42%, Detroit Red Wings 58%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 5:59 — Chicago Blackhawks goal (1-0)Chicago Blackhawks 42% → 58% (+16 pts)
- 2nd 7:31 — Detroit Red Wings goal (1-1)Detroit Red Wings 36% → 56% (+21 pts)
- 3rd 1:09 — Detroit Red Wings goal (1-2)Detroit Red Wings 58% → 81% (+23 pts)
Detroit Red Wings won after falling as low as 36% (2nd 7:31).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Detroit Red Wings won 83% of G&W replays (Chicago Blackhawks 17%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Detroit Red Wings. Here is where that came from.
| Blackhawks | Goals | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 3.5 |
| 0.0 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.7 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 1.5 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 4.2 |
| 0.2 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.5 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| -0.7 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.2 |
| +1.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Spencer Knight 27/30 · John Gibson 18/19 | +0.7 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from Detroit Red Wings's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Detroit Red Wings closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.
The line moved toward Chicago Blackhawks before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Blackhawks +1.5 (-168)
Blackhawks +1.5 (-205)
Red Wings -180 62%
Red Wings -156 58%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 22 times since 2018-19: the Blackhawks won 12 and the Red Wings 10.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Red Wings 4, Blackhawks 0 Red Wings won | Red Wings -192 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Blackhawks 5, Red Wings 1 Blackhawks won | Red Wings -185 underdog won | 6 push |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Blackhawks 3, Red Wings 5 Red Wings won | Red Wings -184 favorite won | 6 over |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Red Wings 4, Blackhawks 1 Red Wings won | 6.5 under | |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Red Wings 3, Blackhawks 2 OT Red Wings won | Red Wings -175 favorite won | 6 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks team stats
- Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning (Nov 5)
- Chicago Blackhawks 3, Florida Panthers 5 (Nov 4)
- Colorado Avalanche 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (Nov 2)
- Chicago Blackhawks 4, Boston Bruins 5 (Oct 31)
Detroit Red Wings
More NHL games on October 29, 2026
- Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (Oct 29)
- Utah Mammoth 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 29)
- Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (Oct 29)
- Montréal Canadiens 5, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 29)
- New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (Oct 29)
- Washington Capitals 4, Nashville Predators 3 (Oct 29)
- Boston Bruins 1, St Louis Blues 4 (Oct 29)
- Buffalo Sabres 7, Anaheim Ducks 6 (Oct 29)
- Ottawa Senators 5, Los Angeles Kings 6 (Oct 29)
- Vancouver Canucks 2, San Jose Sharks 3 (Oct 29)
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