Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs Preview & Odds — November 6, 2026
VTOffense2026 regular season to dateSMU
VTDefenseSMUVTRecent formSMUVTHome and roadseason to dateSMUVTLast 10 gamesSMURest & travelrest and travel
VTRest & travelSMUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Virginia Tech (5-2) visits SMU (5-2) on Friday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET.
Virginia Tech has the 58th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 56th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, SMU has the 34th-ranked offense and the 63rd-ranked defense. When Virginia Tech has the ball, a 58th-ranked offense (+0.082 EPA per play) meets a 63rd-ranked defense (+0.055 allowed); when SMU has it, a 34th-ranked offense (+0.155) meets a 56th-ranked defense (+0.012 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Virginia Tech offense is at 48.3% (48th) and the SMU offense at 49.1% (33rd). Virginia Tech scores 29.6 points per game (44th) and allows 23.0 (43rd); SMU scores 32.3 (29th) and allows 24.0 (53rd).
Virginia Tech is 6-2 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 20-16 win over Clemson. SMU is 6-2 and 2-4-2 against the spread; its last game was a 30-27 loss to Syracuse.
SMU is a 5.5-point favorite at home against Virginia Tech. The spread opened at SMU -6.5. The total is 56.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Virginia Tech +180, SMU -225) prices Virginia Tech at 34% and SMU at 66%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Virginia Tech +6.5 (-110)
Virginia Tech +5.5 (-108)
SMU -226 66%
SMU -225 66%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Virginia Tech +5.5+106ProphetX
- SMU -5.5-110Hard Rock
- Over 56.5+103ProphetX
- Under 56.5-108Novig
- Virginia Tech+199Novig
- SMU-203Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts262
- Completion %71.4%9th
- Passing yards2,14037th
- Yards per attempt8.263rd
- TD–INT17–2
- Rushing yards63940th
- Season line113 carries, 639 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards68522nd
- Season line51 catches, 685 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles41356th
- Attempts251
- Completion %73.7%3rd
- Passing yards2,43317th
- Yards per attempt9.79th
- TD–INT21–5
- Rushing yards69230th
- Season line135 carries, 692 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards52365th
- Season line44 catches, 523 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles41356th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Virginia Tech | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateVirginia Tech offense vs SMU defense | 41.9%82nd | 41.9%54th |
| Early-down success rateSMU offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 45.2%103rd | 45.1%37th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateVirginia Tech offense vs SMU defense | 40.4%66th | 30.5%6th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSMU offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 34.5%23rd | 44.8%34th |
| Explosive play rateVirginia Tech offense vs SMU defense | 7.1%56th | 5.4%27th |
| Explosive play rateSMU offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 7.0%78th | 8.5%22nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.5%39th-highest | 51.1%61st-highest |
On 3rd down Virginia Tech converts 40.4% (66th) against a SMU defense allowing 30.5% (6th).
On 3rd down SMU converts 44.8% (34th) against a Virginia Tech defense allowing 34.5% (23rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Virginia Tech | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | James Franklin | Rhett Lashlee |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 6–2 | 44–19 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 134–62 | 44–19 |
| Offensive coordinator | Ty Howle | Garin Justice / D'Eriq King / Rob Likens |
| Defensive coordinator | Brent Pry | Maurice Crum Jr. / Rickey Hunley Jr. |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Virginia Tech Hokies
- Virginia Tech Hokies team stats
- Virginia Tech Hokies 20, Clemson Tigers 16 (Oct 24)
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 24, Virginia Tech Hokies 34 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Tech Hokies 20, California Golden Bears 25 (Oct 10)
SMU Mustangs
More NCAAF games on November 6, 2026
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