Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Virginia Tech Hokies Final — October 17, 2026
GTOffense2026 regular season to dateVT
GTDefenseVTGTRecent formVTGTHome and roadseason to dateVTGTLast 10 gamesVTRest & travelrest and travel
GTRest & travelVTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Georgia Tech (1-3) visited Virginia Tech (3-2) on Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET.
Georgia Tech has the 44th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 114th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has the 50th-ranked offense and the 38th-ranked defense. When Georgia Tech has the ball, a 44th-ranked offense (+0.125 EPA per play) meets a 38th-ranked defense (−0.024 allowed); when Virginia Tech has it, a 50th-ranked offense (+0.108) meets a 114th-ranked defense (+0.207 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia Tech offense is at 49.6% (41st) and the Virginia Tech offense at 48.8% (49th). Georgia Tech scores 23.0 points per game (85th) and allows 29.5 (98th); Virginia Tech scores 30.6 (42nd) and allows 24.2 (56th).
Georgia Tech is 2-3; its last game was a 28-25 win over Duke. Virginia Tech is 4-2 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 25-20 loss to California.
Virginia Tech closed as a 8.5-point favorite at home against Georgia Tech. The spread opened at Virginia Tech -9.5. The total closed at 55.5, up from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Georgia Tech +280, Virginia Tech -357) prices Georgia Tech at 25% and Virginia Tech at 75%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 24, Virginia Tech Hokies 34
Virginia Tech Hokies won by 10.
- Against the closing spread (Virginia Tech Hokies -8.5): Virginia Tech Hokies covered.
- Combined score 58 vs the closing total of 55.5: Over.
- Virginia Tech Hokies closed at -357 on the moneyline (a 75% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 25%, Virginia Tech Hokies 75%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 13:37 — Virginia Tech Hokies ball, 2nd & 8 at VT 40Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep middle to #3 Q.Brown caught at GT 39, for 60 yards to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:37, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Love kick att…Virginia Tech Hokies 75% → 83% (+8 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 9:41 — Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ball, 1st & 10 at VT 10Shotgun #1 T.Maddox rush middle for 10 yards gain to the VT 00 fumbled by #1 T.Maddox at VT 03 forced by #23 T.Williams, TouchbackVirginia Tech Hokies 77% → 86% (+9 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Georgia Tech | Points added | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| +14.5 | Passingdropbacks | -5.2 |
| -3.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | -1.9 |
| +16.1 | Explosive plays4 plays · 8 plays | +18.6 |
| -9.0 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -5.0 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -2.2 |
| -5.7 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.7 |
| -1.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 4 · 1 of 5 | +1.3 |
| +6.5 | All plays | +9.8 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 19.7 points to Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The final margin was 10.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Virginia Tech Hokies closed as the market favourite at 75% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Georgia Tech +9.5 (-106)
Georgia Tech +8.5 (-110)
Virginia Tech -357 75%
Virginia Tech -357 75%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts153
- Completion %69.9%24th
- Passing yards1,193101st
- Yards per attempt7.895th
- TD–INT7–3
- Rushing yards46240th
- Season line87 carries, 462 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards312112th
- Season line28 catches, 312 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles32253rd
- Attempts208
- Completion %73.1%9th
- Passing yards1,73412th
- Yards per attempt8.362nd
- TD–INT12–2
- Rushing yards52822nd
- Season line89 carries, 528 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards43430th
- Season line40 catches, 434 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles28373rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Georgia Tech | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 45.4%42nd | 38.2%18th |
| Early-down success rateVirginia Tech offense vs Georgia Tech defense | 41.2%44th | 41.9%84th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 41.3%66th | 37.3%54th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateVirginia Tech offense vs Georgia Tech defense | 50.0%121st | 43.9%46th |
| Explosive play rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 8.1%37th | 7.0%77th |
| Explosive play rateVirginia Tech offense vs Georgia Tech defense | 6.7%67th | 7.5%46th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 56.3%24th-highest | 54.8%31st-highest |
On 3rd down Georgia Tech converts 41.3% (66th) against a Virginia Tech defense allowing 37.3% (54th).
On 3rd down Virginia Tech converts 43.9% (46th) against a Georgia Tech defense allowing 50.0% (121st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Georgia Tech | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Brent Key | James Franklin |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 29–23 | 4–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 29–23 | 132–62 |
| Offensive coordinator | George Godsey / Chris Weinke | Ty Howle |
| Defensive coordinator | Jason Semore | Brent Pry |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Georgia Tech won 2 and Virginia Tech 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Virginia Tech 20, Georgia Tech 35 Georgia Tech won | ||
| Oct 26, 2024 | Georgia Tech 6, Virginia Tech 21 Virginia Tech won | ||
| Nov 5, 2022 | Georgia Tech 28, Virginia Tech 27 Georgia Tech won | ||
| Oct 30, 2021 | Virginia Tech 26, Georgia Tech 17 Virginia Tech won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets team stats
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Pittsburgh Panthers (Oct 31)
- Boston College Eagles 49, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 27 (Oct 24)
- Duke Blue Devils 25, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 28 (Oct 10)
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 27, Stanford Cardinal 34 (Sep 26)
Virginia Tech Hokies
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
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- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
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