New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Preview & Odds — November 6, 2026
UNMOffense2026 regular season to dateNEV
UNMDefenseNEVUNMRecent formNEVUNMHome and roadseason to dateNEVUNMLast 10 gamesNEVRest & travelrest and travel
UNMRest & travelNEVAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
New Mexico (6-1) visits Nevada (3-4) on Friday, November 6 at 9:00 PM ET.
New Mexico has the 95th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 1st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Nevada has the 114th-ranked offense and the 34th-ranked defense. When New Mexico has the ball, a 95th-ranked offense (−0.009 EPA per play) meets a 34th-ranked defense (−0.040 allowed); when Nevada has it, a 114th-ranked offense (−0.063) meets a 1st-ranked defense (−0.300 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the New Mexico offense is at 49.0% (35th) and the Nevada offense at 41.3% (126th). New Mexico scores 30.0 points per game (41st) and allows 12.6 (2nd); Nevada scores 25.3 (72nd) and allows 23.0 (43rd).
New Mexico is 7-1 and 6-2 against the spread; its last game was a 21-16 win over San José State. Nevada is 3-5 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 27-0 loss to UCLA.
New Mexico is a 10-point road favorite, with Nevada getting the points at home. The spread opened at New Mexico -12.5. The total is 37.5, down from 43.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (New Mexico -400, Nevada +310) prices New Mexico at 77% and Nevada at 23%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
New Mexico -12.5 (-110)
New Mexico -10 (-110)
Nevada +375 20%
Nevada +310 23%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- New Mexico -10-109Caesars
- Nevada +10-105BetMGM
- Over 37.5+102ProphetX
- Under 37.5-104Novig
- New Mexico-344Novig
- Nevada+335Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts89
- Completion %59.6%
- Passing yards696
- Yards per attempt7.8
- TD–INT5–5
- Rushing yards54066th
- Season line111 carries, 540 yds, 11 TD
- Receiving yards295262nd
- Season line22 catches, 295 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles50199th
- Attempts48
- Completion %47.9%
- Passing yards266
- Yards per attempt5.5
- TD–INT1–2
- Rushing yards58852nd
- Season line118 carries, 588 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards305250th
- Season line19 catches, 305 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles856th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | New Mexico | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateNew Mexico offense vs Nevada defense | 43.1%64th | 38.7%17th |
| Early-down success rateNevada offense vs New Mexico defense | 32.0%1st | 37.2%131st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNew Mexico offense vs Nevada defense | 40.8%62nd | 27.4%2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNevada offense vs New Mexico defense | 39.2%59th | 45.5%31st |
| Explosive play rateNew Mexico offense vs Nevada defense | 6.8%63rd | 4.5%7th |
| Explosive play rateNevada offense vs New Mexico defense | 5.5%34th | 6.6%72nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 33.7%133rd-highest | 46.1%104th-highest |
On 3rd down New Mexico converts 40.8% (62nd) against a Nevada defense allowing 27.4% (2nd).
On 3rd down Nevada converts 45.5% (31st) against a New Mexico defense allowing 39.2% (59th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | New Mexico | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jason Eck | Jeff Choate |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 16–5 | 9–24 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 16–5 | 9–24 |
| Offensive coordinator | Luke Schleusner | Bret Bartalone |
| Defensive coordinator | Spence Nowinsky | Kane Ioane |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: New Mexico won 1 and Nevada 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nevada 22, New Mexico 24 New Mexico won | ||
| Oct 28, 2023 | New Mexico 24, Nevada 34 Nevada won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
New Mexico Lobos
- New Mexico Lobos team stats
- New Mexico Lobos 21, San Jose State Spartans 16 (Oct 31)
- North Dakota State Bison 16, New Mexico Lobos 21 (Oct 24)
- New Mexico Lobos 21, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 10 (Oct 17)
Nevada Wolf Pack
More NCAAF games on November 6, 2026
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