Virginia Tech Hokies vs Clemson Tigers Final — October 24, 2026
VTOffense2026 regular season to dateCLEM
VTDefenseCLEMVTRecent formCLEMVTHome and roadseason to dateCLEMVTLast 10 gamesCLEMRest & travelrest and travel
VTRest & travelCLEMAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Virginia Tech (4-2) visited Clemson (3-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 7:00 PM ET.
Virginia Tech has the 48th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 56th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Clemson has the 125th-ranked offense and the 20th-ranked defense. When Virginia Tech has the ball, a 48th-ranked offense (+0.128 EPA per play) meets a 20th-ranked defense (−0.065 allowed); when Clemson has it, a 125th-ranked offense (−0.112) meets a 56th-ranked defense (+0.036 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Virginia Tech offense is at 49.6% (39th) and the Clemson offense at 45.4% (83rd). Virginia Tech scores 31.2 points per game (38th) and allows 24.2 (54th); Clemson scores 19.4 (112th) and allows 25.8 (69th).
Virginia Tech is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 34-24 win over Georgia Tech. Clemson is 4-2 and 2-4 against the spread; its last game was a 37-0 win over Charleston Southern.
Clemson closed as a 3-point favorite at home against Virginia Tech. The spread opened with Virginia Tech favored by 1.5. The total closed 49.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Virginia Tech +126, Clemson -150) prices Virginia Tech at 42% and Clemson at 58%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Virginia Tech Hokies 20, Clemson Tigers 16
Virginia Tech Hokies won by 4.
- Against the closing spread (Clemson Tigers -3): Virginia Tech Hokies covered.
- Combined score 36 vs the closing total of 49.5: Under.
- Virginia Tech Hokies closed at +126 on the moneyline (a 42% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 8 points toward Clemson Tigers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Virginia Tech Hokies 42%, Clemson Tigers 58%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 1:24 — Virginia Tech Hokies ball, 2nd & 6 at CLEM 6#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #85 L.Reynolds caught at CLE04, for 6 yards to the CLE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:24 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #9…Clemson Tigers 22% → 36% (+14 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 6:14 — Clemson Tigers ball, 2nd & 11 at VT 16No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Reynolds rush middle for 16 yards gain to the VT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:14, 1ST DOWN #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS:…Clemson Tigers 53% → 65% (+12 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 2:22 — Virginia Tech Hokies ball, 2nd & 10 at CLEM 29Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep left to #0 A.Greene thrown to CLE02 PENALTY CLE Pass Interference (#3 E.Washington II) 15 yards from CLE29 to CLE1…Virginia Tech Hokies 46% → 62% (+16 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 1:49 — Virginia Tech Hokies ball, 3rd & 1 at CLEM 5#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short left to #13 J.Hairston thrown to CLE00 broken up by #50 F.CothranVirginia Tech Hokies 61% → 73% (+12 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 1:44 — Virginia Tech Hokies ball, 4th & 1 at CLEM 5#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #85 L.Reynolds caught at CLE00, for 5 yards to the CLE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:44, 1ST DOWN #17 J.Love kick attempt g…Clemson Tigers 6% → 23% (+17 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
Virginia Tech Hokies won after falling as low as 19% (Q3 1:58).
Game DNA
| Virginia Tech | Points added | Clemson |
|---|---|---|
| -10.9 | Passingdropbacks | -5.2 |
| -3.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | -9.9 |
| +0.0 | Explosive plays0 plays · 3 plays | +7.4 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +1.3 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.7 |
| +2.1 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.0 |
| +3.8 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 3 · 1 of 3 | +0.7 |
| -7.5 | All plays | -6.2 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 7.4 points to Clemson Tigers. The final margin was 4.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Clemson Tigers closed as the market favourite at 58% and lost.
The line moved toward Clemson Tigers before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Virginia Tech -1.5 (-105)
Virginia Tech +3 (-115)
Clemson -109 50%
Clemson -150 58%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts230
- Completion %72.6%7th
- Passing yards1,98412th
- Yards per attempt8.645th
- TD–INT15–2
- Rushing yards61319th
- Season line103 carries, 613 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards61612th
- Season line46 catches, 616 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles37249th
- Attempts153
- Completion %64.7%80th
- Passing yards945192nd
- Yards per attempt6.2216th
- TD–INT1–3
- Rushing yards43072nd
- Season line79 carries, 430 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards340121st
- Season line29 catches, 340 yds
- Tackles44130th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Virginia Tech | Clemson |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateVirginia Tech offense vs Clemson defense | 43.1%70th | 47.7%123rd |
| Early-down success rateClemson offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 43.0%68th | 44.0%60th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateVirginia Tech offense vs Clemson defense | 41.8%56th | 32.8%17th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateClemson offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 37.1%47th | 32.3%115th |
| Explosive play rateVirginia Tech offense vs Clemson defense | 8.1%32nd | 3.9%7th |
| Explosive play rateClemson offense vs Virginia Tech defense | 7.1%80th | 6.4%80th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.2%42nd-highest | 53.0%43rd-highest |
On 3rd down Virginia Tech converts 41.8% (56th) against a Clemson defense allowing 32.8% (17th).
On 3rd down Clemson converts 32.3% (115th) against a Virginia Tech defense allowing 37.1% (47th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Virginia Tech | Clemson |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | James Franklin | Dabo Swinney |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 18th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 5–2 | 190–55 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 133–62 | 190–55 |
| Offensive coordinator | Ty Howle | Chad Morris |
| Defensive coordinator | Brent Pry | Tom Allen |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Virginia Tech won 0 and Clemson 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Clemson 24, Virginia Tech 14 Clemson won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Virginia Tech Hokies
- Virginia Tech Hokies team stats
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 24, Virginia Tech Hokies 34 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Tech Hokies 20, California Golden Bears 25 (Oct 10)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 35, Virginia Tech Hokies 33 (Oct 2)
Clemson Tigers
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
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