TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats Preview & Odds — November 6, 2026
TCUOffense2026 regular season to dateARIZ
TCUDefenseARIZTCURecent formARIZTCUHome and roadseason to dateARIZTCULast 10 gamesARIZRest & travelrest and travel
TCURest & travelARIZAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
TCU (3-4) visits Arizona (5-2) on Friday, November 6 at 10:15 PM ET.
TCU has the 92nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 22nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Arizona has the 22nd-ranked offense and the 55th-ranked defense. When TCU has the ball, a 92nd-ranked offense (0.000 EPA per play) meets a 55th-ranked defense (+0.011 allowed); when Arizona has it, a 22nd-ranked offense (+0.191) meets a 22nd-ranked defense (−0.077 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the TCU offense is at 45.2% (88th) and the Arizona offense at 47.2% (64th). TCU scores 17.6 points per game (126th) and allows 15.1 (9th); Arizona scores 34.9 (19th) and allows 20.6 (28th).
TCU is 3-4; its last game was a 22-16 win over Kansas. Arizona is 6-2 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 34-26 loss to Texas Tech.
Arizona is a 7.5-point favorite at home against TCU. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 45.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (TCU +240, Arizona -305) prices TCU at 28% and Arizona at 72%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
TCU +7.5 (-110)
TCU +7.5 (-112)
Arizona -319 73%
Arizona -305 72%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- TCU +7.5-105Hard Rock
- Arizona -7.5+100Novig
- Over 45.5-104FanDuel
- Under 45.5-103ProphetX
- TCU+264Novig
- Arizona-270Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts269
- Completion %65.1%72nd
- Passing yards2,20725th
- Yards per attempt8.260th
- TD–INT11–6
- Rushing yards429119th
- Season line88 carries, 429 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards56051st
- Season line38 catches, 560 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles50199th
- Attempts269
- Completion %74.0%2nd
- Passing yards2,46415th
- Yards per attempt9.221st
- TD–INT19–4
- Rushing yards321202nd
- Season line89 carries, 321 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards67524th
- Season line34 catches, 675 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles47245th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | TCU | Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTCU offense vs Arizona defense | 41.9%83rd | 45.7%107th |
| Early-down success rateArizona offense vs TCU defense | 37.9%10th | 42.2%77th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTCU offense vs Arizona defense | 44.1%37th | 40.4%65th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateArizona offense vs TCU defense | 35.7%31st | 53.5%5th |
| Explosive play rateTCU offense vs Arizona defense | 7.3%52nd | 6.6%67th |
| Explosive play rateArizona offense vs TCU defense | 5.0%13th | 8.0%28th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.5%21st-highest | 56.7%16th-highest |
On 3rd down TCU converts 44.1% (37th) against a Arizona defense allowing 40.4% (65th).
On 3rd down Arizona converts 53.5% (5th) against a TCU defense allowing 35.7% (31st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | TCU | Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Sonny Dykes | Brent Brennan |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 40–21 | 19–14 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 111–84 | 53–62 |
| Offensive coordinator | Vacant / Gordon Sammis | Seth Doege |
| Defensive coordinator | Andy Avalos | Danny Gonzales |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: TCU won 1 and Arizona 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | Arizona 28, TCU 49 TCU won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
TCU Horned Frogs
- TCU Horned Frogs team stats
- Kansas Jayhawks 16, TCU Horned Frogs 22 (Oct 31)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- TCU Horned Frogs 17, Baylor Bears 6 (Oct 17)
Arizona Wildcats
More NCAAF games on November 6, 2026
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