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NHL · October 9, 2026

Anaheim Ducks vs Winnipeg Jets Final — October 9, 2026

Anaheim Ducks logo
Anaheim Ducks
2-1-0
5
Goalie Lukas Dostal Confirmed
FINAL
Winnipeg Jets logo
Winnipeg Jets
3-0-1
1
Goalie Clay Stevenson Confirmed
Friday, October 9 · 8:10 PM ET
ANAStarting goaliesWPG
This season
3
Starts
1
.872
Sv%
.938
.667
HDSv%
1.000
−0.8
GSAx
+1.1
Last season
55
Starts
4
.888
Sv%
.921
.831
HDSv%
.923
+0.6
GSAx
+3.7
ANAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)WPG
10th3.33
GF/G
2.8225th
24th6.41
PP GF/60
6.4823rd
ANADefenseWPG
29th3.51
GA/G
3.1722nd
26th8.48
PK GA/60
7.9820th
ANATeamWPG
15th56.1%
Pts%
50.0%26th
15th50.5%
xGF%
47.5%25th
6th52.4%
CF%
48.8%22nd
21st47.6%
HDCF%
44.6%29th
ANA5-on-5WPG
3rd2.79
xGF/60
2.2927th
30th2.77
xGA/60
2.5418th
25th8.9%
Sh%
9.3%20th
29th89.3%
Sv%
90.5%16th
2nd122.3
CF/60 (both)
111.327th
24th−0.15
GAx/G
−0.0519th
25th−0.16
GSAx/G
−0.0921st
24th10.0%
Sh%
10.1%20th
30th88.3%
Sv%
89.3%21st
10th53.3%
xGF% (L20)
46.4%26th
ANASpecial teamsWPG
23rd7.19
PP xG/60
7.0129th
19th76.9
PP FF/60
70.229th
4th5.2
PP min/G
4.717th
17th7.74
PK xGA/60
7.329th
30th5.2
PK min/G
4.510th
ANARecent formWPG
W@ VGK 4-3Wvs FLA 3-2Lvs EDM 2-5
Resultsoldest to newest
OTLvs BOS 3-4W@ DET 3-2W@ PIT 3-2Wvs COL 3-2
above 50%below 50%above 50%
Game by game
below 50%below 50%below 50%below 50%
2-1-0
Record
3-0-1
2-1
Over–under
1-3
ANAHome and roadseason to dateWPG
1-1-0
Home record
1-0-1
1-0-0
Road record
2-0-0
1-1
Home O/U
1-1
1-0
Road O/U
0-2
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
ANARest & travelWPG
2 days
Days of rest
2 days
1,531 mi2,463 km
Travel to the game
Home
+2 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
ANAKey injuriesWPG
Troy Terry RWIR
Players out or limited
Connor Hellebuyck GIRJosh Morrissey DOut
About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 9, 6:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Ducks (2-1-0) visited the Jets (3-0-1) on Friday, October 9 at 8:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Ducks scored 3.33 goals per game (10th of 32) and allowed 3.51 (29th). The Jets scored 2.82 goals per game (25th of 32) and allowed 3.17 (22nd). The Ducks earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Jets 50.0% (26th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Ducks 50.5% (15th), Jets 47.5% (25th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Ducks 52.4% (6th), Jets 48.8% (22nd). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Ducks 47.6% (21st), Jets 44.6% (29th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ducks +100, Jets -120) prices the Ducks at 48% and the Jets at 52%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Anaheim Ducks 5, Winnipeg Jets 1

Anaheim Ducks won by 4.

  • Against the closing spread (Winnipeg Jets -1.5): Anaheim Ducks covered.
  • Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
  • Anaheim Ducks closed at +100 on the moneyline (a 48% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final
Anaheim Ducks 5
Winnipeg Jets 1
Decided
In regulation
Anaheim Ducks won
Lead changes
0

Before the game: market and G&W

48%Market at the close52%
Anaheim DucksWinnipeg Jets
47%Market at the open53%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Anaheim Ducks.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Anaheim Ducks 48%, Winnipeg Jets 52%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%1st2nd3rdOTMarket start11st 14:41: Anaheim Ducks 48% to 65%22nd 5:20: Anaheim Ducks 68% to 83%33rd 4:25: Anaheim Ducks 92% to 98%■ Jets■ Ducks
 

Biggest swings

  1. 1st 14:41 — Anaheim Ducks goal (1-0)Anaheim Ducks 48% → 65% (+17 pts)
  2. 2nd 5:20 — Anaheim Ducks goal (2-0)Anaheim Ducks 68% → 83% (+15 pts)
  3. 3rd 4:25 — Anaheim Ducks goal (3-0)Anaheim Ducks 92% → 98% (+6 pts)
Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

63%ANA
Share of G&W replays won
37%WPG
2.4
Expected goals
1.7
5
Final score
1

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Anaheim Ducks won 63% of G&W replays (Winnipeg Jets 37%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Anaheim Ducks. Here is where that came from.

DucksGoalsJets
2.05-on-5 chancesexpected goals
1.0
0.4Power-play chancesexpected goals
0.7
0.0Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed
0.0
2.4Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result
1.7
0.0Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result
0.5
0.2Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above
0.3
+1.6Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots
-1.2
+1.2Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Lukas Dostal 15/16 · Clay Stevenson 12/16
-1.6
1Empty-net goals0
Bar left: Ducks gainedBar right: Jets gained

How the margin was built, from Anaheim Ducks's side:

Chances +0.3Finishing & goaltending +2.7Empty net +1Anaheim Ducks by 4

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Winnipeg Jets closed as the market favourite at 52% and lost.

The line moved toward Anaheim Ducks before puck drop, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move
OpenJets -1.5 (+197)
Ducks +1.5 (-246)
CloseJets -1.5 (+200)
Ducks +1.5 (-257)
Totalno move
Open6.5 (o -100 / u -122)
Close6.5 (o -102 / u -120)
Moneyline
OpenDucks +105 47%
Jets -125 53%
CloseDucks +100 48%
Jets -120 52%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %
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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 21 times since 2018-19: the Ducks won 7 and the Jets 14.

DateScoreLineTotal
Mar 10, 2026Ducks 4, Jets 1
Ducks won		Jets -135
underdog won		6.5
under
Feb 27, 2026Jets 4, Ducks 5 OT
Ducks won		Ducks -135
favorite won		6
over
Nov 9, 2025Jets 1, Ducks 4
Ducks won		Jets -135
underdog won		6.5
under
Apr 16, 2025Ducks 1, Jets 2 OT
Jets won		Jets -310
favorite won		5.5
under
Jan 2, 2025Ducks 4, Jets 3 OT
Ducks won		Jets -267
underdog won		6.5
over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams

Anaheim Ducks

Winnipeg Jets

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