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NHL · October 9, 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets Final — October 9, 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins

2-2-0

Goalie Sergei Murashov Confirmed

FINAL

Columbus Blue Jackets

1-1-0

Goalie Cam Talbot Confirmed

Friday, October 9 · 7:10 PM ET

PITStarting goaliesCBJ

This season

Starts

—

.912

Sv%

—

1.000

HDSv%

—

−0.6

GSAx

—

Last season

Starts

.897

Sv%

.883

1.000

HDSv%

.731

−1.0

GSAx

−10.9

PITOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CBJ

3rd3.57

GF/G

3.0916th

10th8.50

PP GF/60

6.8822nd

PITDefenseCBJ

24th3.27

GA/G

3.0916th

7th6.78

PK GA/60

8.3724th

PITTeamCBJ

10th59.8%

Pts%

56.1%15th

8th51.7%

xGF%

51.4%10th

13th50.2%

CF%

50.8%11th

3rd57.4%

HDCF%

50.3%15th

PIT5-on-5CBJ

6th2.72

xGF/60

2.669th

16th2.54

xGA/60

2.5114th

2nd11.1%

Sh%

9.1%22nd

20th90.1%

Sv%

91.1%10th

11th116.9

CF/60 (both)

119.54th

3rd+0.26

GAx/G

−0.1122nd

20th−0.08

GSAx/G

+0.1210th

3rd11.8%

Sh%

9.6%27th

24th89.1%

Sv%

89.9%12th

18th50.8%

xGF% (L20)

53.7%6th

PITSpecial teamsCBJ

12th7.74

PP xG/60

7.2420th

13th80.0

PP FF/60

75.523rd

19th4.6

PP min/G

4.032nd

4th6.50

PK xGA/60

8.7030th

15th4.7

PK min/G

4.511th

PITRecent formCBJ

W@ PHI 7-0Wvs MTL 6-5Lvs WPG 2-3L@ WSH 3-5

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs BUF 6-3Lvs UTA 1-4

Game by game

2-2-0

Record

1-1-0

3-1

Over–under

—

PITHome and roadseason to dateCBJ

1-1-0

Home record

1-1-0

Road record

0-0-0

1-1

Home O/U

—

2-0

Road O/U

—

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

PITRest & travelCBJ

2 days

Days of rest

6 days

328 mi528 km

Travel to the game

Home

PITKey injuriesCBJ

None listed

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Injury report as of October 9, 12:40 p.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.

The pre-game matchup

The Penguins (2-2-0) visited the Blue Jackets (1-1-0) on Friday, October 9 at 7:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Penguins scored 3.57 goals per game (3rd of 32) and allowed 3.27 (24th). The Blue Jackets scored 3.09 goals per game (16th of 32) and allowed 3.09 (16th). The Penguins earned 59.8% of available standings points (10th) and the Blue Jackets 56.1% (15th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Penguins 51.7% (8th), Blue Jackets 51.4% (10th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Penguins 50.2% (13th), Blue Jackets 50.8% (11th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Penguins 57.4% (3rd), Blue Jackets 50.3% (15th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Penguins -105, Blue Jackets -118) prices the Penguins at 49% and the Blue Jackets at 51%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Columbus Blue Jackets won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5): Pittsburgh Penguins covered.
Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
Columbus Blue Jackets closed at -118 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Decided

In a shootout

Columbus Blue Jackets won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

49%Market at the close51%

Pittsburgh PenguinsColumbus Blue Jackets

47%Market at the open53%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Pittsburgh Penguins.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Pittsburgh Penguins 49%, Columbus Blue Jackets 51%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 10:52 — Columbus Blue Jackets goal (0-1)Columbus Blue Jackets 51% → 67% (+16 pts)
3rd 3:19 — Pittsburgh Penguins goal (2-2)Pittsburgh Penguins 22% → 49% (+27 pts)
OT 5:00 — Columbus Blue Jackets game-endColumbus Blue Jackets 50% → 100% (+50 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

22%PIT

Share of G&W replays won

78%CBJ

2.1

Expected goals

4.2

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Columbus Blue Jackets won 78% of G&W replays (Pittsburgh Penguins 22%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Columbus Blue Jackets. Here is where that came from.

Penguins	Goals	Blue Jackets
2.1	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	3.1
0.0	Power-play chancesexpected goals	1.0
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.1
2.1	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	4.2
0.8	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.5
0.4	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	1.0
-0.9	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-2.7
+2.7	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Sergei Murashov 43/45 · Cam Talbot 20/22	+0.9

Bar left: Penguins gainedBar right: Blue Jackets gained

How the margin was built, from Columbus Blue Jackets's side:

Chances +1.9Finishing & goaltending -1.9Shootout +1Columbus Blue Jackets by 1

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Jessica's HandicapPittsburgh Penguins ML +1062.00uLOSS -2.00u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Columbus Blue Jackets closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.

The line moved toward Pittsburgh Penguins before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenBlue Jackets -1.5 (+187)
Penguins +1.5 (-232)

CloseBlue Jackets -1.5 (+200)
Penguins +1.5 (-262)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -105 / u -118)

Close6.5 (o -130 / u +105)

Moneyline

OpenPenguins +103 47%
Blue Jackets -121 53%

ClosePenguins -105 49%
Blue Jackets -118 51%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

Unlock every game with Analytics — $44.44/mo See today’s free game →

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 26 times since 2018-19: the Penguins won 18 and the Blue Jackets 8.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Jan 17, 2026	Blue Jackets 4, Penguins 3 SO Blue Jackets won	Penguins -120 underdog won	6.5 over
Jan 4, 2026	Penguins 5, Blue Jackets 4 OT Penguins won	Blue Jackets -130 underdog won	6.5 over
Nov 28, 2025	Penguins 4, Blue Jackets 3 OT Penguins won	Blue Jackets -135 underdog won	6.5 over
Oct 25, 2025	Blue Jackets 5, Penguins 4 SO Blue Jackets won	Penguins -120 underdog won	6.5 over
Mar 21, 2025	Blue Jackets 3, Penguins 6 Penguins won	Penguins -118 favorite won	6 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams