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NHL · October 24, 2026

Nashville Predators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Final — October 24, 2026

Nashville Predators

3-3-3

Goalie Juuse Saros Confirmed

FINAL

Pittsburgh Penguins

4-6-1

Goalie Arturs Silovs Expected

Saturday, October 24 · 7:10 PM ET

NSHStarting goaliesPIT

This season

Starts

.907

Sv%

.885

.852

HDSv%

.800

+1.1

GSAx

−0.4

Last season

Starts

.894

Sv%

.888

.799

HDSv%

.817

−11.0

GSAx

−11.5

NSHOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)PIT

21st3.01

GF/G

3.573rd

11th8.39

PP GF/60

8.5010th

NSHDefensePIT

25th3.28

GA/G

3.2724th

5th6.27

PK GA/60

6.787th

NSHTeamPIT

22nd52.4%

Pts%

59.8%10th

22nd48.5%

xGF%

51.7%8th

14th50.1%

CF%

50.2%13th

16th49.0%

HDCF%

57.4%3rd

NSH5-on-5PIT

18th2.47

xGF/60

2.726th

23rd2.63

xGA/60

2.5416th

26th8.7%

Sh%

11.1%2nd

18th90.5%

Sv%

90.1%20th

19th114.8

CF/60 (both)

116.911th

20th−0.05

GAx/G

+0.263rd

16th−0.01

GSAx/G

−0.0820th

23rd10.0%

Sh%

11.8%3rd

14th89.7%

Sv%

89.1%24th

28th43.2%

xGF% (L20)

50.8%18th

NSHSpecial teamsPIT

21st7.24

PP xG/60

7.7412th

18th77.4

PP FF/60

80.013th

16th4.7

PP min/G

4.619th

14th7.50

PK xGA/60

6.504th

26th5.0

PK min/G

4.715th

NSHRecent formPIT

OTL@ OTT 2-3Lvs VGK 2-5OTLvs SJS 2-3Wvs STL 5-2L@ BOS 0-6

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ CHI 3-5L@ COL 2-5L@ VGK 2-6L@ UTA 4-5Wvs FLA 4-0

Game by game

3-3-3

Record

4-6-1

1-2-2

Last 5

1-4-0

4-5

Over–under

—

Last 10

3-6-1

NSHHome and roadseason to datePIT

2-2-1

Home record

3-1-0

1-1-2

Road record

1-5-1

2-3

Home O/U

—

2-2

Road O/U

—

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

NSHRest & travelPIT

2 days

Days of rest

2 days

481 mi774 km

Travel to the game

Home

NSHKey injuriesPIT

None listed

Players out or limited

Bryan Rust RWIRTrevor van Riemsdyk DIRSamuel Girard DDay-to-dayEvgeni Malkin CDay-to-day +1 more key player listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 24, 10:10 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Predators (3-3-3) visited the Penguins (4-6-1) on Saturday, October 24 at 7:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Predators scored 3.01 goals per game (21st of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Penguins scored 3.57 goals per game (3rd of 32) and allowed 3.27 (24th). The Predators earned 52.4% of available standings points (22nd) and the Penguins 59.8% (10th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Predators 48.5% (22nd), Penguins 51.7% (8th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Predators 50.1% (14th), Penguins 50.2% (13th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Predators 49.0% (16th), Penguins 57.4% (3rd). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Predators +106, Penguins -128) prices the Predators at 46% and the Penguins at 54%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Nashville Predators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Pittsburgh Penguins won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5): Nashville Predators covered.
Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
Pittsburgh Penguins closed at -128 on the moneyline (a 54% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Nashville Predators 2
Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Decided

In overtime

Pittsburgh Penguins won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

46%Market at the close54%

Nashville PredatorsPittsburgh Penguins

46%Market at the open54%

The market barely moved from open to close.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Nashville Predators 46%, Pittsburgh Penguins 54%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

2nd 6:40 — Nashville Predators goal (2-1)Nashville Predators 47% → 67% (+20 pts)
3rd 18:54 — Pittsburgh Penguins goal (2-2)Pittsburgh Penguins 6% → 51% (+45 pts)
OT 3:44 — Pittsburgh Penguins goal (2-3)Pittsburgh Penguins 50% → 100% (+50 pts)

Pittsburgh Penguins won after falling as low as 6% (3rd 18:54).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

40%NSH

Share of G&W replays won

60%PIT

2.8

Expected goals

3.6

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Pittsburgh Penguins won 60% of G&W replays (Nashville Predators 40%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Predators	Goals	Penguins
2.7	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	3.1
0.1	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.4
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.1
2.8	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	3.6
0.0	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.3
0.0	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.9
-0.8	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-0.9
+0.9	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Juuse Saros 34/37 · Arturs Silovs 24/26	+0.8

Bar left: Predators gainedBar right: Penguins gained

How the margin was built, from Pittsburgh Penguins's side:

Chances +1.2Finishing & goaltending -0.2Pittsburgh Penguins by 1

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Pittsburgh Penguins closed as the market favourite at 54% and won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenPenguins -1.5 (+165)
Predators +1.5 (-205)

ClosePenguins -1.5 (+184)
Predators +1.5 (-232)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -114 / u -107)

Close6.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenPredators +107 46%
Penguins -127 54%

ClosePredators +106 46%
Penguins -128 54%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Predators won 4 and the Penguins 10.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 16, 2025	Predators 0, Penguins 4 Penguins won	Penguins -134 favorite won	6.5 under
Nov 14, 2025	Penguins 1, Predators 2 OT Predators won	Penguins -130 underdog won	6.5 under
Feb 1, 2025	Predators 0, Penguins 3 Penguins won	Predators -120 underdog won	6.5 under
Dec 19, 2024	Penguins 5, Predators 4 OT Penguins won	Predators -157 underdog won	6 over
Apr 15, 2024	Predators 2, Penguins 4 Penguins won	Penguins -114 favorite won	6 push

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams