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NHL · October 20, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes vs Vancouver Canucks Final — October 20, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes

7-2-1

Goalie Pyotr Kochetkov Confirmed

FINAL

Vancouver Canucks

2-7-1

Goalie Leevi Merilainen Confirmed

Tuesday, October 20 · 10:10 PM ET

CARStarting goaliesVAN

This season

Starts

—

.912

Sv%

—

1.000

HDSv%

—

+2.2

GSAx

—

Last season

Starts

—

.899

Sv%

—

.647

HDSv%

—

−1.3

GSAx

—

CAROffense2026-27 regular season to dateVAN

7th3.60

GF/G

3.0017th

8th9.56

PP GF/60

7.0618th

CARDefenseVAN

6th2.40

GA/G

4.5031st

3rd3.04

PK GA/60

15.9931st

CARTeamVAN

4th75.0%

Pts%

25.0%30th

1st61.8%

xGF%

39.2%31st

2nd60.1%

CF%

42.4%29th

1st71.9%

HDCF%

39.5%26th

CAR5-on-5VAN

1st3.32

xGF/60

2.0228th

4th2.05

xGA/60

3.1332nd

20th8.9%

Sh%

11.0%7th

25th88.8%

Sv%

89.5%20th

18th112.7

CF/60 (both)

109.723rd

24th−0.33

GAx/G

+0.636th

20th−0.09

GSAx/G

−0.9730th

20th10.3%

Sh%

13.9%4th

13th89.5%

Sv%

86.3%29th

CARSpecial teamsVAN

8th8.44

PP xG/60

5.1131st

11th77.4

PP FF/60

56.529th

3rd6.3

PP min/G

5.117th

1st4.95

PK xGA/60

11.0132nd

24th5.9

PK min/G

4.510th

CARRecent formVAN

W@ CHI 5-2W@ PHI 4-1Wvs WSH 4-2W@ WPG 3-2L@ CGY 2-3

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ NJD 1-4L@ NYR 2-6L@ NYI 2-3OTL@ FLA 2-3L@ TBL 2-4

Game by game

7-2-1

Record

2-7-1

4-1-0

Last 5

0-4-1

7-2-1

Last 10

2-7-1

4-6

Over–under

4-6

CARHome and roadseason to dateVAN

2-1-1

Home record

1-2-0

5-1-0

Road record

1-5-1

2-2

Home O/U

1-2

2-4

Road O/U

3-4

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

CARRest & travelVAN

2 days

Days of rest

3 days

419 mi674 km

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

CARKey injuriesVAN

Seth Jarvis CIRJordan Staal CIR

Players out or limited

Marco Rossi COut

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 20, 9:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Hurricanes (7-2-1) visited the Canucks (2-7-1) on Tuesday, October 20 at 10:10 PM ET.

The Hurricanes score 3.60 goals per game (7th of 32) and allow 2.40 (6th). The Canucks score 3.00 goals per game (17th of 32) and allow 4.50 (31st). The Hurricanes earn 75.0% of available standings points (4th) and the Canucks 25.0% (30th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Hurricanes 61.8% (1st), Canucks 39.2% (31st). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Hurricanes 60.1% (2nd), Canucks 42.4% (29th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Hurricanes 71.9% (1st), Canucks 39.5% (26th).

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Hurricanes -300, Canucks +240) prices the Hurricanes at 72% and the Canucks at 28%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Carolina Hurricanes 6, Vancouver Canucks 3

Carolina Hurricanes won by 3.

Against the closing spread (Vancouver Canucks +1.5): Carolina Hurricanes covered.
Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Carolina Hurricanes closed at -300 on the moneyline (a 72% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Carolina Hurricanes 6
Vancouver Canucks 3

Decided

In regulation

Carolina Hurricanes won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

72%Market at the close28%

Carolina HurricanesVancouver Canucks

71%Market at the open29%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Carolina Hurricanes.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Carolina Hurricanes 72%, Vancouver Canucks 28%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

2nd 2:26 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (3-2)Carolina Hurricanes 68% → 83% (+15 pts)
2nd 13:07 — Vancouver Canucks goal (3-3)Vancouver Canucks 15% → 34% (+20 pts)
3rd 4:07 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (4-3)Carolina Hurricanes 63% → 86% (+24 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

90%CAR

Share of G&W replays won

10%VAN

5.7

Expected goals

1.7

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Carolina Hurricanes won 90% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 10%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Carolina Hurricanes. Here is where that came from.

Hurricanes	Goals	Canucks
3.1	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.4
2.5	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.2
0.1	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.1
5.7	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	1.7
0.2	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.1
1.2	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.2
-0.8	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+1.2
-1.2	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Pyotr Kochetkov 14/17 · Leevi Meriläinen 38/43	+0.8
1	Empty-net goals	0

Bar left: Hurricanes gainedBar right: Canucks gained

How the margin was built, from Carolina Hurricanes's side:

Chances +4.1Finishing & goaltending -2.1Empty net +1Carolina Hurricanes by 3

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Carolina Hurricanes closed as the market favourite at 72% and won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenCanucks +1.5 (-100)
Hurricanes -1.5 (-120)

CloseCanucks +1.5 (-103)
Hurricanes -1.5 (-120)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -107 / u -113)

Close6.5 (o -104 / u -118)

Moneyline

OpenHurricanes -287 71%
Canucks +230 29%

CloseHurricanes -300 72%
Canucks +240 28%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 15 times since 2018-19: the Hurricanes won 10 and the Canucks 5.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 8, 2026	Canucks 2, Hurricanes 7 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -375 favorite won	6.5 over
Mar 4, 2026	Hurricanes 6, Canucks 4 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -355 favorite won	6 over
Nov 14, 2025	Canucks 3, Hurricanes 4 OT Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -300 favorite won	6.5 over
Jan 10, 2025	Canucks 0, Hurricanes 2 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -175 favorite won	6 under
Oct 28, 2024	Hurricanes 4, Canucks 3 OT Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -130 favorite won	6 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams