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NHL · October 25, 2026

Colorado Avalanche vs Nashville Predators Final — October 25, 2026

Colorado Avalanche

6-4-1

Goalie Scott Wedgewood Confirmed

FINAL

Nashville Predators

3-3-4

Goalie Justus Annunen Confirmed

Sunday, October 25 · 8:10 PM ET

COLStarting goaliesNSH

This season

Starts

.912

Sv%

.806

.800

HDSv%

.857

−0.5

GSAx

−2.1

Last season

Starts

.921

Sv%

.907

.850

HDSv%

.897

+22.3

GSAx

+10.3

COLOffense2026-27 regular season to dateNSH

2nd4.27

GF/G

2.5027th

20th7.06

PP GF/60

8.7512th

COLDefenseNSH

11th3.09

GA/G

3.3019th

12th6.23

PK GA/60

5.909th

COLTeamNSH

16th59.1%

Pts%

50.0%21st

17th49.3%

xGF%

43.8%27th

14th51.3%

CF%

43.8%28th

21st45.2%

HDCF%

38.9%25th

COL5-on-5NSH

14th2.57

xGF/60

2.1329th

22nd2.64

xGA/60

2.7324th

1st14.8%

Sh%

6.7%28th

10th91.1%

Sv%

91.1%11th

3rd119.5

CF/60 (both)

113.315th

2nd+1.27

GAx/G

−0.3322nd

14th−0.02

GSAx/G

+0.0513th

3rd14.0%

Sh%

9.3%24th

10th89.8%

Sv%

89.7%11th

COLSpecial teamsNSH

19th6.95

PP xG/60

7.1217th

25th62.5

PP FF/60

65.024th

7th5.4

PP min/G

4.820th

11th6.97

PK xGA/60

6.788th

6th4.4

PK min/G

5.116th

COLRecent formNSH

OTLvs DAL 2-3Wvs PIT 5-2L@ PHI 2-3L@ NJD 3-4Wvs TBL 6-3

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs VGK 2-5OTLvs SJS 2-3Wvs STL 5-2L@ BOS 0-6OTL@ PIT 2-3

Game by game

6-4-1

Record

3-3-4

2-2-1

Last 5

1-2-2

5-4-1

Last 10

3-3-4

7-4

Over–under

4-6

COLHome and roadseason to dateNSH

4-1-1

Home record

2-2-1

2-3-0

Road record

1-1-3

5-1

Home O/U

2-3

Road O/U

2-3

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

COLRest & travelNSH

2 days

Days of rest

1 dayback-to-back

1,022 mi1,644 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

COLKey injuriesNSH

None listed

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Injury report as of October 25, 6:40 p.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.

The pre-game matchup

The Avalanche (6-4-1) visited the Predators (3-3-4) on Sunday, October 25 at 8:10 PM ET.

The Avalanche score 4.27 goals per game (2nd of 32) and allow 3.09 (11th). The Predators score 2.50 goals per game (27th of 32) and allow 3.30 (19th). The Avalanche earn 59.1% of available standings points (16th) and the Predators 50.0% (21st).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Avalanche 49.3% (17th), Predators 43.8% (27th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Avalanche 51.3% (14th), Predators 43.8% (28th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Avalanche 45.2% (21st), Predators 38.9% (25th).

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Avalanche -238, Predators +195) prices the Avalanche at 68% and the Predators at 32%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Colorado Avalanche 2, Nashville Predators 6

Nashville Predators won by 4.

Against the closing spread (Nashville Predators +1.5): Nashville Predators covered.
Combined score 8 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Nashville Predators closed at +195 on the moneyline (a 32% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Colorado Avalanche 2
Nashville Predators 6

Decided

In regulation

Nashville Predators won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

68%Market at the close32%

Colorado AvalancheNashville Predators

67%Market at the open33%

From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Colorado Avalanche.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Colorado Avalanche 68%, Nashville Predators 32%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 4:01 — Nashville Predators goal (0-1)Nashville Predators 34% → 49% (+16 pts)
1st 10:48 — Nashville Predators goal (0-2)Nashville Predators 50% → 66% (+16 pts)
2nd 6:38 — Nashville Predators goal (0-3)Nashville Predators 77% → 89% (+12 pts)

Nashville Predators won after falling as low as 32% (1st 0:00).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

31%COL

Share of G&W replays won

69%NSH

2.0

Expected goals

3.2

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Nashville Predators won 69% of G&W replays (Colorado Avalanche 31%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Nashville Predators. Here is where that came from.

Avalanche	Goals	Predators
1.5	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.9
0.1	Power-play chancesexpected goals	1.3
0.4	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
2.0	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	3.2
0.0	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.5
+0.0	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+2.8
-2.8	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Scott Wedgewood 29/35 · Justus Annunen 19/21	-0.0

Bar left: Avalanche gainedBar right: Predators gained

How the margin was built, from Nashville Predators's side:

Chances +1.3Finishing & goaltending +2.7Nashville Predators by 4

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Colorado Avalanche closed as the market favourite at 68% and lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenPredators +1.5 (-121)
Avalanche -1.5 (-100)

ClosePredators +1.5 (-126)
Avalanche -1.5 (+105)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -120 / u -102)

Close6.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenAvalanche -230 67%
Predators +190 33%

CloseAvalanche -238 68%
Predators +195 32%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 25 times since 2018-19: the Avalanche won 14 and the Predators 11.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Jan 16, 2026	Predators 7, Avalanche 3 Predators won	Avalanche -310 underdog won	6.5 over
Dec 13, 2025	Predators 2, Avalanche 4 Avalanche won	Avalanche -375 favorite won	6.5 under
Dec 9, 2025	Avalanche 3, Predators 4 SO Predators won	Avalanche -205 underdog won	6 over
Nov 22, 2025	Avalanche 3, Predators 0 Avalanche won	Avalanche -230 favorite won	6.5 under
Feb 22, 2025	Avalanche 1, Predators 2 Predators won	Avalanche -140 underdog won	6.5 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams