St Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings Final — October 31, 2026
STLStarting goaliesDET
STLOffense2026-27 regular season to dateDETSTLDefenseDETSTLTeamDETSTL5-on-5DETSTLSpecial teamsDETSTLRecent formDETSTLHome and roadseason to dateDETInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
STLRest & travelDETSTLKey injuriesDETAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 31, 9:40 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Blues (6-6-1) visited the Red Wings (6-4-3) on Saturday, October 31 at 1:10 PM ET.
The Blues score 3.00 goals per game (21st of 32) and allow 2.92 (8th). The Red Wings score 2.85 goals per game (24th of 32) and allow 2.92 (8th). The Blues earn 50.0% of available standings points (22nd) and the Red Wings 57.7% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Blues 50.6% (15th), Red Wings 57.1% (4th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Blues 49.4% (16th), Red Wings 53.9% (7th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Blues 61.5% (5th), Red Wings 68.4% (2nd).
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Blues -105, Red Wings -115) prices the Blues at 49% and the Red Wings at 51%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
St Louis Blues 5, Detroit Red Wings 4
St Louis Blues won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Detroit Red Wings -1.5): St Louis Blues covered.
- Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 5.5: Over.
- St Louis Blues closed at -105 on the moneyline (a 49% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Detroit Red Wings 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward St Louis Blues.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (St Louis Blues 49%, Detroit Red Wings 51%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 0:41 — Detroit Red Wings goal (1-2)Detroit Red Wings 51% → 69% (+18 pts)
- 3rd 12:57 — St Louis Blues goal (4-4)St Louis Blues 14% → 50% (+36 pts)
- 3rd 13:15 — St Louis Blues goal (5-4)St Louis Blues 50% → 86% (+36 pts)
St Louis Blues won after falling as low as 5% (3rd 8:37).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, St Louis Blues won 51% of G&W replays (Detroit Red Wings 49%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Blues | Goals | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.7 |
| 0.2 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.3 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.1 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.0 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.1 |
| +2.9 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +1.8 |
| -1.8 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Joel Hofer 24/28 · John Gibson 10/15 | -2.9 |
How the margin was built, from St Louis Blues's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Detroit Red Wings closed as the market favourite at 51% and lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Blues +1.5 (-250)
Blues +1.5 (-276)
Red Wings -119 52%
Red Wings -115 51%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Blues won 6 and the Red Wings 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Red Wings 5, Blues 2 Red Wings won | Red Wings -112 favorite won | 6 over |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Blues 4, Red Wings 6 Red Wings won | Blues -114 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Red Wings 1, Blues 2 OT Blues won | Blues -184 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Blues 4, Red Wings 0 Blues won | Red Wings -114 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Blues 1, Red Wings 6 Red Wings won | Red Wings -150 favorite won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
St Louis Blues
- St Louis Blues team stats
- St Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils (Nov 5)
- St Louis Blues 1, New York Rangers 3 (Nov 3)
- Boston Bruins 1, St Louis Blues 4 (Oct 29)
- Montréal Canadiens 2, St Louis Blues 0 (Oct 27)
Detroit Red Wings
More NHL games on October 31, 2026
- Chicago Blackhawks 4, Boston Bruins 5 (Oct 31)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 5 (Oct 31)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Islanders 0 (Oct 31)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (Oct 31)
- Ottawa Senators 5, San Jose Sharks 1 (Oct 31)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Montréal Canadiens 5 (Oct 31)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 31)
- Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 31)
- Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Oct 31)
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