New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
UNMOffense2026 regular season to dateSJSU
UNMDefenseSJSUUNMLast 10 gamesSJSURest & travelrest and travel
UNMRest & travelSJSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
New Mexico (5-1) visits San José State (3-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 4:00 PM ET.
New Mexico has the 82nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 1st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, San José State has the 133rd-ranked offense and the 58th-ranked defense. When New Mexico has the ball, a 82nd-ranked offense (+0.025 EPA per play) meets a 58th-ranked defense (+0.030 allowed); when San José State has it, a 133rd-ranked offense (−0.143) meets a 1st-ranked defense (−0.262 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the New Mexico offense is at 48.1% (56th) and the San José State offense at 39.1% (137th). New Mexico scores 31.5 points per game (36th) and allows 12.0 (1st); San José State scores 19.0 (120th) and allows 22.9 (42nd).
New Mexico is 6-1 and 6-1 against the spread; its last game was a 21-16 win over North Dakota State.
New Mexico is a 15-point road favorite, with San José State getting the points at home. The spread opened at New Mexico -14.5. The total is 41.5, up from 40.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (New Mexico -700, San José State +500) prices New Mexico at 84% and San José State at 16%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
New Mexico -14.5 (-103)
New Mexico -15 (-109)
San José State +490 16%
San José State +500 16%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- New Mexico -15-108BetMGM
- San José State +15-110BetMGM
- Over 41.5-110Hard Rock
- Under 41.5+103ProphetX
- New Mexico-600ProphetX
- San José State+567Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts76
- Completion %57.9%
- Passing yards595
- Yards per attempt7.8
- TD–INT4–3
- Rushing yards45380th
- Season line95 carries, 453 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards265267th
- Season line20 catches, 265 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles43242nd
- Attempts219
- Completion %63.0%102nd
- Passing yards1,62077th
- Yards per attempt7.4122nd
- TD–INT11–6
- Rushing yards58639th
- Season line131 carries, 586 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards55138th
- Season line47 catches, 551 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles7110th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | New Mexico | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateNew Mexico offense vs San José State defense | 42.2%80th | 40.9%35th |
| Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs New Mexico defense | 32.2%2nd | 35.2%135th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNew Mexico offense vs San José State defense | 40.9%63rd | 35.0%28th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs New Mexico defense | 39.4%62nd | 30.1%126th |
| Explosive play rateNew Mexico offense vs San José State defense | 6.8%65th | 4.9%14th |
| Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs New Mexico defense | 5.9%44th | 5.3%115th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 34.4%133rd-highest | 54.0%36th-highest |
On 3rd down New Mexico converts 40.9% (63rd) against a San José State defense allowing 35.0% (28th).
On 3rd down San José State converts 30.1% (126th) against a New Mexico defense allowing 39.4% (62nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | New Mexico | San José State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jason Eck | Ken Niumatalolo |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 15–5 | 14–19 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 15–5 | 123–102 |
| Offensive coordinator | Luke Schleusner | Craig Stutzmann |
| Defensive coordinator | Spence Nowinsky | Bojay Filimoeatu |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: New Mexico won 0 and San José State 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | New Mexico 28, San José State 35 San José State won | ||
| Oct 14, 2023 | San José State 52, New Mexico 24 San José State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
New Mexico Lobos
- New Mexico Lobos team stats
- North Dakota State Bison 16, New Mexico Lobos 21 (Oct 24)
- New Mexico Lobos 21, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 10 (Oct 17)
- UTEP Miners 7, New Mexico Lobos 61 (Oct 3)
San Jose State Spartans
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