San Jose State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack Final — October 24, 2026
SJSUOffense2026 regular season to dateNEV
SJSUDefenseNEVSJSULast 10 gamesNEVRest & travelrest and travel
SJSURest & travelNEVAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
San José State (3-3) visited Nevada (2-3) on Saturday, October 24 at 5:00 PM ET.
San José State has the 123rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 68th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Nevada has the 73rd-ranked offense and the 54th-ranked defense. When San José State has the ball, a 123rd-ranked offense (−0.098 EPA per play) meets a 54th-ranked defense (+0.033 allowed); when Nevada has it, a 73rd-ranked offense (+0.046) meets a 68th-ranked defense (+0.067 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the San José State offense is at 39.8% (130th) and the Nevada offense at 42.4% (114th). San José State scores 20.0 points per game (108th) and allows 22.0 (41st); Nevada scores 29.8 (43rd) and allows 24.2 (57th).
Nevada is 2-4 and 4-2 against the spread; its last game was a 31-17 loss to North Dakota State.
Nevada closed as a 6-point favorite at home against San José State. The spread opened at Nevada -5.5. The total closed at 46.5, up from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (San José State +185, Nevada -225) prices San José State at 34% and Nevada at 66%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
San Jose State Spartans 13, Nevada Wolf Pack 28
Nevada Wolf Pack won by 15.
- Against the closing spread (Nevada Wolf Pack -6): Nevada Wolf Pack covered.
- Combined score 41 vs the closing total of 46.5: Under.
- Nevada Wolf Pack closed at -225 on the moneyline (a 66% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Nevada Wolf Pack.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (San Jose State Spartans 34%, Nevada Wolf Pack 66%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 10:56 — Nevada Wolf Pack ball, 3rd & 14 at NEV 39Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short middle to #9 M.Brown caught at SJSU45, for 24 yards to the SJSU37 (#97 J.Norwood; #1 B.Dukes), 1ST DOWNNevada Wolf Pack 68% → 75% (+7 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 13:26 — Nevada Wolf Pack ball, 1st & 10 at NEV 21Shotgun #8 R.Slone pass intercepted by #14 J.Robertson at Nevada41 #14 J.Robertson return 4 yards to the Nevada37, out of bounds at Nevada37San Jose State Spartans 16% → 23% (+7 pts) · Drive 6 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 2:28 — Nevada Wolf Pack ball, 4th & 1 at NEV 48Shotgun #0 D.Kelley rush middle for 0 yards to the Nevada48 (#39 T.Tagovailoa-Amosa), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSan Jose State Spartans 15% → 21% (+6 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 7:23 — Nevada Wolf Pack ball, 3rd & 10 at NEV 16Shotgun #12 L.Duncan pass complete short middle to #11 D.Morgan caught at Nevada29, for 14 yards to the Nevada30 (#39 T.Tagovailoa-Amosa), 1ST DOWNNevada Wolf Pack 73% → 79% (+6 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| San José State | Points added | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| -17.1 | Passingdropbacks | -4.5 |
| -6.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | -9.3 |
| +0.0 | Explosive plays0 plays · 3 plays | +9.2 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -5.0 |
| +5.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +3.7 |
| -1.9 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -3.5 |
| +2.2 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 2 · 2 of 3 | -1.5 |
| -18.5 | All plays | -10.9 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 12.7 points to Nevada Wolf Pack. The final margin was 15.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Nevada Wolf Pack closed as the market favourite at 66% and won.
The line moved toward Nevada Wolf Pack before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
San José State +5.5 (-109)
San José State +6 (-110)
Nevada -191 63%
Nevada -225 66%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts209
- Completion %63.2%100th
- Passing yards1,52974th
- Yards per attempt7.3129th
- TD–INT11–6
- Rushing yards55631st
- Season line120 carries, 556 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards50930th
- Season line42 catches, 509 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles6511th
- Attempts89
- Completion %59.6%164th
- Passing yards654239th
- Yards per attempt7.3128th
- TD–INT3–2
- Rushing yards50042nd
- Season line87 carries, 500 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards260228th
- Season line15 catches, 260 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles712nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | San José State | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs Nevada defense | 34.7%137th | 40.0%28th |
| Early-down success rateNevada offense vs San José State defense | 41.0%36th | 38.8%119th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs Nevada defense | 34.2%106th | 29.6%5th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNevada offense vs San José State defense | 31.7%10th | 43.1%44th |
| Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs Nevada defense | 5.9%96th | 4.7%12th |
| Explosive play rateNevada offense vs San José State defense | 5.1%22nd | 7.3%50th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 54.1%35th-highest | 46.4%103rd-highest |
On 3rd down San José State converts 34.2% (106th) against a Nevada defense allowing 29.6% (5th).
On 3rd down Nevada converts 43.1% (44th) against a San José State defense allowing 31.7% (10th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | San José State | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ken Niumatalolo | Jeff Choate |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 14–18 | 8–23 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 123–101 | 8–23 |
| Offensive coordinator | Craig Stutzmann | Bret Bartalone |
| Defensive coordinator | Bojay Filimoeatu | Kane Ioane |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: San José State won 2 and Nevada 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | San José State 10, Nevada 55 Nevada won | ||
| Oct 5, 2024 | Nevada 31, San José State 35 San José State won | ||
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nevada 28, San José State 35 San José State won | ||
| Nov 6, 2021 | San José State 24, Nevada 27 Nevada won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
San Jose State Spartans
- San Jose State Spartans team stats
- New Mexico Lobos at San Jose State Spartans (Oct 31)
- San Jose State Spartans 24, UTEP Miners 11 (Oct 17)
- Wyoming Cowboys 16, San Jose State Spartans 13 (Oct 9)
- San Jose State Spartans 20, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 16 (Oct 3)
Nevada Wolf Pack
- Nevada Wolf Pack team stats
- Nevada Wolf Pack at UCLA Bruins (Oct 31)
- Nevada Wolf Pack 17, North Dakota State Bison 31 (Oct 17)
- Nevada Wolf Pack 30, UTEP Miners 13 (Oct 10)
- Air Force Falcons 36, Nevada Wolf Pack 33 (Sep 26)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results