San Jose State Spartans vs UTEP Miners Final — October 17, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
San José State (2-3) visited UTEP (0-5) on Saturday, October 17 at 9:00 PM ET.
San José State has the 125th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 59th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UTEP has the 133rd-ranked offense and the 125th-ranked defense. When San José State has the ball, a 125th-ranked offense (−0.121 EPA per play) meets a 125th-ranked defense (+0.243 allowed); when UTEP has it, a 133rd-ranked offense (−0.191) meets a 59th-ranked defense (+0.035 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the San José State offense is at 40.2% (126th) and the UTEP offense at 39.6% (130th). San José State scores 19.2 points per game (109th) and allows 24.2 (56th); UTEP scores 8.8 (138th) and allows 45.4 (136th).
UTEP is 1-5 and 1-5 against the spread; its last game was a 30-13 loss to Nevada.
San José State closed as a 6.5-point road favorite, with UTEP getting the points at home. The spread opened at San José State -10. The total closed at 46.5, down from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (San José State -270, UTEP +220) prices San José State at 70% and UTEP at 30%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
San Jose State Spartans 24, UTEP Miners 11
San Jose State Spartans won by 13.
- Against the closing spread (UTEP Miners +6.5): San Jose State Spartans covered.
- Combined score 35 vs the closing total of 46.5: Under.
- San Jose State Spartans closed at -270 on the moneyline (a 70% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 6 points toward UTEP Miners.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (San Jose State Spartans 70%, UTEP Miners 30%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 14:44 — UTEP Miners ball, 1st & 10 at UTEP 25Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Thomas caught at SJSU32, for 64 yards to the SJSU11 (#1 B.Dukes), 1ST DOWNUTEP Miners 30% → 39% (+9 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 14:32 — San Jose State Spartans ball, 2nd & 6 at SJSU 29No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Rolovich pass complete deep right to #1 C.Clark caught at UTEP41, for 63 yards to the UTEP08 (#2 X.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSan Jose State Spartans 85% → 91% (+6 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| San José State | Points added | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1 | Passingdropbacks | -14.0 |
| -8.8 | Rushingdesigned runs | +18.6 |
| +13.0 | Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays | +9.7 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +0.9 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.5 |
| +1.6 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.7 |
| +2.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 3 · 1 of 3 | -0.6 |
| +3.7 | All plays | +13.5 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 27.5 points to UTEP Miners. The final margin was 13.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
San Jose State Spartans closed as the market favourite at 70% and won.
The line moved toward UTEP Miners before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
San José State -10 (-110)
San José State -6.5 (-120)
UTEP +292 24%
UTEP +220 30%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts209
- Completion %63.2%107th
- Passing yards1,52940th
- Yards per attempt7.3129th
- TD–INT11–6
- Rushing yards55618th
- Season line120 carries, 556 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards40542nd
- Season line37 catches, 405 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles5413th
- Attempts77
- Completion %63.6%100th
- Passing yards541248th
- Yards per attempt7.0152nd
- TD–INT7–3
- Rushing yards35978th
- Season line48 carries, 359 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards179336th
- Season line16 catches, 179 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles39122nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | San José State | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs UTEP defense | 35.0%136th | 46.0%107th |
| Early-down success rateUTEP offense vs San José State defense | 40.0%31st | 38.1%124th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs UTEP defense | 31.8%114th | 56.4%137th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUTEP offense vs San José State defense | 31.8%13th | 18.6%138th |
| Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs UTEP defense | 5.4%106th | 7.4%90th |
| Explosive play rateUTEP offense vs San José State defense | 5.2%20th | 4.5%125th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 56.5%21st-highest | 46.6%96th-highest |
On 3rd down San José State converts 31.8% (114th) against a UTEP defense allowing 56.4% (137th).
On 3rd down UTEP converts 18.6% (138th) against a San José State defense allowing 31.8% (13th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | San José State | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ken Niumatalolo | Scotty Walden |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 13–18 | 6–24 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 122–101 | 7–27 |
| Offensive coordinator | Craig Stutzmann | Joe Pappalardo / Lanear Sampson |
| Defensive coordinator | Bojay Filimoeatu | Kyle Beyer / Kelvin Sigler |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Teams
San Jose State Spartans
- San Jose State Spartans team stats
- New Mexico Lobos at San Jose State Spartans (Oct 31)
- San Jose State Spartans 13, Nevada Wolf Pack 28 (Oct 24)
- Wyoming Cowboys 16, San Jose State Spartans 13 (Oct 9)
- San Jose State Spartans 20, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 16 (Oct 3)
UTEP Miners
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
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