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NCAAF · October 17, 2026

San Jose State Spartans vs UTEP Miners Final — October 17, 2026

San Jose State Spartans logo
2-3
24
Quarterback Luke Weaver
FINAL
UTEP Miners logo
0-5
11
Quarterback EJ Colson
Saturday, October 17 · 9:00 PM ET
SJSUOffense2026 regular season to dateUTEP
125th−0.121
EPA/play
−0.191133rd
126th40.2%
Success %
39.6%130th
109th19.2
PPG
8.8138th
SJSUDefenseUTEP
59th+0.035
EPA/play allowed
+0.243125th
61st46.2%
Success % allowed
52.2%125th
56th24.2
Opp PPG
45.4136th
SJSULast 10 gamesUTEP
-16+6+10-16+4-3
Game by game
-51+41-35-26-54-17
3-3
Last 6
1-5
-15
Net points
-142
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
SJSURest & travelUTEP
8 days
Days of rest
7 days
953 mi1,534 km
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Sun Bowl
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

San José State (2-3) visited UTEP (0-5) on Saturday, October 17 at 9:00 PM ET.

San José State has the 125th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 59th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UTEP has the 133rd-ranked offense and the 125th-ranked defense. When San José State has the ball, a 125th-ranked offense (−0.121 EPA per play) meets a 125th-ranked defense (+0.243 allowed); when UTEP has it, a 133rd-ranked offense (−0.191) meets a 59th-ranked defense (+0.035 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the San José State offense is at 40.2% (126th) and the UTEP offense at 39.6% (130th). San José State scores 19.2 points per game (109th) and allows 24.2 (56th); UTEP scores 8.8 (138th) and allows 45.4 (136th).

UTEP is 1-5 and 1-5 against the spread; its last game was a 30-13 loss to Nevada.

San José State closed as a 6.5-point road favorite, with UTEP getting the points at home. The spread opened at San José State -10. The total closed at 46.5, down from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (San José State -270, UTEP +220) prices San José State at 70% and UTEP at 30%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

San Jose State Spartans 24, UTEP Miners 11

San Jose State Spartans won by 13.

  • Against the closing spread (UTEP Miners +6.5): San Jose State Spartans covered.
  • Combined score 35 vs the closing total of 46.5: Under.
  • San Jose State Spartans closed at -270 on the moneyline (a 70% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

70%Market at the close30%
San Jose State SpartansUTEP Miners
76%Market at the open24%

From open to close the market moved 6 points toward UTEP Miners.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (San Jose State Spartans 70%, UTEP Miners 30%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Market start1Q1 14:44: UTEP Miners 30% to 39%2Q3 14:32: San Jose State Spartans 85% to 91%■ UTEP■ San José State
 

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 14:44 — UTEP Miners ball, 1st & 10 at UTEP 25Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Thomas caught at SJSU32, for 64 yards to the SJSU11 (#1 B.Dukes), 1ST DOWNUTEP Miners 30% → 39% (+9 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
  2. Q3 14:32 — San Jose State Spartans ball, 2nd & 6 at SJSU 29No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Rolovich pass complete deep right to #1 C.Clark caught at UTEP41, for 63 yards to the UTEP08 (#2 X.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSan Jose State Spartans 85% → 91% (+6 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

San José StatePoints addedUTEP
-5.1Passingdropbacks
-14.0
-8.8Rushingdesigned runs
+18.6
+13.0Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays
+9.7
+0.0Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways
+0.0
+0.9Special teamskicks, punts and returns
+0.5
+1.6Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball
-0.7
+2.3Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 3 · 1 of 3
-0.6
+3.7All plays
+13.5
Bar left: San José State gainedBar right: UTEP gained

The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 27.5 points to UTEP Miners. The final margin was 13.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

Line review

San Jose State Spartans closed as the market favourite at 70% and won.

The line moved toward UTEP Miners before kickoff, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 3.5
OpenUTEP +10 (-110)
San José State -10 (-110)
CloseUTEP +6.5 (-102)
San José State -6.5 (-120)
Totaldown 6
Open52.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Close46.5 (o -109 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenSan José State -377 76%
UTEP +292 24%
CloseSan José State -270 70%
UTEP +220 30%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

San Jose State Spartans logo
San José State
QB · Luke Weaver
  • Attempts209
  • Completion %63.2%107th
  • Passing yards1,52940th
  • Yards per attempt7.3129th
  • TD–INT11–6
Leading rusher (RB) · Jabari Bates
  • Rushing yards55618th
  • Season line120 carries, 556 yds, 1 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Carson Clark
  • Receiving yards40542nd
  • Season line37 catches, 405 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Dylan Lee
  • Tackles5413th
UTEP Miners logo
UTEP
QB · EJ Colson
  • Attempts77
  • Completion %63.6%100th
  • Passing yards541248th
  • Yards per attempt7.0152nd
  • TD–INT7–3
Leading rusher (QB) · Raymond Moore III
  • Rushing yards35978th
  • Season line48 carries, 359 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Carver Cheeks
  • Receiving yards179336th
  • Season line16 catches, 179 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Isaiah Bogerty
  • Tackles39122nd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationSan José StateUTEP
Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs UTEP defense35.0%136th46.0%107th
Early-down success rateUTEP offense vs San José State defense40.0%31st38.1%124th
3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs UTEP defense31.8%114th56.4%137th
3rd-down conversion rateUTEP offense vs San José State defense31.8%13th18.6%138th
Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs UTEP defense5.4%106th7.4%90th
Explosive play rateUTEP offense vs San José State defense5.2%20th4.5%125th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks56.5%21st-highest46.6%96th-highest

On 3rd down San José State converts 31.8% (114th) against a UTEP defense allowing 56.4% (137th).

On 3rd down UTEP converts 18.6% (138th) against a San José State defense allowing 31.8% (13th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffSan José StateUTEP
Head coachKen NiumataloloScotty Walden
Tenureat this school3rd season3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below13–186–24
Career recordas an FBS head coach122–1017–27
Offensive coordinatorCraig StutzmannJoe Pappalardo / Lanear Sampson
Defensive coordinatorBojay FilimoeatuKyle Beyer / Kelvin Sigler

Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Teams

San Jose State Spartans

UTEP Miners

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