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NCAAF · October 23, 2026

Army Black Knights vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane Final — October 23, 2026

Army Black Knights logo
3-2
38
Quarterback Cale Hellums
FINAL
Tulsa Golden Hurricane logo
3-3
35
Quarterback Baylor Hayes
Friday, October 23 · 8:30 PM ET
ARMYOffense2026 regular season to dateTLSA
14th+0.260
EPA/play
+0.10256th
5th54.3%
Success %
45.2%87th
43rd30.0
PPG
26.865th
ARMYDefenseTLSA
133rd+0.283
EPA/play allowed
+0.06970th
92nd48.4%
Success % allowed
45.0%46th
47th23.4
Opp PPG
26.271st
ARMYRecent formTLSA
Lvs South Florida 24-28W@ Temple 21-17L@ Louisiana Tech 29-31Wvs Tulane 20-17Wvs Florida Atlantic 56-24
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs East Texas A&M 42-0L@ Arkansas 6-34Lvs North Texas 44-45L@ Navy 26-34W@ Rice 38-17
4-2
Record
4-3
2-3-1
ATS
4-3
4-2
Over–under
3-4
ARMYHome and roadseason to dateTLSA
3-1
Home record
2-1
1-1
Road record
2-2
2-2
Home ATS
3-0
0-1-1
Road ATS
1-3
3-1
Home O/U
1-2
1-1
Road O/U
2-2
ARMYLast 10 gamesTLSA
+56-4+4-2+3+32
Game by game
+14+6+42-28-1-8+21
4-2
Last 6
—
+89
Net points
+46
—
Last 7
4-3
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
ARMYRest & travelTLSA
6 days
Days of rest
6 days
1,234 mi1,986 km
Travel to the game
Home
−1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Chapman Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

Army (3-2) visited Tulsa (3-3) on Friday, October 23 at 8:30 PM ET.

Army has the 14th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 133rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Tulsa has the 56th-ranked offense and the 70th-ranked defense. When Army has the ball, a 14th-ranked offense (+0.260 EPA per play) meets a 70th-ranked defense (+0.069 allowed); when Tulsa has it, a 56th-ranked offense (+0.102) meets a 133rd-ranked defense (+0.283 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Army offense is at 54.3% (5th) and the Tulsa offense at 45.2% (87th). Army scores 30.0 points per game (43rd) and allows 23.4 (47th); Tulsa scores 26.8 (65th) and allows 26.2 (71st).

Army is 4-2 and 2-3-1 against the spread; its last game was a 56-24 win over Florida Atlantic. Tulsa is 4-3 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 38-17 win over Rice.

Army closed as a 1.5-point road favorite, with Tulsa getting the points at home. The spread opened with Tulsa favored by 1.5. The total closed at 53.5, up from 51.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Army -117, Tulsa -103) prices Army at 52% and Tulsa at 48%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Army Black Knights 38, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35

Army Black Knights won by 3.

  • Against the closing spread (Tulsa Golden Hurricane +1.5): Army Black Knights covered.
  • Combined score 73 vs the closing total of 53.5: Over.
  • Army Black Knights closed at -117 on the moneyline (a 52% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

52%Market at the close48%
Army Black KnightsTulsa Golden Hurricane
49%Market at the open51%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Army Black Knights.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Army Black Knights 52%, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 48%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTMarket start1Q3 4:15: Tulsa Golden Hurricane 28% to 47%2Q4 3:52: Army Black Knights 15% to 36%3Q4 1:50: Tulsa Golden Hurricane 12% to 60%4Q4 0:06: Army Black Knights 55% to 72%5OT: Army Black Knights 77% to 100%■ Tulsa■ Army
 

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 4:15 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane ball, 1st & 10 at TLSA 41No Huddle-Shotgun #3 T.Jones rush middle for 59 yards gain to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #10 O.Carey kick attempt good (H: #29 M.Tulen, LS: #42…Tulsa Golden Hurricane 28% → 47% (+19 pts) · Drive 15 in Drive X-Ray
  2. Q4 3:52 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane ball, 4th & 8 at TLSA 29#29 M.Tulen punt 0 yards to the Tulsa29 blocked by #20 T.Kloska recovered by Army #20 T.Kloska at Tulsa13, End Of PlayArmy Black Knights 15% → 36% (+21 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
  3. Q4 1:50 — Army Black Knights ball, 3rd & 1 at TLSA 1#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:50 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Tulsa Golden Hurricane 12% → 60% (+48 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
  4. Q4 0:06 — Army Black Knights ball, 2nd & 10 at ARMY 48Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 16 yards gain to the Tulsa36, out of bounds at Tulsa36, 1ST DOWNArmy Black Knights 55% → 72% (+17 pts) · Drive 24 in Drive X-Ray
  5. OT — Army Black Knights ball, 2nd & 7 at TLSA 33Dawson Jones 50 Yd Field GoalArmy Black Knights 77% → 100% (+23 pts) · Drive 24 in Drive X-Ray

Army Black Knights won after falling as low as 7% (Q4 9:15).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

ArmyPoints addedTulsa
-2.9Passingdropbacks
-0.8
-10.1Rushingdesigned runs
+0.4
+11.8Explosive plays4 plays · 5 plays
+14.7
+0.0Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways
+0.0
+8.1Special teamskicks, punts and returns
-4.4
-3.0Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball
-0.1
+4.9Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 3 · 3 of 5
+9.7
+8.9All plays
+19.5
Bar left: Army gainedBar right: Tulsa gained

The biggest single gap: special teams, worth about 12.4 points to Army Black Knights. The final margin was 3.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

Line review

Army Black Knights closed as the market favourite at 52% and won.

The line moved toward Army Black Knights before kickoff, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadfavorite flipped
OpenTulsa -1.5 (-107)
Army +1.5 (-112)
CloseTulsa +1.5 (-110)
Army -1.5 (-109)
Totalup 2
Open51.5 (o -118 / u -104)
Close53.5 (o -108 / u -111)
Moneyline
OpenArmy -104 49%
Tulsa -116 51%
CloseArmy -117 52%
Tulsa -103 48%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Army Black Knights logo
Army
QB · Cale Hellums
  • Attempts57
  • Completion %56.1%
  • Passing yards358
  • Yards per attempt6.3
  • TD–INT3–1
Leading rusher (QB) · Cale Hellums
  • Rushing yards71911th
  • Season line129 carries, 719 yds, 13 TD
Leading receiver (OL) · Brady Anderson
  • Receiving yards102648th
  • Season line7 catches, 102 yds
Leading tackler (LB) · Elijah Walton
  • Tackles42156th
Tulsa Golden Hurricane logo
Tulsa
QB · Baylor Hayes
  • Attempts158
  • Completion %62.0%128th
  • Passing yards1,081163rd
  • Yards per attempt6.8169th
  • TD–INT8–1
Leading rusher (RB) · Damari Alston
  • Rushing yards370105th
  • Season line92 carries, 370 yds, 6 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Oran Singleton Jr.
  • Receiving yards47444th
  • Season line38 catches, 474 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Chris Thompson Jr.
  • Tackles669th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationArmyTulsa
Early-down success rateArmy offense vs Tulsa defense49.2%12th40.8%33rd
Early-down success rateTulsa offense vs Army defense45.4%100th40.2%106th
3rd-down conversion rateArmy offense vs Tulsa defense54.2%8th45.3%110th
3rd-down conversion rateTulsa offense vs Army defense47.7%119th29.8%125th
Explosive play rateArmy offense vs Tulsa defense6.2%88th5.1%21st
Explosive play rateTulsa offense vs Army defense9.8%133rd5.8%97th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks16.0%137th-highest52.6%51st-highest

On 3rd down Army converts 54.2% (8th) against a Tulsa defense allowing 45.3% (110th).

On 3rd down Tulsa converts 29.8% (125th) against a Army defense allowing 47.7% (119th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffArmyTulsa
Head coachJeff MonkenTre Lamb
Tenureat this school13th season2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below93–658–11
Career recordas an FBS head coach93–658–11
Offensive coordinatorCody WorleyKevin Barbay / Ty Darlington
Defensive coordinatorDaryl Dixon / Scot SloanMike Gray / Josh Reardon

Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Army won 1 and Tulsa 1.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 22, 2025Tulsa 26, Army 25
Tulsa won


Oct 5, 2024Army 49, Tulsa 7
Army won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

Army Black Knights

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

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