Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Rice Owls Final — October 17, 2026
TLSAOffense2026 regular season to dateRICE
TLSADefenseRICETLSARecent formRICETLSAHome and roadseason to dateRICETLSALast 10 gamesRICERest & travelrest and travel
TLSARest & travelRICEAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Tulsa (2-3) visited Rice (0-5) on Saturday, October 17 at 4:30 PM ET.
Tulsa has the 65th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 67th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Rice has the 110th-ranked offense and the 87th-ranked defense. When Tulsa has the ball, a 65th-ranked offense (+0.070 EPA per play) meets a 87th-ranked defense (+0.108 allowed); when Rice has it, a 110th-ranked offense (−0.046) meets a 67th-ranked defense (+0.052 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Tulsa offense is at 43.8% (96th) and the Rice offense at 42.2% (114th). Tulsa scores 24.6 points per game (72nd) and allows 28.0 (81st); Rice scores 14.2 (127th) and allows 32.4 (111th).
Tulsa is 3-3 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 34-26 loss to Navy. Rice is 0-5 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 28-12 loss to East Carolina.
Tulsa closed as a 3.5-point road favorite, with Rice getting the points at home. The spread opened at Tulsa -3. The total closed 46.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Tulsa -200, Rice +160) prices Tulsa at 63% and Rice at 37%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 38, Rice Owls 17
Tulsa Golden Hurricane won by 21.
- Against the closing spread (Rice Owls +3.5): Tulsa Golden Hurricane covered.
- Combined score 55 vs the closing total of 46.5: Over.
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane closed at -200 on the moneyline (a 63% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 7 points toward Tulsa Golden Hurricane.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Tulsa Golden Hurricane 63%, Rice Owls 37%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 12:44 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane ball, 4th & 4 at RICE 46No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete deep left to #1 D.Wells Jr. caught at Rice17, for 35 yards to the Rice11 (#12 J.Benjamin), 1ST DOWNTulsa Golden Hurricane 35% → 47% (+12 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 10:59 — Rice Owls ball, 2nd & 10 at RICE 22Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush middle for 78 yards gain to the Tulsa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:59, 1ST DOWN #49 T.Bauchiero kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.D…Rice Owls 46% → 65% (+19 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 2:48 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane ball, 3rd & 11 at RICE 11No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short left to #9 J.Ross caught at Rice00, for 11 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:48 #10 O.Carey kick attempt…Tulsa Golden Hurricane 38% → 49% (+12 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 1:57 — Rice Owls ball, 1st & 10 at RICE 37No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown sacked for loss of 18 yards to the Rice19 (#2 D.Robinson), fumble by #11 J.Brown recovered by Tulsa #32 H.Ball at Rice19 #32 H.Ball…Tulsa Golden Hurricane 47% → 68% (+21 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:33 — Tulsa Golden Hurricane ball, 3rd & 8 at RICE 8No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Hayes pass complete short right to #2 O.Singleton caught at Rice00, for 8 yards to the Rice00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33 #10 O.Carey kick att…Tulsa Golden Hurricane 62% → 73% (+11 pts) · Drive 10 in Drive X-Ray
Tulsa Golden Hurricane won after falling as low as 29% (Q2 7:57).
Game DNA
| Tulsa | Points added | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3 | Passingdropbacks | -7.2 |
| -3.5 | Rushingdesigned runs | +0.5 |
| +18.4 | Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays | +16.0 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +0.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -7.0 |
| +1.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.1 |
| +2.5 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 4 of 6 · 0 of 1 | +0.0 |
| +16.5 | All plays | +2.3 |
The biggest single gap: special teams, worth about 7.2 points to Tulsa Golden Hurricane. The final margin was 21.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Tulsa Golden Hurricane closed as the market favourite at 63% and won.
The line moved toward Tulsa Golden Hurricane before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Tulsa -3 (-105)
Tulsa -3.5 (-115)
Rice +120 44%
Rice +160 37%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts131
- Completion %59.5%170th
- Passing yards832191st
- Yards per attempt6.3200th
- TD–INT5–1
- Rushing yards314115th
- Season line79 carries, 314 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards38758th
- Season line31 catches, 387 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles567th
- Attempts76
- Completion %48.7%252nd
- Passing yards424253rd
- Yards per attempt5.6243rd
- TD–INT2–2
- Rushing yards51427th
- Season line107 carries, 514 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards171354th
- Season line15 catches, 171 yds
- Tackles4551st
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Tulsa | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTulsa offense vs Rice defense | 38.9%115th | 40.8%38th |
| Early-down success rateRice offense vs Tulsa defense | 39.3%23rd | 42.7%76th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTulsa offense vs Rice defense | 26.0%132nd | 43.5%95th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRice offense vs Tulsa defense | 46.7%111th | 22.6%134th |
| Explosive play rateTulsa offense vs Rice defense | 5.7%97th | 6.6%65th |
| Explosive play rateRice offense vs Tulsa defense | 5.1%19th | 4.9%115th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.8%41st-highest | 28.8%133rd-highest |
On 3rd down Tulsa converts 26.0% (132nd) against a Rice defense allowing 43.5% (95th).
On 3rd down Rice converts 22.6% (134th) against a Tulsa defense allowing 46.7% (111th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Tulsa | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Tre Lamb | Scott Abell |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 7–11 | 6–13 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 7–11 | 6–13 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kevin Barbay / Ty Darlington | Vince Munch |
| Defensive coordinator | Mike Gray / Josh Reardon | Jon Kay |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Tulsa won 0 and Rice 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | Rice 42, Tulsa 10 Rice won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane team stats
- Army Black Knights 38, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35 (Oct 23)
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane 26, Navy Midshipmen 34 (Oct 10)
- North Texas Mean Green 45, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44 (Oct 1)
Rice Owls
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results