Nevada Wolf Pack vs North Dakota State Bison Final — October 17, 2026
NEVOffense2026 regular season to dateNDSU
NEVDefenseNDSUNEVRecent formNDSUNEVHome and roadseason to dateNDSUNEVLast 10 gamesNDSURest & travelrest and travel
NEVRest & travelNDSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Nevada (2-2) visited North Dakota State (4-1) on Saturday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET.
Nevada has the 74th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 63rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, North Dakota State has the 72nd-ranked offense and the 15th-ranked defense. When Nevada has the ball, a 74th-ranked offense (+0.043 EPA per play) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.100 allowed); when North Dakota State has it, a 72nd-ranked offense (+0.048) meets a 63rd-ranked defense (+0.042 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Nevada offense is at 41.9% (119th) and the North Dakota State offense at 49.6% (40th). Nevada scores 33.0 points per game (30th) and allows 22.5 (48th); North Dakota State scores 27.4 (62nd) and allows 12.4 (4th).
Nevada is 2-3 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 30-13 win over UTEP. North Dakota State is 5-1; its last game was a 13-7 loss to UNLV.
North Dakota State closed as a 14.5-point favorite at home against Nevada. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 42.5, down from 46.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Nevada +500, North Dakota State -750) prices Nevada at 16% and North Dakota State at 84%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Nevada Wolf Pack 17, North Dakota State Bison 31
North Dakota State Bison won by 14.
- Against the closing spread (North Dakota State Bison -14.5): Nevada Wolf Pack covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 42.5: Over.
- North Dakota State Bison closed at -750 on the moneyline (a 84% no-vig market-implied chance).
Market
Closing line and line movement
Nevada +14.5 (-110)
Nevada +14.5 (-114)
North Dakota State -750 84%
North Dakota State -750 84%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts89
- Completion %59.6%167th
- Passing yards654234th
- Yards per attempt7.3126th
- TD–INT3–2
- Rushing yards44044th
- Season line76 carries, 440 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards210255th
- Season line12 catches, 210 yds
- Tackles594th
- Attempts138
- Completion %63.0%113th
- Passing yards1,119119th
- Yards per attempt8.175th
- TD–INT8–5
- Rushing yards306119th
- Season line73 carries, 306 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards37466th
- Season line23 catches, 374 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles4643rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Nevada | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateNevada offense vs North Dakota State defense | 38.8%117th | 39.4%26th |
| Early-down success rateNorth Dakota State offense vs Nevada defense | 40.1%33rd | 46.9%27th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNevada offense vs North Dakota State defense | 43.2%54th | 35.6%41st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNorth Dakota State offense vs Nevada defense | 26.8%4th | 43.9%47th |
| Explosive play rateNevada offense vs North Dakota State defense | 8.6%26th | 4.2%7th |
| Explosive play rateNorth Dakota State offense vs Nevada defense | 5.2%23rd | 8.2%35th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 42.2%119th-highest | 40.1%126th-highest |
On 3rd down Nevada converts 43.2% (54th) against a North Dakota State defense allowing 35.6% (41st).
On 3rd down North Dakota State converts 43.9% (47th) against a Nevada defense allowing 26.8% (4th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Nevada | North Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jeff Choate | Tim Polasek |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 8–22 | 31–4 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 8–22 | 5–1 |
| Offensive coordinator | Bret Bartalone | Dan Larson |
| Defensive coordinator | Kane Ioane | Grant Olson |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Teams
Nevada Wolf Pack
- Nevada Wolf Pack team stats
- Nevada Wolf Pack at UCLA Bruins (Oct 31)
- San Jose State Spartans 13, Nevada Wolf Pack 28 (Oct 24)
- Nevada Wolf Pack 30, UTEP Miners 13 (Oct 10)
- Air Force Falcons 36, Nevada Wolf Pack 33 (Sep 26)
North Dakota State Bison
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
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- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
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- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
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