Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Nevada (3-3) visits UCLA (7-0) on Saturday, October 31 at 4:15 PM ET.
Nevada has the 91st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 32nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UCLA has the 47th-ranked offense and the 2nd-ranked defense. When Nevada has the ball, a 91st-ranked offense (+0.004 EPA per play) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.232 allowed); when UCLA has it, a 47th-ranked offense (+0.122) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (−0.037 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Nevada offense is at 43.2% (107th) and the UCLA offense at 46.9% (72nd). Nevada scores 29.5 points per game (46th) and allows 22.3 (40th); UCLA scores 34.4 (23rd) and allows 15.3 (10th).
Nevada is 3-4 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 28-13 win over San José State. UCLA is 7-0 and 7-0 against the spread; its last game was a 28-10 win over Michigan State.
UCLA is a 22.5-point favorite at home against Nevada. The spread opened at UCLA -23.5. The total is 44.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Nevada +1050, UCLA -2000) prices Nevada at 8% and UCLA at 92%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Nevada +23.5 (-110)
Nevada +22.5 (-110)
UCLA -2296 93%
UCLA -2000 92%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Nevada +22.5+100Novig
- UCLA -22.5-109Caesars
- Over 44.5+100Novig
- Under 44.5-106Novig
- Nevada+1400FanDuel
- UCLA-1567Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts89
- Completion %59.6%164th
- Passing yards654247th
- Yards per attempt7.3127th
- TD–INT3–2
- Rushing yards58241st
- Season line111 carries, 582 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards305202nd
- Season line19 catches, 305 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles764th
- Attempts65
- Completion %60.0%
- Passing yards481
- Yards per attempt7.4
- TD–INT2–0
- Rushing yards62729th
- Season line99 carries, 627 yds, 12 TD
- Receiving yards383115th
- Season line31 catches, 383 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles5956th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Nevada | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateNevada offense vs UCLA defense | 39.1%121st | 40.0%31st |
| Early-down success rateUCLA offense vs Nevada defense | 39.7%26th | 42.2%82nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNevada offense vs UCLA defense | 44.7%36th | 31.3%7th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUCLA offense vs Nevada defense | 25.9%3rd | 48.4%21st |
| Explosive play rateNevada offense vs UCLA defense | 6.6%71st | 6.0%47th |
| Explosive play rateUCLA offense vs Nevada defense | 4.3%9th | 8.8%17th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 46.0%105th-highest | 42.5%121st-highest |
On 3rd down Nevada converts 44.7% (36th) against a UCLA defense allowing 31.3% (7th).
On 3rd down UCLA converts 48.4% (21st) against a Nevada defense allowing 25.9% (3rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Nevada | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jeff Choate | Bob Chesney |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 9–23 | 7–0 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 9–23 | 28–6 |
| Offensive coordinator | Bret Bartalone | Dean Kennedy |
| Defensive coordinator | Kane Ioane | Colin Hitschler |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Nevada Wolf Pack
- Nevada Wolf Pack team stats
- San Jose State Spartans 13, Nevada Wolf Pack 28 (Oct 24)
- Nevada Wolf Pack 17, North Dakota State Bison 31 (Oct 17)
- Nevada Wolf Pack 30, UTEP Miners 13 (Oct 10)
UCLA Bruins
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