Home › Game previews › NCAAF › October 2026 › Nevada Wolf Pack at UCLA Bruins
NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack logo
3-3
Quarterback Carter Jones
at
UCLA Bruins logo
7-0
Quarterback Ty Dieffenbach
Saturday, October 31 · 4:15 PM ET
NEVOffense2026 regular season to dateUCLA
91st+0.004
EPA/play
+0.12247th
107th43.2%
Success %
46.9%72nd
46th29.5
PPG
34.423rd
NEVDefenseUCLA
32nd−0.037
EPA/play allowed
−0.2322nd
36th44.0%
Success % allowed
40.5%6th
40th22.3
Opp PPG
15.310th
NEVRecent formUCLA
L@ Middle Tennessee 20-27Lvs Air Force 33-36W@ UTEP 30-13L@ North Dakota State 17-31Wvs San José State 28-13
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Purdue 52-38W@ Maryland 54-3W@ Oregon 17-15Wvs Wisconsin 17-7Wvs Michigan State 28-10
3-4
Record
7-0
5-2
ATS
7-0
3-4
Over–under
3-4
NEVHome and roadseason to dateUCLA
2-2
Home record
4-0
1-2
Road record
3-0
3-1
Home ATS
4-0
2-1
Road ATS
3-0
2-2
Home O/U
1-3
1-2
Road O/U
2-1
NEVLast 10 gamesUCLA
+35-13-7-3+17-14+15
Game by game
+21+18+14+51+2+10+18
3-4
Last 7
7-0
+30
Net points
+134
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
NEVRest & travelUCLA
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
383 mi617 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Rose Bowl
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Nevada (3-3) visits UCLA (7-0) on Saturday, October 31 at 4:15 PM ET.

Nevada has the 91st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 32nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UCLA has the 47th-ranked offense and the 2nd-ranked defense. When Nevada has the ball, a 91st-ranked offense (+0.004 EPA per play) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.232 allowed); when UCLA has it, a 47th-ranked offense (+0.122) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (−0.037 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Nevada offense is at 43.2% (107th) and the UCLA offense at 46.9% (72nd). Nevada scores 29.5 points per game (46th) and allows 22.3 (40th); UCLA scores 34.4 (23rd) and allows 15.3 (10th).

Nevada is 3-4 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 28-13 win over San José State. UCLA is 7-0 and 7-0 against the spread; its last game was a 28-10 win over Michigan State.

UCLA is a 22.5-point favorite at home against Nevada. The spread opened at UCLA -23.5. The total is 44.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Nevada +1050, UCLA -2000) prices Nevada at 8% and UCLA at 92%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenUCLA -23.5 (-110)
Nevada +23.5 (-110)
NowUCLA -22.5 (-110)
Nevada +22.5 (-110)
Totaldown 4
Open48.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now44.5 (o -105 / u -115)
Moneyline
OpenNevada +1200 7%
UCLA -2296 93%
NowNevada +1050 8%
UCLA -2000 92%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Nevada +22.5+100Novig
  • UCLA -22.5-109Caesars
  • Over 44.5+100Novig
  • Under 44.5-106Novig
  • Nevada+1400FanDuel
  • UCLA-1567Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Nevada Wolf Pack logo
Nevada
QB · Carter Jones
  • Attempts89
  • Completion %59.6%164th
  • Passing yards654247th
  • Yards per attempt7.3127th
  • TD–INT3–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Dominic Kelley
  • Rushing yards58241st
  • Season line111 carries, 582 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Gary Givens III
  • Receiving yards305202nd
  • Season line19 catches, 305 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · EJ Smith
  • Tackles764th
UCLA Bruins logo
UCLA
QB · Ty Dieffenbach
  • Attempts65
  • Completion %60.0%
  • Passing yards481
  • Yards per attempt7.4
  • TD–INT2–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Wayne Knight
  • Rushing yards62729th
  • Season line99 carries, 627 yds, 12 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Semaj Morgan
  • Receiving yards383115th
  • Season line31 catches, 383 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Jalen Woods
  • Tackles5956th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationNevadaUCLA
Early-down success rateNevada offense vs UCLA defense39.1%121st40.0%31st
Early-down success rateUCLA offense vs Nevada defense39.7%26th42.2%82nd
3rd-down conversion rateNevada offense vs UCLA defense44.7%36th31.3%7th
3rd-down conversion rateUCLA offense vs Nevada defense25.9%3rd48.4%21st
Explosive play rateNevada offense vs UCLA defense6.6%71st6.0%47th
Explosive play rateUCLA offense vs Nevada defense4.3%9th8.8%17th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks46.0%105th-highest42.5%121st-highest

On 3rd down Nevada converts 44.7% (36th) against a UCLA defense allowing 31.3% (7th).

On 3rd down UCLA converts 48.4% (21st) against a Nevada defense allowing 25.9% (3rd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffNevadaUCLA
Head coachJeff ChoateBob Chesney
Tenureat this school3rd season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below9–237–0
Career recordas an FBS head coach9–2328–6
Offensive coordinatorBret BartaloneDean Kennedy
Defensive coordinatorKane IoaneColin Hitschler

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Nevada Wolf Pack

UCLA Bruins

More NCAAF games on October 31, 2026

All NCAAF games in October 2026

Follow the market every day

See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.

Odds boardTracked results