Colorado Avalanche vs New Jersey Devils Final — October 20, 2026
COLStarting goaliesNJ
COLOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)NJCOLDefenseNJCOLTeamNJCOL5-on-5NJCOLSpecial teamsNJCOLRecent formNJCOLHome and roadseason to dateNJInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
COLRest & travelNJCOLKey injuriesNJAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 20, 10:10 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Avalanche (5-3-1) visited the Devils (4-4-0) on Tuesday, October 20 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Avalanche scored 3.68 goals per game (1st of 32) and allowed 2.48 (1st). The Devils scored 2.80 goals per game (27th of 32) and allowed 3.10 (17th). The Avalanche earned 73.8% of available standings points (1st) and the Devils 53.0% (21st).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Avalanche 56.6% (1st), Devils 49.7% (18th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Avalanche 56.7% (2nd), Devils 51.4% (10th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Avalanche 54.8% (6th), Devils 48.9% (18th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Avalanche -104, Devils -117) prices the Avalanche at 49% and the Devils at 51%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Colorado Avalanche 3, New Jersey Devils 4
New Jersey Devils won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (New Jersey Devils -1.5): Colorado Avalanche covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- New Jersey Devils closed at -117 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New Jersey Devils 4
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward New Jersey Devils.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Colorado Avalanche 49%, New Jersey Devils 51%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 6:40 — New Jersey Devils goal (0-1)New Jersey Devils 51% → 67% (+16 pts)
- 1st 14:32 — Colorado Avalanche goal (1-1)Colorado Avalanche 32% → 49% (+17 pts)
- 2nd 12:33 — New Jersey Devils goal (1-2)New Jersey Devils 51% → 73% (+22 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New Jersey Devils won 63% of G&W replays (Colorado Avalanche 37%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New Jersey Devils. Here is where that came from.
| Avalanche | Goals | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.1 |
| 0.1 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.5 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 1.9 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.6 |
| 0.9 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 0.6 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.7 |
| +0.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +0.4 |
| -0.4 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Scott Wedgewood 37/40 · Jake Allen 31/34 | -0.2 |
| 0 | Empty-net goals | 1 |
How the margin was built, from New Jersey Devils's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
New Jersey Devils closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
The line moved toward New Jersey Devils before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Avalanche -1.5 (+210)
Avalanche +1.5 (-260)
Devils -106 49%
Devils -117 51%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Avalanche won 9 and the Devils 5.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Devils 4, Avalanche 8 Avalanche won | Avalanche -170 favorite won | 6 over |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Avalanche 3, Devils 4 OT Devils won | Devils -130 favorite won | 6 over |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Devils 1, Avalanche 5 Avalanche won | Avalanche -155 favorite won | 5.5 over |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Avalanche 4, Devils 0 Avalanche won | Devils -156 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Avalanche 3, Devils 5 Devils won | Avalanche -116 underdog won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche team stats
- New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche (Oct 28)
- Colorado Avalanche 2, Nashville Predators 6 (Oct 25)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 6 (Oct 23)
- Colorado Avalanche 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 19)
New Jersey Devils
More NHL games on October 20, 2026
- Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 20)
- San Jose Sharks 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (Oct 20)
- Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Islanders 3 (Oct 20)
- Los Angeles Kings 5, Washington Capitals 2 (Oct 20)
- Boston Bruins 2, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 20)
- Winnipeg Jets 1, St Louis Blues 2 (Oct 20)
- Minnesota Wild 3, Edmonton Oilers 4 (Oct 20)
- Detroit Red Wings 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (Oct 20)
- Carolina Hurricanes 6, Vancouver Canucks 3 (Oct 20)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (Oct 20)
Dig deeper
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