Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks Final — October 31, 2026
TORStarting goaliesVAN
TOROffense2026-27 regular season to dateVANTORDefenseVANTORTeamVANTOR5-on-5VANTORSpecial teamsVANTORRecent formVANTORHome and roadseason to dateVANInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
TORRest & travelVANTORKey injuriesVANAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 31, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Maple Leafs (7-6-2) visited the Canucks (3-11-1) on Saturday, October 31 at 7:10 PM ET.
The Maple Leafs score 3.73 goals per game (3rd of 32) and allow 3.40 (24th). The Canucks score 3.00 goals per game (21st of 32) and allow 4.53 (32nd). The Maple Leafs earn 53.3% of available standings points (21st) and the Canucks 23.3% (32nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Maple Leafs 48.4% (20th), Canucks 39.4% (32nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Maple Leafs 46.7% (26th), Canucks 42.5% (31st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Maple Leafs 46.2% (22nd), Canucks 40.6% (26th).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Maple Leafs -200, Canucks +160) prices the Maple Leafs at 63% and the Canucks at 37%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 2
Toronto Maple Leafs won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Vancouver Canucks +1.5): Toronto Maple Leafs covered.
- Combined score 6 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Toronto Maple Leafs closed at -200 on the moneyline (a 63% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Vancouver Canucks 2
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Toronto Maple Leafs.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Toronto Maple Leafs 63%, Vancouver Canucks 37%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 1:23 — Toronto Maple Leafs goal (1-0)Toronto Maple Leafs 63% → 77% (+13 pts)
- 1st 10:30 — Vancouver Canucks goal (1-1)Vancouver Canucks 25% → 39% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 3:47 — Toronto Maple Leafs goal (2-1)Toronto Maple Leafs 61% → 78% (+17 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Toronto Maple Leafs won 66% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 34%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Toronto Maple Leafs. Here is where that came from.
| Maple Leafs | Goals | Canucks |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.3 |
| 0.9 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 3.6 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.3 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.6 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.6 |
| -0.6 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -0.4 |
| +0.4 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Anthony Stolarz 26/28 · Leevi Meriläinen 24/27 | +0.6 |
| 1 | Empty-net goals | 0 |
How the margin was built, from Toronto Maple Leafs's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Toronto Maple Leafs closed as the market favourite at 63% and won.
The line moved toward Toronto Maple Leafs before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Maple Leafs -1.5 (+152)
Maple Leafs -1.5 (+125)
Canucks +136 41%
Canucks +160 37%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 23 times since 2018-19: the Maple Leafs won 12 and the Canucks 11.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maple Leafs 3, Canucks 2 SO Maple Leafs won | Maple Leafs -160 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Canucks 0, Maple Leafs 5 Maple Leafs won | Maple Leafs -170 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Maple Leafs 1, Canucks 2 Canucks won | Maple Leafs -150 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Canucks 3, Maple Leafs 0 Canucks won | Maple Leafs -185 underdog won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Maple Leafs 4, Canucks 6 Canucks won | Canucks -125 favorite won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Toronto Maple Leafs team stats
- Utah Mammoth 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Nov 3)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 28)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5 (Oct 26)
Vancouver Canucks
More NHL games on October 31, 2026
- Chicago Blackhawks 4, Boston Bruins 5 (Oct 31)
- St Louis Blues 5, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 31)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 5 (Oct 31)
- Edmonton Oilers 4, New York Islanders 0 (Oct 31)
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (Oct 31)
- Ottawa Senators 5, San Jose Sharks 1 (Oct 31)
- Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Montréal Canadiens 5 (Oct 31)
- Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Dallas Stars 3 (Oct 31)
- Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Oct 31)
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