Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Arizona (5-1) visits Texas Tech (5-1) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET.
Arizona has the 20th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 43rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Texas Tech has the 76th-ranked offense and the 20th-ranked defense. When Arizona has the ball, a 20th-ranked offense (+0.218 EPA per play) meets a 20th-ranked defense (−0.075 allowed); when Texas Tech has it, a 76th-ranked offense (+0.040) meets a 43rd-ranked defense (−0.013 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Arizona offense is at 49.2% (40th) and the Texas Tech offense at 45.7% (82nd). Arizona scores 36.3 points per game (12th) and allows 18.3 (22nd); Texas Tech scores 36.3 (12th) and allows 22.2 (39th).
Arizona is 6-1 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 39-3 win over Iowa State. Texas Tech is 6-1 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 37-24 loss to Cincinnati.
Texas Tech is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Arizona. The spread opened at Texas Tech -4.5. The total is 54.5, down from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Arizona +135, Texas Tech -166) prices Arizona at 41% and Texas Tech at 59%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Arizona +4.5 (-117)
Arizona +3.5 (-112)
Texas Tech -176 61%
Texas Tech -166 59%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Arizona +3.5+100Novig
- Texas Tech -3.5+100theScore Bet
- Over 54.5+104Kalshi
- Under 54.5-106Novig
- Arizona+156Novig
- Texas Tech-155theScore Bet
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts224
- Completion %74.1%3rd
- Passing yards2,04729th
- Yards per attempt9.124th
- TD–INT18–4
- Rushing yards303195th
- Season line80 carries, 303 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards49357th
- Season line27 catches, 493 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles42258th
- Attempts205
- Completion %67.8%35th
- Passing yards1,56192nd
- Yards per attempt7.6102nd
- TD–INT6–6
- Rushing yards61931st
- Season line86 carries, 619 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards49953rd
- Season line31 catches, 499 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles5395th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Arizona | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateArizona offense vs Texas Tech defense | 44.1%57th | 45.1%97th |
| Early-down success rateTexas Tech offense vs Arizona defense | 45.5%103rd | 41.4%91st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateArizona offense vs Texas Tech defense | 56.7%3rd | 38.8%53rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas Tech offense vs Arizona defense | 40.5%70th | 38.2%91st |
| Explosive play rateArizona offense vs Texas Tech defense | 8.5%25th | 6.2%51st |
| Explosive play rateTexas Tech offense vs Arizona defense | 5.9%45th | 7.0%57th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 54.5%30th-highest | 49.2%84th-highest |
On 3rd down Arizona converts 56.7% (3rd) against a Texas Tech defense allowing 38.8% (53rd).
On 3rd down Texas Tech converts 38.2% (91st) against a Arizona defense allowing 40.5% (70th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Arizona | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Brent Brennan | Joey McGuire |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 19–13 | 41–19 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 53–61 | 41–19 |
| Offensive coordinator | Seth Doege | Mack Leftwich |
| Defensive coordinator | Danny Gonzales | Rob Greene / Shiel Wood |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Arizona won 0 and Texas Tech 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Texas Tech 28, Arizona 22 Texas Tech won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Arizona Wildcats
- Arizona Wildcats team stats
- Iowa State Cyclones 3, Arizona Wildcats 39 (Oct 24)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 7, Arizona Wildcats 34 (Oct 3)
Texas Tech Red Raiders
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