Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks Final — October 29, 2026
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
About these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 29, 3:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Canucks (3-10-1) visited the Sharks (6-6-1) on Thursday, October 29 at 10:10 PM ET.
The Canucks score 3.07 goals per game (17th of 32) and allow 4.64 (32nd). The Sharks score 2.85 goals per game (22nd of 32) and allow 3.46 (27th). The Canucks earn 25.0% of available standings points (32nd) and the Sharks 50.0% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Canucks 38.4% (32nd), Sharks 40.4% (30th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Canucks 42.1% (31st), Sharks 45.4% (27th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Canucks 36.2% (28th), Sharks 25.5% (32nd).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Canucks +140, Sharks -170) prices the Canucks at 40% and the Sharks at 60%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Vancouver Canucks 2, San Jose Sharks 3
San Jose Sharks won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (San Jose Sharks -1.5): Vancouver Canucks covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- San Jose Sharks closed at -170 on the moneyline (a 60% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
San Jose Sharks 3
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Vancouver Canucks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vancouver Canucks 40%, San Jose Sharks 60%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 18:56 — Vancouver Canucks goal (2-0)Vancouver Canucks 69% → 87% (+18 pts)
- 3rd 10:39 — San Jose Sharks goal (2-2)San Jose Sharks 20% → 55% (+35 pts)
- 3rd 10:50 — San Jose Sharks goal (2-3)San Jose Sharks 55% → 86% (+31 pts)
San Jose Sharks won after falling as low as 8% (3rd 6:59).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, San Jose Sharks won 54% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 46%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Canucks | Goals | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 1.4 |
| 0.3 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.9 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.2 |
| 2.2 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.5 |
| 0.7 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.0 |
| 1.0 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| -0.9 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +0.6 |
| -0.6 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Leevi Meriläinen 21/24 · Yaroslav Askarov 23/25 | +0.9 |
How the margin was built, from San Jose Sharks's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
San Jose Sharks closed as the market favourite at 60% and won.
The line moved toward Vancouver Canucks before puck drop, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Canucks +1.5 (-143)
Canucks +1.5 (-173)
Sharks -199 64%
Sharks -170 60%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 27 times since 2018-19: the Canucks won 19 and the Sharks 8.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Canucks 4, Sharks 3 SO Canucks won | ||
| Jan 27, 2026 | Sharks 5, Canucks 2 Sharks won | Sharks -130 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Sharks 6, Canucks 3 Sharks won | Canucks -146 underdog won | 6 over |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Canucks 2, Sharks 3 Sharks won | Canucks -117 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Sharks 1, Canucks 2 OT Canucks won | Canucks -325 favorite won | 6 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Vancouver Canucks
- Vancouver Canucks team stats
- Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets (Nov 5)
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Vancouver Canucks 4 (Nov 3)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Vancouver Canucks 2 (Oct 31)
- Vancouver Canucks 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (Oct 27)
San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks team stats
- San Jose Sharks 2, Los Angeles Kings 7 (Nov 4)
- Calgary Flames 2, San Jose Sharks 1 (Nov 2)
- Ottawa Senators 5, San Jose Sharks 1 (Oct 31)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 29, 2026
- Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (Oct 29)
- Utah Mammoth 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (Oct 29)
- Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (Oct 29)
- Chicago Blackhawks 1, Detroit Red Wings 4 (Oct 29)
- Montréal Canadiens 5, Dallas Stars 2 (Oct 29)
- New York Islanders 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (Oct 29)
- Washington Capitals 4, Nashville Predators 3 (Oct 29)
- Boston Bruins 1, St Louis Blues 4 (Oct 29)
- Buffalo Sabres 7, Anaheim Ducks 6 (Oct 29)
- Ottawa Senators 5, Los Angeles Kings 6 (Oct 29)
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