Wyoming Cowboys vs Colorado State Rams Final — September 5, 2026
Rest & travelrest and travel
About these numbers
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Wyoming visited Colorado State on Saturday, September 5 at 6:00 PM ET.
Colorado State closed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Wyoming. The spread opened at Colorado State -3.5. The total closed at 46.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Wyoming +120, Colorado State -144) prices Wyoming at 44% and Colorado State at 56%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Wyoming Cowboys 13, Colorado State Rams 35
Colorado State Rams won by 22.
- Against the closing spread (Colorado State Rams -2.5): Colorado State Rams covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 46.5: Over.
- Colorado State Rams closed at -144 on the moneyline (a 56% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Wyoming Cowboys.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Wyoming Cowboys 44%, Colorado State Rams 56%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 11:31 — Colorado State Rams ball, 1st & 8 at WYO 8Shotgun #11 D.Robinson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO06 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Wyoming Cowboys 25% → 44% (+19 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 4:32 — Wyoming Cowboys ball, 3rd & 4 at WYO 47Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass intercepted by #17 C.Blocker at CSU49, End Of PlayColorado State Rams 63% → 72% (+8 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 3:51 — Colorado State Rams ball, 2nd & 9 at 50No Huddle-Shotgun #1 M.Brown rush left for 37 yards gain to the WYO13 (#23 J.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNColorado State Rams 70% → 78% (+8 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 10:59 — Wyoming Cowboys ball, 2nd & 8 at CSU 9Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 9 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:59, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Wyoming Cowboys 31% → 40% (+9 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 4:00 — Colorado State Rams ball, 2nd & 7 at CSU 43Shotgun #8 H.Hejny pass complete deep middle to #0 R.Vick, Jr. caught at WYO14, for 57 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:00, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma kick attem…Colorado State Rams 63% → 81% (+17 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of each team's plays, Colorado State Rams would win >99% of the time (Wyoming Cowboys <1%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Colorado State Rams. Here is where that came from.
| Wyoming | Points added | Colorado State |
|---|---|---|
| +0.4 | Passingdropbacks | -3.4 |
| -3.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | -2.7 |
| +4.6 | Explosive plays2 plays · 5 plays | +15.7 |
| -8.4 | Turnovers3 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +4.2 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.0 |
| +0.2 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.6 |
| +0.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 2 · 4 of 5 | +7.8 |
| -1.8 | All plays | +16.9 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 11.1 points to Colorado State Rams. The final margin was 22.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Colorado State Rams closed as the market favourite at 56% and won.
The line moved toward Wyoming Cowboys before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Wyoming +3.5 (-115)
Wyoming +2.5 (-105)
Colorado State -174 61%
Colorado State -144 56%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Wyoming won 4 and Colorado State 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Colorado State 0, Wyoming 28 Wyoming won | ||
| Nov 15, 2024 | Wyoming 10, Colorado State 24 Colorado State won | ||
| Nov 3, 2023 | Colorado State 15, Wyoming 24 Wyoming won | ||
| Nov 12, 2022 | Wyoming 14, Colorado State 13 Wyoming won | ||
| Nov 6, 2021 | Colorado State 17, Wyoming 31 Wyoming won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Wyoming Cowboys
- Wyoming Cowboys team stats
- Air Force Falcons 14, Wyoming Cowboys 28 (Oct 23)
- Northern Illinois Huskies 23, Wyoming Cowboys 41 (Oct 17)
- Wyoming Cowboys 16, San Jose State Spartans 13 (Oct 9)
Colorado State Rams
- Colorado State Rams team stats
- Colorado State Rams at Utah State Aggies (Oct 31)
- San Diego State Aztecs 49, Colorado State Rams 56 (Oct 24)
- Colorado State Rams 27, Texas State Bobcats 66 (Oct 15)
- Oregon State Beavers 56, Colorado State Rams 26 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on September 5, 2026
- Oregon State Beavers 20, Houston Cougars 33 (Sep 5)
- Baylor Bears 16, Auburn Tigers 17 (Sep 5)
- Texas State Bobcats 7, Texas Longhorns 59 (Sep 5)
- UL Monroe Warhawks 13, Mississippi State Bulldogs 62 (Sep 5)
- Florida Atlantic Owls 21, Florida Gators 66 (Sep 5)
- UNLV Rebels 21, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 6 (Sep 5)
- Central Michigan Chippewas 7, New Mexico Lobos 38 (Sep 5)
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