San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams Final — October 24, 2026
SDSUOffense2026 regular season to dateCSU
SDSUDefenseCSUSDSURecent formCSUSDSUHome and roadseason to dateCSUSDSULast 10 gamesCSURest & travelrest and travel
SDSURest & travelCSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
San Diego State (2-4) visited Colorado State (1-4) on Saturday, October 24 at 6:30 PM ET.
San Diego State has the 136th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 69th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Colorado State has the 2nd-ranked offense and the 138th-ranked defense. When San Diego State has the ball, a 136th-ranked offense (−0.234 EPA per play) meets a 138th-ranked defense (+0.487 allowed); when Colorado State has it, a 2nd-ranked offense (+0.334) meets a 69th-ranked defense (+0.068 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the San Diego State offense is at 40.2% (127th) and the Colorado State offense at 48.2% (57th). San Diego State scores 18.3 points per game (118th) and allows 35.5 (120th); Colorado State scores 31.2 (37th) and allows 47.0 (138th).
San Diego State is 3-4 and 2-5 against the spread; its last game was a 26-23 win over Fresno State. Colorado State is 2-4 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 66-27 loss to Texas State.
Colorado State closed as a 1-point favorite at home against San Diego State. The spread opened with San Diego State favored by 2.5. The total closed at 57.5, down from 59.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (San Diego State -107, Colorado State -110) prices San Diego State at 50% and Colorado State at 50%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
San Diego State Aztecs 49, Colorado State Rams 56
Colorado State Rams won by 7.
- Against the closing spread (Colorado State Rams -1): Colorado State Rams covered.
- Combined score 105 vs the closing total of 57.5: Over.
- Colorado State Rams closed at -110 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Colorado State Rams.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (San Diego State Aztecs 50%, Colorado State Rams 50%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 3:19 — San Diego State Aztecs ball, 3rd & 8 at CSU 19No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Kinnard rush left for 19 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:19, 1ST DOWN #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64…San Diego State Aztecs 60% → 70% (+9 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 10:19 — Colorado State Rams ball, 2nd & 4 at CSU 46No Huddle-Shotgun #8 H.Hejny pass complete deep middle to #10 T.Maher caught at SDSU30, for 54 yards to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:19, 1ST DOWN #40 K.Nguma k…Colorado State Rams 44% → 59% (+15 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 9:06 — San Diego State Aztecs ball, 2nd & 4 at CSU 32No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Kinnard rush left for 32 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:06, 1ST DOWN #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64…San Diego State Aztecs 48% → 59% (+11 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 1:41 — San Diego State Aztecs ball, 1st & 10 at SDSU 40No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Saunders sacked for loss of 8 yards to the SDSU32 (#10 B.Kelley)Colorado State Rams 58% → 81% (+23 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 4:49 — San Diego State Aztecs ball, 2nd & 4 at CSU 43No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Saunders pass complete deep right to #12 J.Hawkins caught at CSU01, for 43 yards to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:49, 1ST DOWN #96 C.DiLe…San Diego State Aztecs 10% → 19% (+9 pts) · Drive 17 in Drive X-Ray
Colorado State Rams won after falling as low as 35% (Q1 2:30).
Game DNA
| San Diego State | Points added | Colorado State |
|---|---|---|
| +7.7 | Passingdropbacks | +4.8 |
| -1.9 | Rushingdesigned runs | +17.8 |
| +23.2 | Explosive plays7 plays · 7 plays | +15.0 |
| -17.8 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 2 giveaways | -7.2 |
| +3.2 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.9 |
| -2.0 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -1.8 |
| +7.1 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 4 · 4 of 5 | +6.2 |
| +19.4 | All plays | +35.6 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 19.7 points to Colorado State Rams. The final margin was 7.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Colorado State Rams closed as the market favourite at 50% and won.
The line moved toward Colorado State Rams before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
San Diego State -2.5 (-106)
San Diego State +1 (-110)
Colorado State +105 47%
Colorado State -110 50%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts150
- Completion %54.7%221st
- Passing yards896203rd
- Yards per attempt6.0231st
- TD–INT7–5
- Rushing yards43267th
- Season line81 carries, 432 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards181397th
- Season line17 catches, 181 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles675th
- Attempts122
- Completion %61.5%
- Passing yards788
- Yards per attempt6.5
- TD–INT5–1
- Rushing yards43169th
- Season line47 carries, 431 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards36795th
- Season line24 catches, 367 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles5437th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | San Diego State | Colorado State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSan Diego State offense vs Colorado State defense | 36.9%130th | 53.9%138th |
| Early-down success rateColorado State offense vs San Diego State defense | 47.0%115th | 41.2%93rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSan Diego State offense vs Colorado State defense | 29.0%129th | 52.4%135th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateColorado State offense vs San Diego State defense | 41.6%85th | 41.4%62nd |
| Explosive play rateSan Diego State offense vs Colorado State defense | 5.2%117th | 10.2%134th |
| Explosive play rateColorado State offense vs San Diego State defense | 6.9%74th | 7.6%43rd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 45.2%112th-highest | 55.7%21st-highest |
On 3rd down San Diego State converts 29.0% (129th) against a Colorado State defense allowing 52.4% (135th).
On 3rd down Colorado State converts 41.4% (62nd) against a San Diego State defense allowing 41.6% (85th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | San Diego State | Colorado State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Sean Lewis | Jim Mora |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 14–17 | 2–4 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 38–48 | 75–57 |
| Offensive coordinator | Sean Lewis | Pryce Tracy |
| Defensive coordinator | Demetrius Sumler | Tyson Summers |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: San Diego State won 1 and Colorado State 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | Colorado State 24, San Diego State 45 San Diego State won | ||
| Nov 11, 2023 | San Diego State 19, Colorado State 22 Colorado State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
San Diego State Aztecs
- San Diego State Aztecs team stats
- Washington State Cougars at San Diego State Aztecs (Oct 31)
- Fresno State Bulldogs 23, San Diego State Aztecs 26 (Oct 17)
- San Diego State Aztecs 14, Oregon State Beavers 66 (Oct 10)
- Texas State Bobcats 29, San Diego State Aztecs 31 (Oct 3)
Colorado State Rams
- Colorado State Rams team stats
- Colorado State Rams at Utah State Aggies (Oct 31)
- Colorado State Rams 27, Texas State Bobcats 66 (Oct 15)
- Oregon State Beavers 56, Colorado State Rams 26 (Oct 3)
- Colorado State Rams 45, UTSA Roadrunners 59 (Sep 26)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
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