Charlotte 49ers vs Ole Miss Rebels Final — September 12, 2026
Rest & travelrest and travel
CLTRest & travelMISS
About these numbers
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Charlotte visited Ole Miss on Saturday, September 12 at 7:45 PM ET.
Ole Miss closed as a 44.5-point favorite at home against Charlotte. The spread opened at Ole Miss -47.5. The total closed at 59.5, down from 61.5 at the open.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Charlotte 49ers 9, Ole Miss Rebels 41
Ole Miss Rebels won by 32.
- Against the closing spread (Ole Miss Rebels -44.5): Charlotte 49ers covered.
- Combined score 50 vs the closing total of 59.5: Under.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Charlotte 49ers <1%, Ole Miss Rebels >99%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of each team's plays, Ole Miss Rebels would win >99% of the time (Charlotte 49ers <1%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Ole Miss Rebels. Here is where that came from.
| Charlotte | Points added | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 | Passingdropbacks | +1.4 |
| -4.5 | Rushingdesigned runs | -1.7 |
| +8.4 | Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays | +7.9 |
| -2.1 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -2.2 |
| -1.4 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +6.9 |
| +1.4 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -1.5 |
| -8.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 0 of 3 · 4 of 5 | +5.2 |
| -5.2 | All plays | +16.1 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 13.6 points to Ole Miss Rebels. The final margin was 32.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Charlotte +47.5 (-110)
Charlotte +44.5 (-104)
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Teams
Charlotte 49ers
- Charlotte 49ers team stats
- Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers (Oct 30)
- Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31 (Oct 17)
- Charlotte 49ers 10, North Texas Mean Green 50 (Oct 10)
- Memphis Tigers 59, Charlotte 49ers 8 (Oct 3)
Ole Miss Rebels
- Ole Miss Rebels team stats
- Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels (Oct 31)
- Ole Miss Rebels 27, Texas Longhorns 34 (Oct 24)
- Missouri Tigers 3, Ole Miss Rebels 31 (Oct 17)
- Ole Miss Rebels 52, Vanderbilt Commodores 17 (Oct 10)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on September 12, 2026
- UCF Knights 7, Pittsburgh Panthers 12 (Sep 12)
- UTSA Roadrunners 31, Texas State Bobcats 26 (Sep 12)
- UNLV Rebels 6, North Texas Mean Green 44 (Sep 12)
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26, Marshall Thundering Herd 28 (Sep 12)
- Navy Midshipmen 30, Florida Atlantic Owls 38 (Sep 12)
- Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 30, USC Trojans 49 (Sep 12)
Dig deeper
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