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NCAAF · October 17, 2026

Charlotte 49ers vs Temple Owls Final — October 17, 2026

Charlotte 49ers logo
0-5
38
Quarterback Cole Gonzales
FINAL
Temple Owls logo
1-4
31
Quarterback Ajani Sheppard
Saturday, October 17 · 1:00 PM ET
CLTOffense2026 regular season to dateTEM
138th−0.297
EPA/play
+0.19130th
138th35.9%
Success %
47.6%59th
133rd11.0
PPG
22.292nd
CLTDefenseTEM
106th+0.178
EPA/play allowed
+0.225122nd
135th54.1%
Success % allowed
53.0%131st
133rd42.0
Opp PPG
28.889th
CLTRecent formTEM
L@ Ole Miss 9-41L@ App State 21-26Lvs Louisiana 7-34Lvs Memphis 8-59L@ North Texas 10-50
Resultsoldest to newest
Lvs Penn State 9-27L@ Toledo 48-49Lvs Army 17-21W@ South Florida 17-13Lvs UConn 20-34
0-6
Record
2-4
2-4
ATS
4-1-1
3-3
Over–under
2-4
CLTHome and roadseason to dateTEM
0-3
Home record
1-3
0-3
Road record
1-1
0-3
Home ATS
2-1-1
2-1
Road ATS
2-0
2-1
Home O/U
1-3
1-2
Road O/U
1-1
CLTLast 10 gamesTEM
-2-32-5-27-51-40
Game by game
+24-18-1-4+4-14
0-6
Last 6
2-4
-157
Net points
-9
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
CLTRest & travelTEM
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
440 mi708 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

Charlotte (0-5) visited Temple (1-4) on Saturday, October 17 at 1:00 PM ET.

Charlotte has the 138th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 106th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Temple has the 30th-ranked offense and the 122nd-ranked defense. When Charlotte has the ball, a 138th-ranked offense (−0.297 EPA per play) meets a 122nd-ranked defense (+0.225 allowed); when Temple has it, a 30th-ranked offense (+0.191) meets a 106th-ranked defense (+0.178 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Charlotte offense is at 35.9% (138th) and the Temple offense at 47.6% (59th). Charlotte scores 11.0 points per game (133rd) and allows 42.0 (133rd); Temple scores 22.2 (92nd) and allows 28.8 (89th).

Charlotte is 0-6 and 2-4 against the spread; its last game was a 50-10 loss to North Texas. Temple is 2-4 and 4-1-1 against the spread; its last game was a 34-20 loss to UConn.

Temple closed as a 17.5-point favorite at home against Charlotte. The spread opened at Temple -23.5. The total closed at 47.5, down from 49.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Charlotte +750, Temple -1300) prices Charlotte at 11% and Temple at 89%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31

Charlotte 49ers won by 7.

  • Against the closing spread (Temple Owls -17.5): Charlotte 49ers covered.
  • Combined score 69 vs the closing total of 47.5: Over.
  • Charlotte 49ers closed at +750 on the moneyline (a 11% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

11%Market at the close89%
Charlotte 49ersTemple Owls
8%Market at the open92%

From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Charlotte 49ers.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Charlotte 49ers 11%, Temple Owls 89%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Market start1Q3 7:17: Charlotte 49ers 33% to 41%2Q3 6:26: Temple Owls 65% to 78%3Q3 0:43: Charlotte 49ers 25% to 40%4Q4 12:27: Temple Owls 43% to 61%5Q4 5:27: Charlotte 49ers 71% to 84%■ Temple■ Charlotte
 

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 7:17 — Charlotte 49ers ball, 2nd & 7 at TEM 8No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Harrell rush left for 8 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:17, 1ST DOWN #84 A.Bui kick attempt good (H: #44 I.Kelly, LS: #33 H.S…Charlotte 49ers 33% → 41% (+9 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
  2. Q3 6:26 — Temple Owls ball, 1st & 10 at CLT 44No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 44 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:26, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97…Temple Owls 65% → 78% (+13 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
  3. Q3 0:43 — Charlotte 49ers ball, 3rd & 1 at CLT 31Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 48 yards gain to the TEM21 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWNCharlotte 49ers 25% → 40% (+15 pts) · Drive 17 in Drive X-Ray
  4. Q4 12:27 — Temple Owls ball, 3rd & 7 at TEM 35No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep right to #0 P.Clarke caught at CLT39, for 46 yards to the CLT19 (#12 C.Clinkscales; #16 S.McIntosh), 1ST DOWNTemple Owls 43% → 61% (+18 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray
  5. Q4 5:27 — Temple Owls ball, 4th & 7 at CLT 38No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CLT45 (#7 D.Burgess), TURNOVER ON DOWNSCharlotte 49ers 71% → 84% (+13 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray

Charlotte 49ers won after falling as low as 4% (Q2 1:17).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

CharlottePoints addedTemple
+8.6Passingdropbacks
-9.7
-1.5Rushingdesigned runs
+1.5
+12.4Explosive plays5 plays · 8 plays
+23.4
-6.2Turnovers1 giveaways · 0 giveaways
+0.0
+1.0Special teamskicks, punts and returns
-0.8
+0.8Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball
-0.0
+0.2Red zoneTDs on trips: 4 of 5 · 2 of 4
-1.5
+15.3All plays
+12.9
Bar left: Charlotte gainedBar right: Temple gained

The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 18.3 points to Charlotte 49ers. The final margin was 7.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playCharlotte 49ers +21.5 -1101.00uWIN +1.00u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Temple Owls closed as the market favourite at 89% and lost.

The line moved toward Charlotte 49ers before kickoff, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 6
OpenTemple -23.5 (-110)
Charlotte +23.5 (-110)
CloseTemple -17.5 (-105)
Charlotte +17.5 (-115)
Totaldown 2
Open49.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Close47.5 (o -107 / u -113)
Moneyline
OpenCharlotte +1155 8%
Temple -2387 92%
CloseCharlotte +750 11%
Temple -1300 89%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Charlotte 49ers logo
Charlotte
QB · Cole Gonzales
  • Attempts127
  • Completion %62.2%126th
  • Passing yards802202nd
  • Yards per attempt6.3202nd
  • TD–INT3–7
Leading rusher (RB) · Khamani Alexander
  • Rushing yards216214th
  • Season line46 carries, 216 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jaden Barnes
  • Receiving yards34386th
  • Season line35 catches, 343 yds
Leading tackler (LB) · Gavin Willis
  • Tackles4836th
Temple Owls logo
Temple
QB · Ajani Sheppard
  • Attempts97
  • Completion %60.8%150th
  • Passing yards891179th
  • Yards per attempt9.230th
  • TD–INT7–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Keveun Mason
  • Rushing yards44942nd
  • Season line81 carries, 449 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Colin Chase
  • Receiving yards234206th
  • Season line12 catches, 234 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Curly Ordonez
  • Tackles5510th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationCharlotteTemple
Early-down success rateCharlotte offense vs Temple defense36.4%129th48.8%127th
Early-down success rateTemple offense vs Charlotte defense51.1%136th42.1%82nd
3rd-down conversion rateCharlotte offense vs Temple defense20.0%137th50.8%129th
3rd-down conversion rateTemple offense vs Charlotte defense40.4%72nd46.3%31st
Explosive play rateCharlotte offense vs Temple defense4.4%129th7.4%86th
Explosive play rateTemple offense vs Charlotte defense7.2%84th7.7%42nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks57.4%15th-highest39.6%129th-highest

On 3rd down Charlotte converts 20.0% (137th) against a Temple defense allowing 50.8% (129th).

On 3rd down Temple converts 46.3% (31st) against a Charlotte defense allowing 40.4% (72nd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffCharlotteTemple
Head coachTim AlbinK. C. Keeler
Tenureat this school2nd season2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below1–177–11
Career recordas an FBS head coach34–3619–23
Offensive coordinatorTodd FitchTyler Walker
Defensive coordinatorNate FaanesBrian Smith

Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Charlotte won 0 and Temple 1.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 18, 2025Temple 49, Charlotte 14
Temple won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

Charlotte 49ers

Temple Owls

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

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