Utah Mammoth vs Columbus Blue Jackets Final — October 3, 2026
UTAHStarting goaliesCBJ
UTAHOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CBJUTAHDefenseCBJUTAHTeamCBJUTAH5-on-5CBJUTAHSpecial teamsCBJUTAHRecent formCBJInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
UTAHRest & travelCBJUTAHKey injuriesCBJAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed.
Injury report as of October 3, 6:40 a.m. ET: no key players listed for either team.
The pre-game matchup
The Mammoth (1-0-0) visited the Blue Jackets (1-0-0) on Saturday, October 3 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Mammoth scored 3.27 goals per game (13th of 32) and allowed 2.93 (4th). The Blue Jackets scored 3.09 goals per game (16th of 32) and allowed 3.09 (16th). The Mammoth earned 56.1% of available standings points (15th) and the Blue Jackets 56.1% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Mammoth 53.4% (6th), Blue Jackets 51.4% (10th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Mammoth 53.1% (4th), Blue Jackets 50.8% (11th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Mammoth 53.0% (11th), Blue Jackets 50.3% (15th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed at 6.5, up from 5.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Mammoth -115, Blue Jackets -105) prices the Mammoth at 51% and the Blue Jackets at 49%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Utah Mammoth 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Utah Mammoth won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5): Utah Mammoth covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
- Utah Mammoth closed at -115 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Utah Mammoth.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Utah Mammoth 51%, Columbus Blue Jackets 49%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 1st 11:55 — Utah Mammoth goal (1-0)Utah Mammoth 52% → 69% (+16 pts)
- 1st 16:31 — Utah Mammoth goal (2-0)Utah Mammoth 68% → 82% (+14 pts)
- 2nd 1:30 — Columbus Blue Jackets goal (2-1)Columbus Blue Jackets 17% → 31% (+14 pts)
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Utah Mammoth won 59% of G&W replays (Columbus Blue Jackets 41%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Mammoth | Goals | Blue Jackets |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.0 |
| 1.1 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.2 |
| 0.1 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.7 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.2 |
| 0.3 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.5 |
| +1.3 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.2 |
| +1.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Sebastian Cossa 17/18 · Jet Greaves 27/31 | -1.3 |
How the margin was built, from Utah Mammoth's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Utah Mammoth closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
The line moved toward Utah Mammoth before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Mammoth +1.5 (-250)
Mammoth -1.5 (+210)
Blue Jackets -116 51%
Blue Jackets -105 49%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Mammoth won 8 and the Blue Jackets 6.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mammoth 5, Blue Jackets 4 OT Mammoth won | Mammoth -115 favorite won | 6.5 over |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Blue Jackets 3, Mammoth 2 OT Blue Jackets won | Mammoth -185 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Mammoth 3, Blue Jackets 2 OT Mammoth won | ||
| Jan 31, 2025 | Blue Jackets 3, Mammoth 2 OT Blue Jackets won | ||
| Mar 26, 2024 | Blue Jackets 2, Mammoth 6 Mammoth won |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth team stats
- Minnesota Wild 3, Utah Mammoth 1 (Oct 27)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Utah Mammoth 5 (Oct 24)
- Utah Mammoth 3, Seattle Kraken 5 (Oct 22)
Columbus Blue Jackets
- Columbus Blue Jackets team stats
- Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 27)
- Vegas Golden Knights 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 24)
- Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (Oct 20)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NHL games on October 3, 2026
- Chicago Blackhawks 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (Oct 3)
- Seattle Kraken 1, Edmonton Oilers 3 (Oct 3)
- Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (Oct 3)
- Montréal Canadiens 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6 (Oct 3)
- Washington Capitals 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (Oct 3)
- Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Oct 3)
- New Jersey Devils 0, New York Islanders 6 (Oct 3)
- Boston Bruins 1, Minnesota Wild 4 (Oct 3)
- Dallas Stars 1, Nashville Predators 2 (Oct 3)
- St Louis Blues 1, Colorado Avalanche 6 (Oct 3)
- Los Angeles Kings 4, San Jose Sharks 5 (Oct 3)
- Calgary Flames 1, Vancouver Canucks 4 (Oct 3)
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