Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Final — September 13, 2026
DALOffenseFull 2025 regular season (last season)NYG
DALDefenseNYGInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
DALRest & travelNYGDALKey injuriesNYGAbout these numbers
Full 2025 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed out, doubtful or questionable.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
The pre-game matchup
The Cowboys visited the Giants at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, September 13 at 8:20 PM ET in Week 1.
Last season (2025), the Cowboys had the 5th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 32nd-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Giants had the 17th-ranked offense and the 25th-ranked defense. When the Cowboys have the ball, a 5th-ranked offense (+0.098 EPA per play) meets a 25th-ranked defense (+0.087 allowed); when the Giants have it, a 17th-ranked offense (+0.012) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (+0.167 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Cowboys offense was at 46.6% (6th) and the Giants offense at 42.1% (25th). Through the air, the Cowboys averaged +0.160 EPA per dropback (7th) against a Giants pass defense ranked 18th; the Giants averaged +0.041 (16th) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 31st. The Cowboys scored 27.7 points per game (7th) and allowed 30.1 (32nd); the Giants scored 22.4 (17th) and allowed 25.8 (26th). The new season has no games yet, so these are last season's full-season numbers; rosters change over the offseason.
The Cowboys closed as 3-point road favorites, with the Giants getting the points at home. The spread opened at Cowboys -2.5. The total closed at 47.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Cowboys -168, Giants +142) prices the Cowboys at 60% and the Giants at 40%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 28
New York Giants won by 8.
- Against the closing spread (New York Giants +3): New York Giants covered.
- Combined score 48 vs the closing total of 47.5: Over.
- New York Giants closed at +142 on the moneyline (a 40% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Dallas Cowboys.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Dallas Cowboys 60%, New York Giants 40%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 9:57 — Dallas Cowboys ball, 3rd & 11 at DAL 24(Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 3-G.Pickens (20-G.Newsome) [0-B.Burns]. PENALTY on NYG-20-G.Newsome, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at DAL 24 - No Play.Dallas Cowboys 33% → 43% (+10 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 6:45 — Dallas Cowboys ball, 3rd & 4 at NYG 21(Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 87-J.Ferguson (22-A.Phillips). PENALTY on NYG-22-A.Phillips, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at NYG 21 - No Play.Dallas Cowboys 42% → 50% (+8 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 2:00 — New York Giants ball, 2nd & 11 at DAL 29(Shotgun) 29-T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards (92-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (92-Q.Williams), RECOVERED by DAL-28-S.Revel at DAL 19. 28-S.Revel to DAL 16 for -3 yards (78-A.Thomas).Dallas Cowboys 47% → 58% (+11 pts) · Drive 6 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:58 — Dallas Cowboys ball, 3rd & 5 at DAL 36(Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG 45. 8-J.Holland ran ob at NYG 45 for no gain.New York Giants 42% → 51% (+9 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:25 — New York Giants ball, 2nd & 5 at DAL 15(Shotgun) 6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.New York Giants 58% → 67% (+9 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
New York Giants won after falling as low as 39% (Q1 14:54).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of each team's plays, New York Giants would win 94% of the time (Dallas Cowboys 6%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New York Giants. Here is where that came from.
| Cowboys | Points added | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| +4.9 | Passingdropbacks | +3.3 |
| -0.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | -0.3 |
| +3.3 | Explosive plays3 plays · 10 plays | +13.8 |
| -2.0 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -3.2 |
| -1.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.6 |
| +3.5 | Penalties9 for 90 yds · 10 for 114 yds | -1.2 |
| +5.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 3 · 4 of 4 | +10.4 |
| +13.9 | All plays | +23.4 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 10.4 points to New York Giants. The final margin was 8.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Dallas Cowboys closed as the market favourite at 60% and lost.
The line moved toward Dallas Cowboys before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Cowboys -2.5 (-119)
Cowboys -3 (-114)
Giants +130 42%
Giants +142 40%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Cowboys | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Brian Schottenheimer | John Harbaugh |
| Offensive coordinator | Klayton Adams | Matt Nagy |
| Defensive coordinator | Christian Parker | Dennard Wilson |
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 22 times since 2015: the Cowboys won 17 and the Giants 5. In the most recent meeting (January 4, 2026), the Giants won 34-17; the Cowboys averaged −0.130 EPA per play; the Giants averaged +0.135 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Cowboys 17, Giants 34 Giants won | Cowboys -3 Giants covered | 50.5 over | Cowboys −0.130 · Giants +0.135 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Giants 37, Cowboys 40 Cowboys won | Cowboys -4.5 Giants covered | 44.5 over | Cowboys +0.134 · Giants +0.222 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Giants 20, Cowboys 27 Cowboys won | Cowboys -4.5 Cowboys covered | 39 over | Cowboys −0.141 · Giants −0.228 |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Cowboys 20, Giants 15 Cowboys won | Cowboys -5.5 Giants covered | 45 under | Cowboys +0.208 · Giants −0.045 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Giants 17, Cowboys 49 Cowboys won | Cowboys -17.5 Cowboys covered | 38.5 over | Cowboys +0.310 · Giants −0.250 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Teams
Dallas Cowboys
- Dallas Cowboys team stats
- Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (Nov 1)
- Dallas Cowboys 38, Philadelphia Eagles 21 (Oct 26)
- Dallas Cowboys 13, Green Bay Packers 23 (Oct 18)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Dallas Cowboys 16 (Oct 8)
New York Giants
- New York Giants team stats
- New York Giants 27, Houston Texans 21 (Oct 25)
- New Orleans Saints 34, New York Giants 27 (Oct 18)
- New York Giants 27, Washington Commanders 27 (Oct 11)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NFL games on September 13, 2026
- Chicago Bears 59, Carolina Panthers 37 (Sep 13)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, Cincinnati Bengals 33 (Sep 13)
- Buffalo Bills 36, Houston Texans 31 (Sep 13)
- Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23 (Sep 13)
- Cleveland Browns 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 34 (Sep 13)
- Miami Dolphins 13, Las Vegas Raiders 27 (Sep 13)
- Arizona Cardinals 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14 (Sep 13)
- Green Bay Packers 22, Minnesota Vikings 39 (Sep 13)
- Washington Commanders 22, Philadelphia Eagles 24 (Sep 13)
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