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NFL · Week 1 · September 13, 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals Final — September 13, 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27
FINAL
Cincinnati Bengals logo
Cincinnati Bengals
33
Sunday, September 13 · 1:00 PM ETPaycor Stadium · outdoorsWeek 1

Final score and result vs the closing line

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, Cincinnati Bengals 33

Cincinnati Bengals won by 6.

The pre-game matchup

The Buccaneers visited the Bengals at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, September 13 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 1.

Last season (2025), the Buccaneers had the 20th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 17th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Bengals had the 19th-ranked offense and the 29th-ranked defense. When the Buccaneers have the ball, a 20th-ranked offense (−0.009 EPA per play) meets a 29th-ranked defense (+0.130 allowed); when the Bengals have it, a 19th-ranked offense (−0.008) meets a 17th-ranked defense (+0.013 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Buccaneers offense was at 42.3% (24th) and the Bengals offense at 45.5% (11th). Through the air, the Buccaneers averaged +0.038 EPA per dropback (17th) against a Bengals pass defense ranked 28th; the Bengals averaged −0.020 (25th) against a Buccaneers pass defense ranked 20th. The Buccaneers scored 22.4 points per game (18th) and allowed 24.2 (20th); the Bengals scored 24.4 (12th) and allowed 28.9 (30th). The new season has no games yet, so these are last season's full-season numbers; rosters change over the offseason.

The Bengals closed as 3.5-point favorites at home against the Buccaneers. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed 50.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Buccaneers +167, Bengals -202) prices the Buccaneers at 36% and the Bengals at 64%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Tale of the tape

Tampa Bay Buccaneers logoBuccaneers
BengalsCincinnati Bengals logo
Offense
EPA per playexpected points added per snap
−0.00920th
−0.00819th
Success rateshare of plays that gain expected points
42.3%24th
45.5%11th
EPA per dropbackpassing plays, sacks and scrambles included
+0.03817th
−0.02025th
EPA per rushdesigned runs
−0.08125th
+0.0146th
Points per gamescored
22.418th
24.412th
Defense
EPA per play allowedexpected points the defense gives up per snap
+0.01317th
+0.13029th
Success rate allowedshare of opponent plays that gain expected points
44.8%20th
47.8%28th
EPA per dropback allowedpass defense
+0.08020th
+0.18028th
EPA per rush allowedrun defense
−0.1105th
+0.05831st
Points allowed per gameallowed
24.220th
28.930th

Full 2025 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).

Coaching and tendencies

Buccaneers head coachTodd Bowles
Bengals head coachZac Taylor
StaffBuccaneersBengals
Head coachTodd BowlesZac Taylor
Offensive coordinatorZac RobinsonDan Pitcher
Defensive coordinator—Al Golden

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest. Coaching staff: Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Injury report

Buccaneers
  • Justin Skule TDoubtfulOblique
  • Jalen McMillan WRDoubtfulKnee
  • Christian Rozeboom LBQuestionableFoot
Bengals
  • Shemar Stewart DEDoubtfulKnee

Starters (and the primary passer) on the game's official injury report, as of the latest report captured before kickoff.

Travel and schedule

Buccaneers travel777 mi1,250 km
VenueOutdoorsPaycor Stadium

The Buccaneers travel about 777 miles.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2015: the Buccaneers won 0 and the Bengals 2. In the most recent meeting (December 18, 2022), the Bengals won 34-23; the Bengals averaged −0.017 EPA per play; the Buccaneers averaged −0.106 EPA per play.

DateScoreSpreadTotalEPA/play
Dec 18, 2022Bengals 34, Buccaneers 23
Bengals won
Bengals -3.5
Bengals covered
47
over
Bengals −0.017 · Buccaneers −0.106
Oct 28, 2018Buccaneers 34, Bengals 37
Bengals won
Bengals -3.5
Buccaneers covered
55
over
Bengals +0.088 · Buccaneers +0.101

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the nflverse closing lines.

Closing line and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenBengals -3.5 (-112)
Buccaneers +3.5 (-108)
CloseBengals -3.5 (-111)
Buccaneers +3.5 (-108)
Totalno move
Open50.5 (o -113 / u -105)
Close50.5 (o -108 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenBuccaneers +164 36%
Bengals -202 64%
CloseBuccaneers +167 36%
Bengals -202 64%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Teams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cincinnati Bengals

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

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