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NFL · Week 8 · November 1, 2026

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Arizona Cardinals logo
2-5
Quarterback Jacoby Brissett Status pending
at
Dallas Cowboys logo
3-4
Quarterback Dak Prescott Status pending
Sunday, November 1 · 1:00 PM ETAT&T StadiumWeek 8
ARIStarting quarterbacksexpected startersDAL
24th−0.014
EPA/dropback
+0.1549th
15th47.5%
Success %
49.2%11th
17th+0.7
CPOE
+0.815th
10th5.0%
Sack %
2.4%1st
10–6
TD–INT
13–5
302
Dropbacks
293
ARIOffense2026 regular season to dateDAL
19th−0.034
EPA/play
+0.1146th
14th44.3%
Success %
47.7%7th
23rd−0.006
EPA/dropback
+0.1498th
18th−0.082
EPA/rush
+0.0444th
26th20.3
PPG
27.05th
ARIDefenseDAL
27th+0.095
EPA/play allowed
+0.13832nd
17th43.6%
Success % allowed
47.8%30th
30th+0.263
EPA/dropback allowed
+0.27331st
10th−0.116
EPA/rush allowed
−0.03326th
32nd29.7
Opp PPG
25.723rd
ARIRecent formDAL
L@ SF 30-36L@ NYG 24-36Lvs DET 21-45W@ LA 18-16Lvs DEN 16-30
Resultsoldest to newest
Lvs BAL 31-34W@ HOU 34-30Lvs TB 16-24L@ GB 13-23W@ PHI 38-21
2-5
Record
3-4
3-4
ATS
4-3
4-3
Over–under
5-2
ARIHome and roadseason to dateDAL
0-3
Home record
1-2
2-2
Road record
2-2
0-3
Home ATS
2-1
3-1
Road ATS
2-2
2-1
Home O/U
2-1
2-2
Road O/U
3-1
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
ARIRest & travelDAL
7 days
Days of rest
6 days
878 mi1,414 km
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
About these numbers

Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

The Cardinals (2-5) visit the Cowboys (3-4) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 8.

The Cardinals have the 19th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 27th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have the 6th-ranked offense and the 32nd-ranked defense. When the Cardinals have the ball, a 19th-ranked offense (−0.034 EPA per play) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (+0.138 allowed); when the Cowboys have it, a 6th-ranked offense (+0.114) meets a 27th-ranked defense (+0.095 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Cardinals offense is at 44.3% (14th) and the Cowboys offense at 47.7% (7th). Through the air, the Cardinals average −0.006 EPA per dropback (23rd) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 31st; the Cowboys average +0.149 (8th) against a Cardinals pass defense ranked 30th. The Cardinals score 20.3 points per game (26th) and allow 29.7 (32nd); the Cowboys score 27.0 (5th) and allow 25.7 (23rd).

Over the last five games, the Cardinals rank 22nd on offense and 29th on defense by EPA per play; the Cowboys rank 10th and 26th.

Dak Prescott has a 49.2% success rate (11th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Jacoby Brissett's 47.5% (15th). Per dropback, Prescott is at +0.154 EPA to Brissett's −0.014, with 13 touchdown passes and 5 interceptions to Brissett's 10 and 6.

The Cardinals are 2-5 and 3-4 against the spread; their last game was a 30-16 loss to the Broncos. The Cowboys are 3-4 and 4-3 against the spread; their last game was a 38-21 win over the Eagles.

The Cowboys are 6.5-point favorites at home against the Cardinals. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 54.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Cardinals +265, Cowboys -350) prices the Cardinals at 26% and the Cowboys at 74%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenCowboys -6.5 (-108)
Cardinals +6.5 (-112)
NowCowboys -6.5 (-117)
Cardinals +6.5 (-106)
Totalno move
Open54.5 (o -108 / u -112)
Now54.5 (o -109 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenCardinals +237 28%
Cowboys -296 72%
NowCardinals +265 26%
Cowboys -350 74%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Cardinals +6.5+113Novig
  • Cowboys -6.5-108Kalshi
  • Over 54.5+100Kalshi
  • Under 54.5-102Novig
  • Cardinals+285Novig
  • Cowboys-300Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Michael Wilson has 375 receiving yards for the Cardinals (22nd of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 24.3%. Tyler Allgeier has 176 rushing yards on 61 carries (35th of 39 qualified running backs). CeeDee Lamb has 651 receiving yards for the Cowboys (2nd of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 30.5%. Javonte Williams has 472 rushing yards on 110 carries (12th of 39 qualified running backs).

Arizona Cardinals logo
Cardinals
RB · Tyler Allgeier
  • Carries61
  • Rush yards17635th
  • Yards per carry2.936th
  • EPA per rush−0.23333rd
  • Rush success rate31.1%34th
WR · Michael Wilson
  • Targets / catches66 / 37
  • Receiving yards37522nd
  • Target share24.3%18th
  • Yards per target5.767th
  • EPA per target−0.09870th
TE · Trey McBride
  • Targets / catches78 / 59
  • Receiving yards4721st
  • Target share28.7%1st
  • Yards per target6.130th
  • EPA per target+0.24416th
Dallas Cowboys logo
Cowboys
RB · Javonte Williams
  • Carries110
  • Rush yards47212th
  • Yards per carry4.314th
  • EPA per rush+0.1043rd
  • Rush success rate47.3%6th
WR · CeeDee Lamb
  • Targets / catches81 / 53
  • Receiving yards6512nd
  • Target share30.5%6th
  • Yards per target8.037th
  • EPA per target+0.34633rd
TE · Jake Ferguson
  • Targets / catches25 / 17
  • Receiving yards11534th
  • Target share9.4%34th
  • Yards per target4.636th
  • EPA per target−0.27135th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

Early-down success rate44.4% / 46.5%league 43.1%
3rd-down conversion rate38.1% / 49.4%league 40.2%
Red-zone TD rate44.4% / 71.4%league 60.3%
SituationCardinalsCowboys
Early-down success rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense44.4%14th46.0%28th
Early-down success rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense42.5%12th46.5%9th
Early-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense+0.02614th+0.10631st
Early-down EPA per playCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense+0.04821st+0.1106th
3rd-down conversion rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense38.1%23rd54.1%32nd
3rd-down conversion rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense39.7%14th49.4%3rd
3rd-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense−0.23231st+0.36231st
3rd-down EPA per playCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense+0.30830th+0.1299th
Red-zone TD rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense44.4%32nd71.4%25th
Red-zone TD rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense70.8%24th71.4%5th
Red-zone success rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense33.0%31st50.0%28th
Red-zone success rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense37.2%9th40.9%18th

On early downs the Cardinals succeed on 44.4% of plays (14th) against a Cowboys defense that allows 46.0% (28th); on 3rd down they convert 38.1% (23rd) against a defense allowing 54.1% (32nd). On early downs the Cowboys succeed on 46.5% of plays (9th) against a Cardinals defense that allows 42.5% (12th); on 3rd down they convert 49.4% (3rd) against a defense allowing 39.7% (14th). The Cardinals score touchdowns on 44.4% of red-zone trips (32nd). The Cowboys score touchdowns on 71.4% of red-zone trips (5th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

Cardinals head coachMike LaFleur
Cowboys head coachBrian Schottenheimer
StaffCardinalsCowboys
Head coachMike LaFleurBrian Schottenheimer
Offensive coordinatorNathaniel HackettKlayton Adams
Defensive coordinatorNick RallisChristian Parker
Pass rate over expected−0.9% / 1.6%league −1.9%
Seconds per snap32.7 / 31.7league 32.9
Early-down dropback rate57.8% / 62.7%league 55.3%
Offense tendenciesCardinalsCowboys
Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9%−0.9%13th-highest1.6%7th-highest
Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9%63.9%9th-highest66.7%2nd-highest
Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3%57.8%9th-highest62.7%2nd-highest
Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4%58.4%20th-highest65.9%12th-highest
No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4%11.0%4th-highest9.5%6th-highest
Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.932.719th-slowest31.727th-slowest
Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4%9.0%32nd13.7%22nd
Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5%4.5%32nd6.7%27th
Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4%5.3%32nd8.2%20th
Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0%5.0%10th2.4%1st
Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85%1.27%10th1.35%11th
Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.367.72nd-most62.910th-most
4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8%7 of 124 of 4
DefenseCardinalsCowboys
Sack rate generatedleague 6.0%6.6%14th4.1%27th
Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4%19.1%30th18.0%26th
Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5%12.0%32nd10.3%26th
Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4%10.7%24th10.6%23rd
Takeaways per playleague 1.85%1.72%17th0.92%30th
QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5%13.8%22nd12.3%29th
QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5%17.2%23rd12.6%5th

The Cardinals run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−0.9% pass rate over expected, 13th-highest), while the Cowboys sit at 1.6% (7th-highest). In neutral situations the Cardinals take 32.7 seconds between snaps and the Cowboys 31.7, so the Cowboys play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Cardinals have gone for it 7 of 12 times and the Cowboys 4 of 4.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Cardinals offense
after wk 516thafter wk 617thafter wk 719th
falling
Cardinals defense
after wk 529thafter wk 628thafter wk 727th
rising
Cowboys offense
after wk 57thafter wk 68thafter wk 76th
rising
Cowboys defense
after wk 532ndafter wk 632ndafter wk 732nd
steady

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2015: the Cardinals won 4 and the Cowboys 1. In the most recent meeting (November 3, 2025), the Cardinals won 27-17; the Cardinals averaged +0.113 EPA per play; the Cowboys averaged −0.111 EPA per play.

DateScoreSpreadTotalEPA/play
Nov 3, 2025Cardinals 27, Cowboys 17
Cardinals won
Cowboys -3.5
Cardinals covered
53.5
under
Cardinals +0.113 · Cowboys −0.111
Sep 24, 2023Cowboys 16, Cardinals 28
Cardinals won
Cowboys -11.5
Cardinals covered
43.5
over
Cardinals +0.219 · Cowboys +0.062
Jan 2, 2022Cardinals 25, Cowboys 22
Cardinals won
Cowboys -6.5
Cardinals covered
53
under
Cardinals +0.163 · Cowboys +0.086
Oct 19, 2020Cardinals 38, Cowboys 10
Cardinals won
Cowboys -1
Cardinals covered
55.5
under
Cardinals +0.324 · Cowboys −0.177
Sep 25, 2017Cowboys 28, Cardinals 17
Cowboys won
Cowboys -3
Cowboys covered
46.5
under
Cardinals −0.064 · Cowboys +0.096

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Arizona Cardinals

Dallas Cowboys

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