Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026
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About these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
The Cardinals (2-5) visit the Cowboys (3-4) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 8.
The Cardinals have the 19th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 27th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have the 6th-ranked offense and the 32nd-ranked defense. When the Cardinals have the ball, a 19th-ranked offense (−0.034 EPA per play) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (+0.138 allowed); when the Cowboys have it, a 6th-ranked offense (+0.114) meets a 27th-ranked defense (+0.095 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Cardinals offense is at 44.3% (14th) and the Cowboys offense at 47.7% (7th). Through the air, the Cardinals average −0.006 EPA per dropback (23rd) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 31st; the Cowboys average +0.149 (8th) against a Cardinals pass defense ranked 30th. The Cardinals score 20.3 points per game (26th) and allow 29.7 (32nd); the Cowboys score 27.0 (5th) and allow 25.7 (23rd).
Over the last five games, the Cardinals rank 22nd on offense and 29th on defense by EPA per play; the Cowboys rank 10th and 26th.
Dak Prescott has a 49.2% success rate (11th of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Jacoby Brissett's 47.5% (15th). Per dropback, Prescott is at +0.154 EPA to Brissett's −0.014, with 13 touchdown passes and 5 interceptions to Brissett's 10 and 6.
The Cardinals are 2-5 and 3-4 against the spread; their last game was a 30-16 loss to the Broncos. The Cowboys are 3-4 and 4-3 against the spread; their last game was a 38-21 win over the Eagles.
The Cowboys are 6.5-point favorites at home against the Cardinals. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 54.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Cardinals +265, Cowboys -350) prices the Cardinals at 26% and the Cowboys at 74%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Cardinals +6.5 (-112)
Cardinals +6.5 (-106)
Cowboys -296 72%
Cowboys -350 74%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Cardinals +6.5+113Novig
- Cowboys -6.5-108Kalshi
- Over 54.5+100Kalshi
- Under 54.5-102Novig
- Cardinals+285Novig
- Cowboys-300Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Michael Wilson has 375 receiving yards for the Cardinals (22nd of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 24.3%. Tyler Allgeier has 176 rushing yards on 61 carries (35th of 39 qualified running backs). CeeDee Lamb has 651 receiving yards for the Cowboys (2nd of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 30.5%. Javonte Williams has 472 rushing yards on 110 carries (12th of 39 qualified running backs).
- Carries61
- Rush yards17635th
- Yards per carry2.936th
- EPA per rush−0.23333rd
- Rush success rate31.1%34th
- Targets / catches66 / 37
- Receiving yards37522nd
- Target share24.3%18th
- Yards per target5.767th
- EPA per target−0.09870th
- Targets / catches78 / 59
- Receiving yards4721st
- Target share28.7%1st
- Yards per target6.130th
- EPA per target+0.24416th
- Carries110
- Rush yards47212th
- Yards per carry4.314th
- EPA per rush+0.1043rd
- Rush success rate47.3%6th
- Targets / catches81 / 53
- Receiving yards6512nd
- Target share30.5%6th
- Yards per target8.037th
- EPA per target+0.34633rd
- Targets / catches25 / 17
- Receiving yards11534th
- Target share9.4%34th
- Yards per target4.636th
- EPA per target−0.27135th
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Cardinals | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense | 44.4%14th | 46.0%28th |
| Early-down success rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense | 42.5%12th | 46.5%9th |
| Early-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense | +0.02614th | +0.10631st |
| Early-down EPA per playCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense | +0.04821st | +0.1106th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense | 38.1%23rd | 54.1%32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense | 39.7%14th | 49.4%3rd |
| 3rd-down EPA per playCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense | −0.23231st | +0.36231st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense | +0.30830th | +0.1299th |
| Red-zone TD rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense | 44.4%32nd | 71.4%25th |
| Red-zone TD rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense | 70.8%24th | 71.4%5th |
| Red-zone success rateCardinals offense vs Cowboys defense | 33.0%31st | 50.0%28th |
| Red-zone success rateCowboys offense vs Cardinals defense | 37.2%9th | 40.9%18th |
On early downs the Cardinals succeed on 44.4% of plays (14th) against a Cowboys defense that allows 46.0% (28th); on 3rd down they convert 38.1% (23rd) against a defense allowing 54.1% (32nd). On early downs the Cowboys succeed on 46.5% of plays (9th) against a Cardinals defense that allows 42.5% (12th); on 3rd down they convert 49.4% (3rd) against a defense allowing 39.7% (14th). The Cardinals score touchdowns on 44.4% of red-zone trips (32nd). The Cowboys score touchdowns on 71.4% of red-zone trips (5th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Cardinals | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mike LaFleur | Brian Schottenheimer |
| Offensive coordinator | Nathaniel Hackett | Klayton Adams |
| Defensive coordinator | Nick Rallis | Christian Parker |
| Offense tendencies | Cardinals | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9% | −0.9%13th-highest | 1.6%7th-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9% | 63.9%9th-highest | 66.7%2nd-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3% | 57.8%9th-highest | 62.7%2nd-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 58.4%20th-highest | 65.9%12th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 11.0%4th-highest | 9.5%6th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 32.719th-slowest | 31.727th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 9.0%32nd | 13.7%22nd |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 4.5%32nd | 6.7%27th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 5.3%32nd | 8.2%20th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0% | 5.0%10th | 2.4%1st |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 1.27%10th | 1.35%11th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 67.72nd-most | 62.910th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8% | 7 of 12 | 4 of 4 |
| Defense | Cardinals | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.0% | 6.6%14th | 4.1%27th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 19.1%30th | 18.0%26th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 12.0%32nd | 10.3%26th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 10.7%24th | 10.6%23rd |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 1.72%17th | 0.92%30th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5% | 13.8%22nd | 12.3%29th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5% | 17.2%23rd | 12.6%5th |
The Cardinals run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−0.9% pass rate over expected, 13th-highest), while the Cowboys sit at 1.6% (7th-highest). In neutral situations the Cardinals take 32.7 seconds between snaps and the Cowboys 31.7, so the Cowboys play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Cardinals have gone for it 7 of 12 times and the Cowboys 4 of 4.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2015: the Cardinals won 4 and the Cowboys 1. In the most recent meeting (November 3, 2025), the Cardinals won 27-17; the Cardinals averaged +0.113 EPA per play; the Cowboys averaged −0.111 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | Cardinals 27, Cowboys 17 Cardinals won | Cowboys -3.5 Cardinals covered | 53.5 under | Cardinals +0.113 · Cowboys −0.111 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Cowboys 16, Cardinals 28 Cardinals won | Cowboys -11.5 Cardinals covered | 43.5 over | Cardinals +0.219 · Cowboys +0.062 |
| Jan 2, 2022 | Cardinals 25, Cowboys 22 Cardinals won | Cowboys -6.5 Cardinals covered | 53 under | Cardinals +0.163 · Cowboys +0.086 |
| Oct 19, 2020 | Cardinals 38, Cowboys 10 Cardinals won | Cowboys -1 Cardinals covered | 55.5 under | Cardinals +0.324 · Cowboys −0.177 |
| Sep 25, 2017 | Cowboys 28, Cardinals 17 Cowboys won | Cowboys -3 Cowboys covered | 46.5 under | Cardinals −0.064 · Cowboys +0.096 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Arizona Cardinals
- Arizona Cardinals team stats
- Denver Broncos 30, Arizona Cardinals 16 (Oct 25)
- Arizona Cardinals 18, Los Angeles Rams 16 (Oct 18)
- Detroit Lions 45, Arizona Cardinals 21 (Oct 11)
Dallas Cowboys
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