Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Final — September 13, 2026
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
About these numbers
Full 2025 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
No key players listed out, doubtful or questionable.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
The pre-game matchup
The Commanders visited the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, September 13 at 4:25 PM ET in Week 1.
Last season (2025), the Commanders had the 18th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 30th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Eagles had the 16th-ranked offense and the 8th-ranked defense. When the Commanders have the ball, a 18th-ranked offense (+0.006 EPA per play) meets a 8th-ranked defense (−0.079 allowed); when the Eagles have it, a 16th-ranked offense (+0.026) meets a 30th-ranked defense (+0.143 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Commanders offense was at 45.7% (10th) and the Eagles offense at 43.1% (20th). Through the air, the Commanders averaged +0.038 EPA per dropback (18th) against a Eagles pass defense ranked 7th; the Eagles averaged +0.073 (14th) against a Commanders pass defense ranked 30th. The Commanders scored 20.9 points per game (22nd) and allowed 26.5 (27th); the Eagles scored 22.3 (19th) and allowed 19.1 (5th). The new season has no games yet, so these are last season's full-season numbers; rosters change over the offseason.
The Eagles closed as 6-point favorites at home against the Commanders. The spread opened at Eagles -4.5. The total closed at 43.5, down from 46.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Commanders +215, Eagles -267) prices the Commanders at 30% and the Eagles at 70%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Washington Commanders 22, Philadelphia Eagles 24
Philadelphia Eagles won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Philadelphia Eagles -6): Washington Commanders covered.
- Combined score 46 vs the closing total of 43.5: Over.
- Philadelphia Eagles closed at -267 on the moneyline (a 70% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Philadelphia Eagles.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Washington Commanders 30%, Philadelphia Eagles 70%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q4 12:12 — Washington Commanders ball, 3rd & 14 at PHI 42(Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep left to 14-A.Williams pushed ob at PHI 14 for 33 yards (11-J.Campbell).Washington Commanders 11% → 22% (+11 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 10:04 — Washington Commanders ball, 3rd & 6 at PHI 10(Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 3-S.Diggs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on WAS-3-S.Diggs, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.Washington Commanders 18% → 28% (+10 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 8:03 — Philadelphia Eagles ball, 3rd & 18 at PHI 31(Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts scrambles up the middle to WAS 47 for 22 yards (2-A.Robertson).Philadelphia Eagles 63% → 79% (+16 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 6:12 — Philadelphia Eagles ball, 3rd & 6 at WAS 43(Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Philadelphia Eagles 75% → 91% (+16 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 2:04 — Washington Commanders ball, 4th & 2 at PHI 10(Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass short right to 17-T.McLaurin to PHI 4 for 6 yards (29-M.Epps).Washington Commanders 9% → 22% (+13 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of each team's plays, Philadelphia Eagles would win 66% of the time (Washington Commanders 34%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured Philadelphia Eagles. Here is where that came from.
| Commanders | Points added | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| -9.1 | Passingdropbacks | -14.0 |
| -3.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | -3.5 |
| +9.9 | Explosive plays7 plays · 6 plays | +18.1 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +0.2 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.1 |
| -2.6 | Penalties6 for 45 yds · 5 for 40 yds | -2.6 |
| +6.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 3 · 2 of 3 | +3.1 |
| +1.6 | All plays | +2.1 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 8.2 points to Philadelphia Eagles. The final margin was 2.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Philadelphia Eagles closed as the market favourite at 70% and won.
The line moved toward Philadelphia Eagles before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Commanders +4.5 (-110)
Commanders +6 (-110)
Eagles -227 66%
Eagles -267 70%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dan Quinn | Nick Sirianni |
| Offensive coordinator | David Blough | Sean Mannion |
| Defensive coordinator | Daronte Jones | Vic Fangio |
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 23 times since 2015: the Commanders won 9 and the Eagles 14. In the most recent meeting (January 4, 2026), the Commanders won 24-17; the Eagles averaged −0.103 EPA per play; the Commanders averaged −0.025 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Commanders 24, Eagles 17 Commanders won | Eagles -3 Commanders covered | 38.5 over | Eagles −0.103 · Commanders −0.025 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Eagles 29, Commanders 18 Eagles won | Eagles -7 Eagles covered | 43.5 over | Eagles +0.290 · Commanders −0.125 |
| Jan 26, 2025 playoffs | Commanders 23, Eagles 55 Eagles won | Eagles -6 Eagles covered | 46.5 over | Eagles +0.399 · Commanders −0.089 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Eagles 33, Commanders 36 Commanders won | Eagles -4 Commanders covered | 47 over | Eagles +0.026 · Commanders −0.066 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Commanders 18, Eagles 26 Eagles won | Eagles -4.5 Eagles covered | 49.5 under | Eagles +0.201 · Commanders −0.117 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Teams
Washington Commanders
- Washington Commanders team stats
- Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders (Nov 1)
- Washington Commanders 17, San Francisco 49ers 23 (Oct 19)
- New York Giants 27, Washington Commanders 27 (Oct 11)
- Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13 (Oct 4)
Philadelphia Eagles
- Philadelphia Eagles team stats
- Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders (Nov 1)
- Dallas Cowboys 38, Philadelphia Eagles 21 (Oct 26)
- Carolina Panthers 25, Philadelphia Eagles 14 (Oct 18)
- Philadelphia Eagles 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 19 (Oct 11)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NFL games on September 13, 2026
- Chicago Bears 59, Carolina Panthers 37 (Sep 13)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, Cincinnati Bengals 33 (Sep 13)
- Buffalo Bills 36, Houston Texans 31 (Sep 13)
- Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23 (Sep 13)
- Cleveland Browns 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 34 (Sep 13)
- Miami Dolphins 13, Las Vegas Raiders 27 (Sep 13)
- Arizona Cardinals 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14 (Sep 13)
- Green Bay Packers 22, Minnesota Vikings 39 (Sep 13)
- Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 28 (Sep 13)
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