Washington Capitals vs Nashville Predators Final — October 29, 2026
WSHStarting goaliesNSH
WSHOffense2026-27 regular season to dateNSHWSHDefenseNSHWSHTeamNSHWSH5-on-5NSHWSHSpecial teamsNSHWSHRecent formNSHWSHHome and roadseason to dateNSHInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
WSHRest & travelNSHWSHKey injuriesNSHAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from the arena of each team's previous game, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of October 29, 6:40 p.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Capitals (7-4-0) visited the Predators (4-3-5) on Thursday, October 29 at 8:10 PM ET.
The Capitals score 3.55 goals per game (9th of 32) and allow 3.09 (15th). The Predators score 2.83 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allow 3.25 (18th). The Capitals earn 63.6% of available standings points (9th) and the Predators 54.2% (17th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Capitals 50.0% (17th), Predators 45.3% (27th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Capitals 47.7% (22nd), Predators 45.0% (28th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Capitals 37.5% (27th), Predators 45.0% (23rd).
The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Capitals -112, Predators -107) prices the Capitals at 51% and the Predators at 49%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Washington Capitals 4, Nashville Predators 3
Washington Capitals won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Nashville Predators +1.5): Nashville Predators covered.
- Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
- Washington Capitals closed at -112 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
Nashville Predators 3
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Washington Capitals 51%, Nashville Predators 49%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 2nd 13:46 — Washington Capitals goal (3-2)Washington Capitals 50% → 73% (+22 pts)
- 3rd 6:34 — Nashville Predators goal (3-3)Nashville Predators 20% → 50% (+29 pts)
- 3rd 10:09 — Washington Capitals goal (4-3)Washington Capitals 50% → 83% (+32 pts)
Washington Capitals won after falling as low as 33% (1st 13:12).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, Washington Capitals won 54% of G&W replays (Nashville Predators 46%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.
| Capitals | Goals | Predators |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.0 |
| 0.6 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 0.5 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 2.8 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 2.5 |
| 0.0 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.1 |
| 0.2 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.3 |
| +1.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | +0.4 |
| -0.4 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Charlie Lindgren 24/27 · Juuse Saros 25/29 | -1.2 |
How the margin was built, from Washington Capitals's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
Washington Capitals closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Capitals +1.5 (-270)
Capitals -1.5 (+210)
Predators -108 50%
Predators -107 49%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Capitals won 6 and the Predators 8.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Predators 2, Capitals 4 Capitals won | Capitals -170 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Capitals 2, Predators 3 Predators won | Capitals -130 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Capitals 4, Predators 1 Capitals won | Predators -145 underdog won | 6 under |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Predators 2, Capitals 3 Capitals won | Capitals -122 favorite won | 6 under |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Predators 3, Capitals 2 SO Predators won | Predators -112 favorite won | 6.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals team stats
- Dallas Stars 6, Washington Capitals 5 (Nov 3)
- Minnesota Wild 5, Washington Capitals 1 (Nov 1)
- Philadelphia Flyers 2, Washington Capitals 5 (Oct 28)
Nashville Predators
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