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NFL · Week 8 · November 1, 2026

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Tennessee Titans logo
1-6
Quarterback Cam Ward Status pending
at
Cincinnati Bengals logo
4-2
Quarterback Joe Burrow Status pending
Sunday, November 1 · 1:00 PM ETPaycor Stadium · outdoorsWeek 8
TENStarting quarterbacksexpected startersCIN
31st−0.155
EPA/dropback
+0.2078th
28th40.5%
Success %
52.9%3rd
24th−0.9
CPOE
+7.34th
8th4.7%
Sack %
4.2%7th
4–5
TD–INT
15–3
232
Dropbacks
236
TENOffense2026 regular season to dateCIN
31st−0.135
EPA/play
+0.1097th
26th40.3%
Success %
48.5%5th
29th−0.150
EPA/dropback
+0.2076th
20th−0.111
EPA/rush
−0.08017th
31st15.4
PPG
27.24th
TENDefenseCIN
24th+0.057
EPA/play allowed
−0.04110th
24th45.1%
Success % allowed
42.7%12th
24th+0.134
EPA/dropback allowed
−0.0048th
25th−0.039
EPA/rush allowed
−0.10811th
15th22.3
Opp PPG
20.38th
TENRecent formCIN
L@ NYG 7-12L@ BAL 18-24Lvs HOU 3-26W@ IND 26-20Lvs CLE 24-27
Resultsoldest to newest
W@ HOU 20-6L@ PIT 27-30Lvs JAX 17-22W@ MIA 31-24W@ BAL 35-13
1-6
Record
4-2
3-4
ATS
3-2-1
3-4
Over–under
4-2
TENHome and roadseason to dateCIN
0-4
Home record
1-1
1-2
Road record
3-1
1-3
Home ATS
1-1
2-1
Road ATS
2-1-1
2-2
Home O/U
1-1
1-2
Road O/U
3-1
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
TENRest & travelCIN
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
237 mi381 km
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
VenuePaycor Stadium
Outdoors
About these numbers

Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

The Titans (1-6) visit the Bengals (4-2) at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 8.

The Titans have the 31st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 24th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Bengals have the 7th-ranked offense and the 10th-ranked defense. When the Titans have the ball, a 31st-ranked offense (−0.135 EPA per play) meets a 10th-ranked defense (−0.041 allowed); when the Bengals have it, a 7th-ranked offense (+0.109) meets a 24th-ranked defense (+0.057 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Titans offense is at 40.3% (26th) and the Bengals offense at 48.5% (5th). Through the air, the Titans average −0.150 EPA per dropback (29th) against a Bengals pass defense ranked 8th; the Bengals average +0.207 (6th) against a Titans pass defense ranked 24th. The Titans score 15.4 points per game (31st) and allow 22.3 (15th); the Bengals score 27.2 (4th) and allow 20.3 (8th).

Over the last five games, the Titans rank 30th on offense and 21st on defense by EPA per play; the Bengals rank 3rd and 13th.

Joe Burrow has a 52.9% success rate (3rd of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Cam Ward's 40.5% (28th). Per dropback, Burrow is at +0.207 EPA to Ward's −0.155, with 15 touchdown passes and 3 interceptions to Ward's 4 and 5.

The Titans are 1-6 and 3-4 against the spread; their last game was a 27-24 loss to the Browns. The Bengals are 4-2 and 3-2-1 against the spread; their last game was a 35-13 win over the Ravens.

The Bengals are 10.5-point favorites at home against the Titans. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 46.5, up from 46 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Titans +425, Bengals -590) prices the Titans at 18% and the Bengals at 82%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenBengals -10.5 (-107)
Titans +10.5 (-113)
NowBengals -10.5 (-105)
Titans +10.5 (-114)
Totalup 0.5
Open46 (o -109 / u -112)
Now46.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenTitans +460 17%
Bengals -650 83%
NowTitans +425 18%
Bengals -590 82%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • Titans +10.5-104Kalshi
  • Bengals -10.5+104Novig
  • Over 46.5+100Novig
  • Under 46.5-104Novig
  • Titans+488Kalshi
  • Bengals-488Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Carnell Tate has 413 receiving yards for the Titans (20th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 26.2%. Tony Pollard has 478 rushing yards on 112 carries (10th of 39 qualified running backs). Tee Higgins has 571 receiving yards for the Bengals (8th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 23.4%. Chase Brown has 285 rushing yards on 82 carries (27th of 39 qualified running backs).

Tennessee Titans logo
Titans
RB · Tony Pollard
  • Carries112
  • Rush yards47810th
  • Yards per carry4.315th
  • EPA per rush−0.08020th
  • Rush success rate42.9%14th
WR · Carnell Tate
  • Targets / catches51 / 34
  • Receiving yards41320th
  • Target share26.2%13th
  • Yards per target8.136th
  • EPA per target+0.19747th
TE · Daniel Bellinger
  • Targets / catches11 / 6
  • Receiving yards34
  • Target share5.6%
  • Yards per target3.1
  • EPA per target−0.525
Cincinnati Bengals logo
Bengals
RB · Chase Brown
  • Carries82
  • Rush yards28527th
  • Yards per carry3.532nd
  • EPA per rush−0.11824th
  • Rush success rate37.8%22nd
WR · Tee Higgins
  • Targets / catches50 / 33
  • Receiving yards5718th
  • Target share23.4%21st
  • Yards per target11.44th
  • EPA per target+0.7405th
TE · Mike Gesicki
  • Targets / catches18 / 13
  • Receiving yards16527th
  • Target share9.8%33rd
  • Yards per target9.26th
  • EPA per target+1.0181st

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

Early-down success rate40.1% / 47.5%league 43.1%
3rd-down conversion rate35.4% / 50.6%league 40.2%
Red-zone TD rate47.4% / 63.6%league 60.3%
SituationTitansBengals
Early-down success rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense40.1%25th41.2%7th
Early-down success rateBengals offense vs Titans defense44.2%20th47.5%5th
Early-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Bengals defense−0.14231st−0.0528th
Early-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Titans defense+0.06023rd+0.06911th
3rd-down conversion rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense35.4%28th48.1%28th
3rd-down conversion rateBengals offense vs Titans defense41.1%17th50.6%1st
3rd-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Bengals defense−0.09523rd+0.24229th
3rd-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Titans defense−0.05212th+0.1736th
Red-zone TD rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense47.4%29th35.0%3rd
Red-zone TD rateBengals offense vs Titans defense62.5%18th63.6%12th
Red-zone success rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense38.8%22nd30.6%4th
Red-zone success rateBengals offense vs Titans defense49.2%27th55.0%2nd

On early downs the Titans succeed on 40.1% of plays (25th) against a Bengals defense that allows 41.2% (7th); on 3rd down they convert 35.4% (28th) against a defense allowing 48.1% (28th). On early downs the Bengals succeed on 47.5% of plays (5th) against a Titans defense that allows 44.2% (20th); on 3rd down they convert 50.6% (1st) against a defense allowing 41.1% (17th). The Titans score touchdowns on 47.4% of red-zone trips (29th). The Bengals score touchdowns on 63.6% of red-zone trips (12th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

Titans head coachRobert Saleh
Bengals head coachZac Taylor
StaffTitansBengals
Head coachRobert SalehZac Taylor
Offensive coordinatorBrian DabollDan Pitcher
Defensive coordinatorGus BradleyAl Golden
Pass rate over expected−6.7% / 6.4%league −1.9%
Seconds per snap31.2 / 32.1league 32.9
Early-down dropback rate54.7% / 61.5%league 55.3%
Offense tendenciesTitansBengals
Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9%−6.7%29th-highest6.4%1st-highest
Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9%61.3%14th-highest65.7%5th-highest
Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3%54.7%17th-highest61.5%4th-highest
Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4%70.4%4th-highest74.4%2nd-highest
No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4%16.1%2nd-highest5.0%18th-highest
Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.931.230th-slowest32.125th-slowest
Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4%10.9%28th17.3%11th
Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5%5.4%30th8.0%20th
Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4%8.8%17th8.9%16th
Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0%4.7%8th4.2%7th
Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85%2.10%20th1.39%13th
Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.354.132nd-most59.820th-most
4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8%3 of 42 of 6
DefenseTitansBengals
Sack rate generatedleague 6.0%6.8%11th8.9%2nd
Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4%18.8%28th18.4%27th
Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5%10.3%25th9.4%20th
Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4%10.0%19th10.9%27th
Takeaways per playleague 1.85%1.55%22nd2.47%7th
QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5%15.1%15th16.7%11th
QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5%12.5%4th17.8%26th

The Titans run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−6.7% pass rate over expected, 29th-highest), while the Bengals sit at 6.4% (1st-highest). In neutral situations the Titans take 31.2 seconds between snaps and the Bengals 32.1, so the Titans play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Titans have gone for it 3 of 4 times and the Bengals 2 of 6.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Titans offense
after wk 531stafter wk 631stafter wk 731st
steady
Titans defense
after wk 525thafter wk 623rdafter wk 724th
rising
Bengals offense
after wk 510thafter wk 69thafter wk 77th
rising
Bengals defense
after wk 513thafter wk 616thafter wk 710th
rising

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 6 times since 2015: the Titans won 2 and the Bengals 4. In the most recent meeting (December 15, 2024), the Bengals won 37-27; the Bengals averaged +0.195 EPA per play; the Titans averaged −0.115 EPA per play.

DateScoreSpreadTotalEPA/play
Dec 15, 2024Bengals 37, Titans 27
Bengals won
Bengals -6
Bengals covered
46.5
over
Bengals +0.195 · Titans −0.115
Oct 1, 2023Bengals 3, Titans 27
Titans won
Bengals -2.5
Titans covered
41.5
under
Bengals −0.230 · Titans +0.202
Nov 27, 2022Bengals 20, Titans 16
Bengals won
Bengals -1
Bengals covered
43
under
Bengals +0.137 · Titans +0.060
Jan 22, 2022 playoffsBengals 19, Titans 16
Bengals won
Titans -4
Bengals covered
48.5
under
Bengals −0.082 · Titans −0.162
Nov 1, 2020Titans 20, Bengals 31
Bengals won
Titans -7.5
Bengals covered
49.5
over
Bengals +0.267 · Titans +0.236

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Tennessee Titans

Cincinnati Bengals

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