Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026
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About these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
The Titans (1-6) visit the Bengals (4-2) at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 8.
The Titans have the 31st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 24th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Bengals have the 7th-ranked offense and the 10th-ranked defense. When the Titans have the ball, a 31st-ranked offense (−0.135 EPA per play) meets a 10th-ranked defense (−0.041 allowed); when the Bengals have it, a 7th-ranked offense (+0.109) meets a 24th-ranked defense (+0.057 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Titans offense is at 40.3% (26th) and the Bengals offense at 48.5% (5th). Through the air, the Titans average −0.150 EPA per dropback (29th) against a Bengals pass defense ranked 8th; the Bengals average +0.207 (6th) against a Titans pass defense ranked 24th. The Titans score 15.4 points per game (31st) and allow 22.3 (15th); the Bengals score 27.2 (4th) and allow 20.3 (8th).
Over the last five games, the Titans rank 30th on offense and 21st on defense by EPA per play; the Bengals rank 3rd and 13th.
Joe Burrow has a 52.9% success rate (3rd of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Cam Ward's 40.5% (28th). Per dropback, Burrow is at +0.207 EPA to Ward's −0.155, with 15 touchdown passes and 3 interceptions to Ward's 4 and 5.
The Titans are 1-6 and 3-4 against the spread; their last game was a 27-24 loss to the Browns. The Bengals are 4-2 and 3-2-1 against the spread; their last game was a 35-13 win over the Ravens.
The Bengals are 10.5-point favorites at home against the Titans. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 46.5, up from 46 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Titans +425, Bengals -590) prices the Titans at 18% and the Bengals at 82%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Titans +10.5 (-113)
Titans +10.5 (-114)
Bengals -650 83%
Bengals -590 82%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Titans +10.5-104Kalshi
- Bengals -10.5+104Novig
- Over 46.5+100Novig
- Under 46.5-104Novig
- Titans+488Kalshi
- Bengals-488Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
Carnell Tate has 413 receiving yards for the Titans (20th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 26.2%. Tony Pollard has 478 rushing yards on 112 carries (10th of 39 qualified running backs). Tee Higgins has 571 receiving yards for the Bengals (8th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 23.4%. Chase Brown has 285 rushing yards on 82 carries (27th of 39 qualified running backs).
- Carries112
- Rush yards47810th
- Yards per carry4.315th
- EPA per rush−0.08020th
- Rush success rate42.9%14th
- Targets / catches51 / 34
- Receiving yards41320th
- Target share26.2%13th
- Yards per target8.136th
- EPA per target+0.19747th
- Targets / catches11 / 6
- Receiving yards34
- Target share5.6%
- Yards per target3.1
- EPA per target−0.525
- Carries82
- Rush yards28527th
- Yards per carry3.532nd
- EPA per rush−0.11824th
- Rush success rate37.8%22nd
- Targets / catches50 / 33
- Receiving yards5718th
- Target share23.4%21st
- Yards per target11.44th
- EPA per target+0.7405th
- Targets / catches18 / 13
- Receiving yards16527th
- Target share9.8%33rd
- Yards per target9.26th
- EPA per target+1.0181st
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Titans | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense | 40.1%25th | 41.2%7th |
| Early-down success rateBengals offense vs Titans defense | 44.2%20th | 47.5%5th |
| Early-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Bengals defense | −0.14231st | −0.0528th |
| Early-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Titans defense | +0.06023rd | +0.06911th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense | 35.4%28th | 48.1%28th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBengals offense vs Titans defense | 41.1%17th | 50.6%1st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Bengals defense | −0.09523rd | +0.24229th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Titans defense | −0.05212th | +0.1736th |
| Red-zone TD rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense | 47.4%29th | 35.0%3rd |
| Red-zone TD rateBengals offense vs Titans defense | 62.5%18th | 63.6%12th |
| Red-zone success rateTitans offense vs Bengals defense | 38.8%22nd | 30.6%4th |
| Red-zone success rateBengals offense vs Titans defense | 49.2%27th | 55.0%2nd |
On early downs the Titans succeed on 40.1% of plays (25th) against a Bengals defense that allows 41.2% (7th); on 3rd down they convert 35.4% (28th) against a defense allowing 48.1% (28th). On early downs the Bengals succeed on 47.5% of plays (5th) against a Titans defense that allows 44.2% (20th); on 3rd down they convert 50.6% (1st) against a defense allowing 41.1% (17th). The Titans score touchdowns on 47.4% of red-zone trips (29th). The Bengals score touchdowns on 63.6% of red-zone trips (12th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Titans | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Robert Saleh | Zac Taylor |
| Offensive coordinator | Brian Daboll | Dan Pitcher |
| Defensive coordinator | Gus Bradley | Al Golden |
| Offense tendencies | Titans | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −1.9% | −6.7%29th-highest | 6.4%1st-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.9% | 61.3%14th-highest | 65.7%5th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 55.3% | 54.7%17th-highest | 61.5%4th-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.4% | 70.4%4th-highest | 74.4%2nd-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.4% | 16.1%2nd-highest | 5.0%18th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 31.230th-slowest | 32.125th-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 10.9%28th | 17.3%11th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.5% | 5.4%30th | 8.0%20th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 8.8%17th | 8.9%16th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.0% | 4.7%8th | 4.2%7th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 2.10%20th | 1.39%13th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 54.132nd-most | 59.820th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.8% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 6 |
| Defense | Titans | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.0% | 6.8%11th | 8.9%2nd |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 18.8%28th | 18.4%27th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.5% | 10.3%25th | 9.4%20th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 10.0%19th | 10.9%27th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 1.55%22nd | 2.47%7th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.5% | 15.1%15th | 16.7%11th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.5% | 12.5%4th | 17.8%26th |
The Titans run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−6.7% pass rate over expected, 29th-highest), while the Bengals sit at 6.4% (1st-highest). In neutral situations the Titans take 31.2 seconds between snaps and the Bengals 32.1, so the Titans play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Titans have gone for it 3 of 4 times and the Bengals 2 of 6.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 6 times since 2015: the Titans won 2 and the Bengals 4. In the most recent meeting (December 15, 2024), the Bengals won 37-27; the Bengals averaged +0.195 EPA per play; the Titans averaged −0.115 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | Bengals 37, Titans 27 Bengals won | Bengals -6 Bengals covered | 46.5 over | Bengals +0.195 · Titans −0.115 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Bengals 3, Titans 27 Titans won | Bengals -2.5 Titans covered | 41.5 under | Bengals −0.230 · Titans +0.202 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Bengals 20, Titans 16 Bengals won | Bengals -1 Bengals covered | 43 under | Bengals +0.137 · Titans +0.060 |
| Jan 22, 2022 playoffs | Bengals 19, Titans 16 Bengals won | Titans -4 Bengals covered | 48.5 under | Bengals −0.082 · Titans −0.162 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Titans 20, Bengals 31 Bengals won | Titans -7.5 Bengals covered | 49.5 over | Bengals +0.267 · Titans +0.236 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Tennessee Titans
- Tennessee Titans team stats
- Cleveland Browns 27, Tennessee Titans 24 (Oct 25)
- Tennessee Titans 26, Indianapolis Colts 20 (Oct 18)
- Houston Texans 26, Tennessee Titans 3 (Oct 11)
Cincinnati Bengals
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