Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview & Odds — November 15, 2026
PITStarting quarterbacksexpected startersCIN
PITOffense2026 regular season to dateCINPITDefenseCINPITRecent formCINPITHome and roadseason to dateCINInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
PITRest & travelCINPITKey injuriesCINAbout these numbers
Quarterback = expected starter for this game. Season to date; ranks among 34 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game); a starter below that minimum is placed among them. Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Starters (and the primary passer), plus regular contributors playing at least 40% of team snaps, on the game's official injury report captured before kickoff.
Matchup preview
The Steelers (6-2) visit the Bengals (6-2) at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, November 15 at 8:20 PM ET in Week 10.
The Steelers have the 19th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 7th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Bengals have the 3rd-ranked offense and the 18th-ranked defense. When the Steelers have the ball, a 19th-ranked offense (−0.027 EPA per play) meets a 18th-ranked defense (+0.005 allowed); when the Bengals have it, a 3rd-ranked offense (+0.142) meets a 7th-ranked defense (−0.074 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Steelers offense is at 42.1% (19th) and the Bengals offense at 50.4% (2nd). Through the air, the Steelers average −0.110 EPA per dropback (26th) against a Bengals pass defense ranked 14th; the Bengals average +0.261 (3rd) against a Steelers pass defense ranked 8th. The Steelers score 22.5 points per game (17th) and allow 18.0 (4th); the Bengals score 30.0 (2nd) and allow 21.9 (14th).
Over the last five games, the Steelers rank 10th on offense and 8th on defense by EPA per play; the Bengals rank 1st and 24th.
Joe Burrow has a 55.6% success rate (2nd of 34 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Aaron Rodgers' 40.8% (28th). Per dropback, Burrow is at +0.265 EPA to Rodgers' −0.099, with 23 touchdown passes and 6 interceptions to Rodgers' 13 and 6.
The Steelers are 6-2 and 6-2 against the spread; their last game was a 27-6 win over the Browns. The Bengals are 6-2 and 4-3-1 against the spread; their last game was a 34-17 win over the Falcons. The Steelers are coming off a bye.
The Bengals are 3.5-point favorites at home against the Steelers. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 49.5, up from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Steelers +155, Bengals -190) prices the Steelers at 37% and the Bengals at 63%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Steelers +3.5 (-102)
Steelers +3.5 (-110)
Bengals -191 63%
Bengals -190 63%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 14
- Steelers +3.5-106Novig
- Bengals -3.5+104Novig
- Over 49.5+100Novig
- Under 49.5-102Novig
- Steelers+167Novig
- Bengals-170Novig
Matchup
Players to watch
DK Metcalf has 378 receiving yards for the Steelers (33rd of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 23.9%. Jaylen Warren has 704 rushing yards on 119 carries (6th of 41 qualified running backs). Ja'Marr Chase has 647 receiving yards for the Bengals (11th of 76 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 25.3%. Chase Brown has 397 rushing yards on 103 carries (23rd of 41 qualified running backs).
- Carries119
- Rush yards7046th
- Yards per carry5.91st
- EPA per rush+0.1283rd
- Rush success rate47.9%4th
- Targets / catches64 / 33
- Receiving yards37833rd
- Target share23.9%20th
- Yards per target5.970th
- EPA per target−0.03370th
- Targets / catches35 / 25
- Receiving yards23526th
- Target share13.1%26th
- Yards per target6.723rd
- EPA per target+0.22820th
- Carries103
- Rush yards39723rd
- Yards per carry3.929th
- EPA per rush−0.15132nd
- Rush success rate37.9%25th
- Targets / catches73 / 53
- Receiving yards64711th
- Target share25.3%15th
- Yards per target8.926th
- EPA per target+0.5617th
- Targets / catches26 / 19
- Receiving yards25223rd
- Target share10.1%36th
- Yards per target9.74th
- EPA per target+0.7391st
Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSteelers offense vs Bengals defense | 42.7%15th | 42.9%17th |
| Early-down success rateBengals offense vs Steelers defense | 42.1%11th | 49.6%3rd |
| Early-down EPA per playSteelers offense vs Bengals defense | +0.01317th | −0.02311th |
| Early-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Steelers defense | −0.0866th | +0.0907th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSteelers offense vs Bengals defense | 38.2%16th | 47.5%28th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBengals offense vs Steelers defense | 34.3%6th | 53.6%1st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playSteelers offense vs Bengals defense | −0.16825th | +0.25331st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playBengals offense vs Steelers defense | −0.1767th | +0.3311st |
| Red-zone TD rateSteelers offense vs Bengals defense | 50.0%26th | 42.9%5th |
| Red-zone TD rateBengals offense vs Steelers defense | 37.5%2nd | 71.0%3rd |
| Red-zone success rateSteelers offense vs Bengals defense | 40.0%20th | 34.5%6th |
| Red-zone success rateBengals offense vs Steelers defense | 30.8%2nd | 57.5%1st |
On early downs the Steelers succeed on 42.7% of plays (15th) against a Bengals defense that allows 42.9% (17th); on 3rd down they convert 38.2% (16th) against a defense allowing 47.5% (28th). On early downs the Bengals succeed on 49.6% of plays (3rd) against a Steelers defense that allows 42.1% (11th); on 3rd down they convert 53.6% (1st) against a defense allowing 34.3% (6th). The Steelers score touchdowns on 50.0% of red-zone trips (26th). The Bengals score touchdowns on 71.0% of red-zone trips (3rd).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mike McCarthy | Zac Taylor |
| Offensive coordinator | Brian Angelichio | Dan Pitcher |
| Defensive coordinator | Patrick Graham | Al Golden |
| Offense tendencies | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.2% | 1.2%5th-highest | 8.1%1st-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.3% | 63.8%9th-highest | 66.5%1st-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.8% | 59.9%3rd-highest | 62.7%2nd-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 61.7% | 66.5%10th-highest | 76.2%2nd-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.5% | 7.1%12th-highest | 4.3%21st-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 32.9 | 34.34th-slowest | 32.621st-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.4% | 13.1%26th | 18.0%7th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 8.2%17th | 8.8%14th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 12.4%5th | 10.5%10th |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.3% | 7.3%21st | 4.7%8th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.98% | 1.62%10th | 1.86%15th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 61.3 | 61.514th-most | 60.422nd-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 63.6% | 3 of 8 | 3 of 8 |
| Defense | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.3% | 8.2%4th | 7.3%9th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.4% | 12.3%4th | 18.3%27th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 9.6%22nd | 9.7%23rd |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 7.7%8th | 10.9%27th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.98% | 2.47%6th | 2.44%7th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 15.7% | 16.0%14th | 14.7%21st |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 15.7% | 15.6%14th | 17.8%27th |
The Steelers pass more often than down, distance and score would suggest (1.2% pass rate over expected, 5th-highest), while the Bengals sit at 8.1% (1st-highest). In neutral situations the Steelers take 34.3 seconds between snaps and the Bengals 32.6, so the Bengals play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Steelers have gone for it 3 of 8 times and the Bengals 3 of 8.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 24 times since 2015: the Steelers won 17 and the Bengals 7. In the most recent meeting (September 27, 2026), the Steelers won 30-27; the Bengals averaged +0.281 EPA per play; the Steelers averaged +0.201 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bengals 27, Steelers 30 Steelers won | Bengals -3.5 Steelers covered | 42.5 over | Bengals +0.281 · Steelers +0.201 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Bengals 12, Steelers 34 Steelers won | Steelers -5.5 Steelers covered | 48.5 under | Bengals −0.237 · Steelers +0.199 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Steelers 31, Bengals 33 Bengals won | Steelers -5.5 Bengals covered | 45.5 over | Bengals +0.329 · Steelers +0.365 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Bengals 19, Steelers 17 Bengals won | Bengals -2.5 Steelers covered | 48.5 under | Bengals −0.029 · Steelers −0.175 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Steelers 44, Bengals 38 Steelers won | Bengals -3 Steelers covered | 46 over | Bengals 0.000 · Steelers +0.276 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Pittsburgh Steelers team stats
- Cleveland Browns 6, Pittsburgh Steelers 27 (Nov 1)
- Pittsburgh Steelers 16, New Orleans Saints 10 (Oct 25)
- Pittsburgh Steelers 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19 (Oct 18)
Cincinnati Bengals
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