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NHL · October 8, 2026

Vancouver Canucks vs Carolina Hurricanes Final — October 8, 2026

Vancouver Canucks

2-2-0

Goalie Kevin Lankinen Confirmed

FINAL

Carolina Hurricanes

2-1-1

Goalie Pyotr Kochetkov Confirmed

Thursday, October 8 · 7:10 PM ET

VANStarting goaliesCAR

This season

Starts

.824

Sv%

.889

.714

HDSv%

1.000

−6.1

GSAx

+0.5

Last season

Starts

.875

Sv%

.899

.828

HDSv%

.647

−24.4

GSAx

−1.3

VANOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)CAR

30th2.63

GF/G

3.612nd

12th8.34

PP GF/60

9.114th

VANDefenseCAR

32nd3.85

GA/G

2.934th

31st10.38

PK GA/60

7.2313th

VANTeamCAR

32nd35.4%

Pts%

68.9%2nd

31st44.1%

xGF%

56.4%2nd

29th46.5%

CF%

59.8%1st

32nd41.8%

HDCF%

53.7%8th

VAN5-on-5CAR

29th2.27

xGF/60

3.061st

32nd2.88

xGA/60

2.377th

29th8.2%

Sh%

8.9%24th

30th89.2%

Sv%

89.5%26th

23rd114.1

CF/60 (both)

116.513th

30th−0.26

GAx/G

−0.0821st

30th−0.36

GSAx/G

−0.0619th

28th9.5%

Sh%

10.5%17th

32nd88.0%

Sv%

88.6%26th

29th42.4%

xGF% (L20)

57.9%1st

VANSpecial teamsCAR

10th8.12

PP xG/60

8.189th

11th81.0

PP FF/60

83.84th

24th4.5

PP min/G

4.718th

25th8.17

PK xGA/60

6.473rd

7th4.3

PK min/G

4.613th

VANRecent formCAR

W@ EDM 6-5Lvs EDM 7-9Wvs CGY 4-1Lvs VGK 2-3

Resultsoldest to newest

OTLvs FLA 0-1Lvs WSH 2-5W@ PHI 3-2W@ MTL 6-4

Game by game

2-2-0

Record

2-1-1

2-2

Over–under

2-2

VANHome and roadseason to dateCAR

1-2-0

Home record

0-1-1

1-0-0

Road record

2-0-0

1-2

Home O/U

1-1

1-0

Road O/U

1-1

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

VANRest & travelCAR

4 days

Days of rest

2 days

2,402 mi3,866 km

Travel to the game

Home

+3 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

VANKey injuriesCAR

None listed

Players out or limited

Seth Jarvis CIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 8, 6:40 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Canucks (2-2-0) visited the Hurricanes (2-1-1) on Thursday, October 8 at 7:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Canucks scored 2.63 goals per game (30th of 32) and allowed 3.85 (32nd). The Hurricanes scored 3.61 goals per game (2nd of 32) and allowed 2.93 (4th). The Canucks earned 35.4% of available standings points (32nd) and the Hurricanes 68.9% (2nd).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Canucks 44.1% (31st), Hurricanes 56.4% (2nd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Canucks 46.5% (29th), Hurricanes 59.8% (1st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Canucks 41.8% (32nd), Hurricanes 53.7% (8th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Canucks +290, Hurricanes -375) prices the Canucks at 25% and the Hurricanes at 75%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Vancouver Canucks 2, Carolina Hurricanes 7

Carolina Hurricanes won by 5.

Against the closing spread (Carolina Hurricanes -1.5): Carolina Hurricanes covered.
Combined score 9 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Carolina Hurricanes closed at -375 on the moneyline (a 75% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Vancouver Canucks 2
Carolina Hurricanes 7

Decided

In regulation

Carolina Hurricanes won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

25%Market at the close75%

Vancouver CanucksCarolina Hurricanes

27%Market at the open73%

From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Carolina Hurricanes.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Vancouver Canucks 25%, Carolina Hurricanes 75%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

1st 1:18 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (0-1)Carolina Hurricanes 75% → 86% (+11 pts)
1st 7:11 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (0-2)Carolina Hurricanes 86% → 94% (+7 pts)
1st 9:25 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (0-3)Carolina Hurricanes 94% → 98% (+3 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

9%VAN

Share of G&W replays won

91%CAR

1.7

Expected goals

6.2

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Carolina Hurricanes won 91% of G&W replays (Vancouver Canucks 9%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Carolina Hurricanes. Here is where that came from.

Canucks	Goals	Hurricanes
0.9	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	4.5
0.8	Power-play chancesexpected goals	1.4
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.3
1.7	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	6.2
0.1	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	1.2
+0.3	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+0.8
-0.8	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Kevin Lankinen 12/18, Leevi Meriläinen 15/16 · Pyotr Kochetkov 18/20	-0.3

Bar left: Canucks gainedBar right: Hurricanes gained

How the margin was built, from Carolina Hurricanes's side:

Chances +4.4Finishing & goaltending +0.6Carolina Hurricanes by 5

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Carolina Hurricanes closed as the market favourite at 75% and won.

The line moved toward Carolina Hurricanes before puck drop, and they won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenHurricanes -1.5 (-125)
Canucks +1.5 (+105)

CloseHurricanes -1.5 (-139)
Canucks +1.5 (+112)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -101 / u -119)

Close6.5 (o -101 / u -120)

Moneyline

OpenCanucks +260 27%
Hurricanes -327 73%

CloseCanucks +290 25%
Hurricanes -375 75%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Canucks won 5 and the Hurricanes 9.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Mar 4, 2026	Hurricanes 6, Canucks 4 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -355 favorite won	6 over
Nov 14, 2025	Canucks 3, Hurricanes 4 OT Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -300 favorite won	6.5 over
Jan 10, 2025	Canucks 0, Hurricanes 2 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -175 favorite won	6 under
Oct 28, 2024	Hurricanes 4, Canucks 3 OT Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -130 favorite won	6 over
Feb 6, 2024	Canucks 3, Hurricanes 2 Canucks won	Hurricanes -152 underdog won	6.5 under

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams