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NHL · October 22, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes vs Edmonton Oilers Final — October 22, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes

8-2-1

Goalie Brandon Bussi Confirmed

FINAL

Edmonton Oilers

7-1-1

Goalie Devon Levi Confirmed

Thursday, October 22 · 9:10 PM ET

CARStarting goaliesEDM

This season

Starts

.882

Sv%

.898

.800

HDSv%

.767

−3.1

GSAx

+2.2

Last season

Starts

—

.895

Sv%

—

.822

HDSv%

—

+0.9

GSAx

—

CAROffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)EDM

2nd3.61

GF/G

3.447th

4th9.11

PP GF/60

12.211st

CARDefenseEDM

4th2.93

GA/G

3.2825th

13th7.23

PK GA/60

8.2721st

CARTeamEDM

2nd68.9%

Pts%

56.7%14th

2nd56.4%

xGF%

51.7%9th

1st59.8%

CF%

50.3%12th

8th53.7%

HDCF%

51.0%14th

CAR5-on-5EDM

1st3.06

xGF/60

2.668th

7th2.37

xGA/60

2.4912th

24th8.9%

Sh%

9.2%21st

26th89.5%

Sv%

89.0%32nd

13th116.5

CF/60 (both)

115.117th

21st−0.08

GAx/G

+0.0813th

19th−0.06

GSAx/G

−0.2326th

17th10.5%

Sh%

10.9%9th

26th88.6%

Sv%

88.3%29th

1st57.9%

xGF% (L20)

51.0%16th

CARSpecial teamsEDM

9th8.18

PP xG/60

9.781st

4th83.8

PP FF/60

89.81st

18th4.7

PP min/G

4.129th

3rd6.47

PK xGA/60

8.2526th

13th4.6

PK min/G

4.48th

CARRecent formEDM

W@ PHI 4-1Wvs WSH 4-2W@ WPG 3-2L@ CGY 2-3W@ VAN 6-3

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ SJS 3-1W@ LAK 4-1Lvs UTA 2-4W@ UTA 6-2Wvs MIN 4-3

Game by game

8-2-1

Record

7-1-1

4-1-0

Last 5

4-1-0

8-2-0

Last 10

—

5-6

Over–under

—

CARHome and roadseason to dateEDM

2-1-1

Home record

2-1-1

6-1-0

Road record

5-0-0

2-2

Home O/U

—

3-4

Road O/U

—

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

CARRest & travelEDM

2 days

Days of rest

2 days

508 mi817 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

CARKey injuriesEDM

Jordan Staal CIR

Players out or limited

Frederik Andersen GIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 22, 8:10 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Hurricanes (8-2-1) visited the Oilers (7-1-1) on Thursday, October 22 at 9:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Hurricanes scored 3.61 goals per game (2nd of 32) and allowed 2.93 (4th). The Oilers scored 3.44 goals per game (7th of 32) and allowed 3.28 (25th). The Hurricanes earned 68.9% of available standings points (2nd) and the Oilers 56.7% (14th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Hurricanes 56.4% (2nd), Oilers 51.7% (9th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Hurricanes 59.8% (1st), Oilers 50.3% (12th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Hurricanes 53.7% (8th), Oilers 51.0% (14th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Hurricanes -133, Oilers +111) prices the Hurricanes at 55% and the Oilers at 45%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Edmonton Oilers 6

Edmonton Oilers won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Edmonton Oilers +1.5): Edmonton Oilers covered.
Combined score 11 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Edmonton Oilers closed at +111 on the moneyline (a 45% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Carolina Hurricanes 5
Edmonton Oilers 6

Decided

In a shootout

Edmonton Oilers won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

55%Market at the close45%

Carolina HurricanesEdmonton Oilers

50%Market at the open50%

From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Carolina Hurricanes.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Carolina Hurricanes 55%, Edmonton Oilers 45%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

3rd 17:20 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (5-4)Carolina Hurricanes 52% → 92% (+41 pts)
3rd 18:32 — Edmonton Oilers goal (5-5)Edmonton Oilers 5% → 48% (+43 pts)
OT 5:00 — Edmonton Oilers game-endEdmonton Oilers 50% → 100% (+50 pts)

Edmonton Oilers won after falling as low as 5% (3rd 18:32).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

55%CAR

Share of G&W replays won

45%EDM

3.1

Expected goals

2.8

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Carolina Hurricanes won 55% of G&W replays (Edmonton Oilers 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above had the chances close to even. Here is where each side gained and lost.

Hurricanes	Goals	Oilers
2.5	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	1.4
0.4	Power-play chancesexpected goals	1.4
0.3	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
3.2	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.8
0.2	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.2
0.3	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.8
+1.6	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	+2.0
-2.0	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Brandon Bussi 16/21 · Devon Levi 22/27	-1.6

Bar left: Hurricanes gainedBar right: Oilers gained

How the margin was built, from Edmonton Oilers's side:

Chances -0.4Finishing & goaltending +0.4Shootout +1Edmonton Oilers by 1

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

Line review

Carolina Hurricanes closed as the market favourite at 55% and lost.

The line moved toward Carolina Hurricanes before puck drop, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenOilers +1.5 (-264)
Hurricanes -1.5 (+210)

CloseOilers +1.5 (-222)
Hurricanes -1.5 (+178)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Close6.5 (o -129 / u +105)

Moneyline

OpenHurricanes -110 50%
Oilers -110 50%

CloseHurricanes -133 55%
Oilers +111 45%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Hurricanes won 9 and the Oilers 5.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Mar 6, 2026	Hurricanes 6, Oilers 3 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -115 favorite won	6.5 over
Nov 15, 2025	Oilers 4, Hurricanes 3 OT Oilers won	Hurricanes -128 underdog won	6.5 over
Mar 1, 2025	Oilers 3, Hurricanes 1 Oilers won	Hurricanes -164 underdog won	6.5 under
Oct 22, 2024	Hurricanes 3, Oilers 2 OT Hurricanes won	Oilers -125 underdog won	6 under
Dec 6, 2023	Hurricanes 1, Oilers 6 Oilers won	Oilers -115 favorite won	6.5 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams