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NHL · October 24, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes vs St Louis Blues Final — October 24, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes

8-2-2

Goalie Pyotr Kochetkov Likely

FINAL

St Louis Blues

5-4-1

Goalie Joel Hofer Likely

Saturday, October 24 · 7:10 PM ET

CARStarting goaliesSTL

This season

Starts

.899

Sv%

.920

.929

HDSv%

.867

+1.0

GSAx

+3.4

Last season

Starts

.899

Sv%

.910

.647

HDSv%

.856

−1.3

GSAx

+9.1

CAROffense2026-27 regular season to dateSTL

4th3.92

GF/G

3.509th

12th8.82

PP GF/60

7.7915th

CARDefenseSTL

7th2.75

GA/G

3.1015th

12th6.26

PK GA/60

3.324th

CARTeamSTL

3rd75.0%

Pts%

55.0%19th

1st62.3%

xGF%

51.2%14th

1st59.8%

CF%

50.4%16th

1st71.8%

HDCF%

71.0%3rd

CAR5-on-5STL

1st3.27

xGF/60

2.4020th

1st1.98

xGA/60

2.2910th

11th10.2%

Sh%

9.8%13th

24th88.8%

Sv%

88.8%23rd

18th112.0

CF/60 (both)

109.324th

17th−0.12

GAx/G

+0.466th

24th−0.35

GSAx/G

−0.3220th

13th11.0%

Sh%

12.1%7th

23rd88.0%

Sv%

89.3%16th

CARSpecial teamsSTL

6th9.15

PP xG/60

6.6824th

8th80.1

PP FF/60

59.726th

3rd6.2

PP min/G

4.626th

3rd5.89

PK xGA/60

5.321st

21st5.6

PK min/G

5.417th

CARRecent formSTL

Wvs WSH 4-2W@ WPG 3-2L@ CGY 2-3W@ VAN 6-3OTL@ EDM 5-6

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ OTT 7-2L@ MIN 4-5L@ NSH 2-5Wvs WPG 2-1Wvs VGK 6-2

Game by game

8-2-2

Record

5-4-1

3-1-1

Last 5

3-2-0

8-1-1

Last 10

5-4-1

6-6

Over–under

7-3

CARHome and roadseason to dateSTL

2-1-1

Home record

3-0-1

6-1-1

Road record

2-4-0

2-2

Home O/U

2-2

4-4

Road O/U

5-1

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

CARRest & travelSTL

2 days

Days of rest

2 days

1,507 mi2,425 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

CARKey injuriesSTL

Jordan Staal CIR

Players out or limited

Torey Krug DIR

About these numbers

Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.

2026-27 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

2026-27 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.

2026-27 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.

Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 24, 9:40 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Hurricanes (8-2-2) visited the Blues (5-4-1) on Saturday, October 24 at 7:10 PM ET.

The Hurricanes score 3.92 goals per game (4th of 32) and allow 2.75 (7th). The Blues score 3.50 goals per game (9th of 32) and allow 3.10 (15th). The Hurricanes earn 75.0% of available standings points (3rd) and the Blues 55.0% (19th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Hurricanes 62.3% (1st), Blues 51.2% (14th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Hurricanes 59.8% (1st), Blues 50.4% (16th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Hurricanes 71.8% (1st), Blues 71.0% (3rd).

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Hurricanes -152, Blues +130) prices the Hurricanes at 58% and the Blues at 42%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Carolina Hurricanes 4, St Louis Blues 0

Carolina Hurricanes won by 4.

Against the closing spread (St Louis Blues +1.5): Carolina Hurricanes covered.
Combined score 4 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
Carolina Hurricanes closed at -152 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).

Actual result

Final

Carolina Hurricanes 4
St Louis Blues 0

Decided

In regulation

Carolina Hurricanes won

Lead changes

Before the game: market and G&W

58%Market at the close42%

Carolina HurricanesSt Louis Blues

58%Market at the open42%

The market barely moved from open to close.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Carolina Hurricanes 58%, St Louis Blues 42%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.

Biggest swings

2nd 4:45 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (1-0)Carolina Hurricanes 56% → 75% (+18 pts)
2nd 5:05 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (2-0)Carolina Hurricanes 75% → 88% (+13 pts)
2nd 13:35 — Carolina Hurricanes goal (3-0)Carolina Hurricanes 90% → 97% (+7 pts)

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Chance Quality Result

69%CAR

Share of G&W replays won

31%STL

3.8

Expected goals

2.2

Final score

Based on the quality of chances each team created, Carolina Hurricanes won 69% of G&W replays (St Louis Blues 31%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.

The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.

Game DNA

The Chance Quality Result above favoured Carolina Hurricanes. Here is where that came from.

Hurricanes	Goals	Blues
3.5	5-on-5 chancesexpected goals	2.0
0.3	Power-play chancesexpected goals	0.3
0.0	Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed	0.0
3.8	Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result	2.3
0.2	Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result	0.0
0.6	Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above	0.4
+0.1	Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots	-2.2
+2.2	Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Pyotr Kochetkov 24/24 · Joel Hofer 35/39	-0.1

Bar left: Hurricanes gainedBar right: Blues gained

How the margin was built, from Carolina Hurricanes's side:

Chances +1.7Finishing & goaltending +2.3Carolina Hurricanes by 4

The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playUnder 6.5 -1200.50uWIN +0.50u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Carolina Hurricanes closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market

Closing line and line movement

Puck lineno move

OpenBlues +1.5 (-195)
Hurricanes -1.5 (+157)

CloseBlues +1.5 (-200)
Hurricanes -1.5 (+159)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o +105 / u -125)

Close6.5 (o +110 / u -132)

Moneyline

OpenHurricanes -154 58%
Blues +130 42%

CloseHurricanes -152 58%
Blues +130 42%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 13 times since 2018-19: the Hurricanes won 7 and the Blues 6.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Mar 12, 2026	Blues 3, Hurricanes 1 Blues won	Hurricanes -292 underdog won	6 under
Jan 13, 2026	Hurricanes 0, Blues 3 Blues won	Hurricanes -180 underdog won	6 under
Nov 17, 2024	Blues 1, Hurricanes 4 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -335 favorite won	6 under
Oct 19, 2024	Hurricanes 3, Blues 4 Blues won	Hurricanes -165 underdog won	6 over
Apr 12, 2024	Hurricanes 5, Blues 2 Hurricanes won	Hurricanes -225 favorite won	5.5 over

Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.

Teams