Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys Final — September 27, 2026
Final score and result vs the closing line
Baltimore Ravens 34, Dallas Cowboys 31
Baltimore Ravens won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Dallas Cowboys +3.5): Dallas Cowboys covered.
- Combined score 65 vs the closing total of 54: Over.
- Baltimore Ravens closed at -178 on the moneyline (a 62% no-vig market-implied chance).
The pre-game matchup
The Ravens (1-1) visited the Cowboys (1-1) at Maracana Stadium, a neutral site, on Sunday, September 27 at 4:25 PM ET in Week 3.
The Ravens have the 4th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 14th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have the 3rd-ranked offense and the 30th-ranked defense. When the Ravens have the ball, a 4th-ranked offense (+0.223 EPA per play) meets a 30th-ranked defense (+0.217 allowed); when the Cowboys have it, a 3rd-ranked offense (+0.224) meets a 14th-ranked defense (−0.028 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Ravens offense is at 56.5% (2nd) and the Cowboys offense at 50.9% (4th). Through the air, the Ravens average +0.258 EPA per dropback (7th) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 30th; the Cowboys average +0.388 (4th) against a Ravens pass defense ranked 11th. The Ravens score 29.0 points per game (7th) and allow 23.5 (16th); the Cowboys score 28.5 (8th) and allow 24.0 (18th).
Lamar Jackson has a 56.7% success rate (3rd of 33 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Dak Prescott's 56.2% (4th). Per dropback, Jackson is at +0.258 EPA to Prescott's +0.388, with 2 touchdown passes and 1 interception to Prescott's 6 and 1.
The Ravens are 1-1 and 1-1 against the spread; their last game was a 24-17 loss to the Saints. The Cowboys are 1-1 and 1-1 against the spread; their last game was a 37-20 win over the Commanders.
The Ravens closed as 3.5-point favorites over the Cowboys at the neutral site. The spread opened at Ravens -3. The total closed at 54, up from 51.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Ravens -178, Cowboys +150) prices the Ravens at 62% and the Cowboys at 38%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Tale of the tape
Ravens2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Quarterback matchup
- Dropbacks66
- Success rate56.7%3rd
- EPA per dropback+0.2589th
- Completion %70.4%8th
- CPOE+6.512th
- Yards per attempt10.41st
- TD–INT2–1
- Sack rate7.6%21st
- Dropbacks72
- Success rate56.2%4th
- EPA per dropback+0.3885th
- Completion %73.8%4th
- CPOE+13.01st
- Yards per attempt7.023rd
- TD–INT6–1
- Sack rate2.8%4th
Primary passer = most dropbacks over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among 33 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game). Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
Players to watch
Rashod Bateman leads the Ravens wide receivers with 88 receiving yards (34th of 85 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 18.9%. Derrick Henry has 212 rushing yards on 40 carries (2nd of 45 qualified running backs). CeeDee Lamb leads the Cowboys wide receivers with 197 receiving yards (6th of 85 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 27.9%. Javonte Williams has 71 rushing yards on 24 carries (33rd of 45 qualified running backs).
- Carries40
- Rush yards2122nd
- Yards per carry5.37th
- EPA per rush+0.2421st
- Rush success rate62.5%1st
- Targets / catches10 / 7
- Receiving yards8834th
- Target share18.9%43rd
- Yards per target8.836th
- EPA per target+0.47431st
- Targets / catches13 / 10
- Receiving yards988th
- Target share24.5%5th
- Yards per target7.518th
- EPA per target+0.46513th
- Carries24
- Rush yards7133rd
- Yards per carry3.040th
- EPA per rush−0.09820th
- Rush success rate45.8%11th
- Targets / catches17 / 13
- Receiving yards1976th
- Target share27.9%8th
- Yards per target11.618th
- EPA per target+0.9989th
- Targets / catches6 / 6
- Receiving yards4923rd
- Target share9.8%29th
- Yards per target8.214th
- EPA per target+1.0444th
Lead back = most carries and lead receivers = most targets over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Ravens | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateRavens offense vs Cowboys defense | 59.8%1st | 51.9%30th |
| Early-down success rateCowboys offense vs Ravens defense | 42.0%15th | 47.6%8th |
| Early-down EPA per playRavens offense vs Cowboys defense | +0.2463rd | +0.14129th |
| Early-down EPA per playCowboys offense vs Ravens defense | −0.1603rd | +0.1746th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRavens offense vs Cowboys defense | 41.2%14th | 70.8%32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCowboys offense vs Ravens defense | 44.0%21st | 68.2%1st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playRavens offense vs Cowboys defense | +0.2858th | +0.55630th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playCowboys offense vs Ravens defense | +0.32424th | +0.4155th |
| Red-zone TD rateRavens offense vs Cowboys defense | 66.7%13th | 75.0%22nd |
| Red-zone TD rateCowboys offense vs Ravens defense | 80.0%26th | 85.7%3rd |
| Red-zone success rateRavens offense vs Cowboys defense | 55.6%6th | 52.2%20th |
| Red-zone success rateCowboys offense vs Ravens defense | 56.2%28th | 42.1%18th |
On early downs the Ravens succeed on 59.8% of plays (1st) against a Cowboys defense that allows 51.9% (30th); on 3rd down they convert 41.2% (14th) against a defense allowing 70.8% (32nd). On early downs the Cowboys succeed on 47.6% of plays (8th) against a Ravens defense that allows 42.0% (15th); on 3rd down they convert 68.2% (1st) against a defense allowing 44.0% (21st). The Ravens score touchdowns on 66.7% of red-zone trips (13th). The Cowboys score touchdowns on 85.7% of red-zone trips (3rd).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Ravens | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jesse Minter | Brian Schottenheimer |
| Offensive coordinator | Declan Doyle | Klayton Adams |
| Defensive coordinator | Anthony Weaver | Christian Parker |
| Offense tendencies | Ravens | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.4% | −1.8%15th-highest | 8.0%1st-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.0% | 57.4%22nd-highest | 67.9%4th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.7% | 51.5%20th-highest | 64.3%3rd-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 58.4% | 53.9%22nd-highest | 69.8%3rd-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.2% | 5.2%16th-highest | 4.7%19th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 33.1 | 34.87th-slowest | 32.621st-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.3% | 23.0%2nd | 11.4%25th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 9.8%10th | 5.7%27th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 8.2%18th | 0.0%32nd |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.5% | 7.6%19th | 2.8%4th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 1.74%18th | 0.94%13th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 59.8 | 57.520th-most | 53.028th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 60.0% | 0 of 1 | — |
| Defense | Ravens | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.5% | 6.8%15th | 2.7%30th |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.3% | 11.8%9th | 16.4%20th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 10.3%20th | 5.5%7th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 11.9%25th | 8.9%12th |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 1.71%16th | 1.52%20th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 16.1% | 17.8%9th | 14.7%18th |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 16.1% | 12.1%4th | 12.5%6th |
The Ravens run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−1.8% pass rate over expected, 15th-highest), while the Cowboys sit at 8.0% (1st-highest). In neutral situations the Ravens take 34.8 seconds between snaps and the Cowboys 32.6, so the Cowboys play faster.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest. Coaching staff: Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Injury report
- Ronnie Stanley TOutToe
- Cobie Durant CBOutHamstring
- DeMarvion Overshown LBOutHamstring
Starters (and the primary passer) on the game's official injury report, as of the latest report captured before kickoff.
Travel and schedule
The Ravens have 7 days between games and the Cowboys 7. The Ravens travel about 4,808 miles, moving their body clock 1 hour ahead. The game is at a neutral site, Maracana Stadium.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Recent form and rest
RavensCowboysLast five results this season, oldest to newest. Against-the-spread and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2015: the Ravens won 2 and the Cowboys 1. In the most recent meeting (September 22, 2024), the Ravens won 28-25; the Ravens averaged +0.373 EPA per play; the Cowboys averaged +0.006 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Ravens 28, Cowboys 25 Ravens won | Ravens -1.5 Ravens covered | 47.5 over | Ravens +0.373 · Cowboys +0.006 |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Cowboys 17, Ravens 34 Ravens won | Ravens -8.5 Ravens covered | 46 over | Ravens +0.272 · Cowboys +0.032 |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Ravens 17, Cowboys 27 Cowboys won | Cowboys -7 Cowboys covered | 44.5 under | Ravens +0.128 · Cowboys +0.194 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the nflverse closing lines.
Closing line and line movement
Ravens -3 (-105)
Ravens -3.5 (-102)
Cowboys +127 42%
Cowboys +150 38%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Dig deeper
Teams
Baltimore Ravens
- Baltimore Ravens team stats
- Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (Oct 4)
- Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23 (Sep 13)
Dallas Cowboys
- Dallas Cowboys team stats
- Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (Oct 4)
- Washington Commanders 20, Dallas Cowboys 37 (Sep 20)
- Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 28 (Sep 13)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NFL games on September 27, 2026
- Los Angeles Chargers 16, Buffalo Bills 24 (Sep 27)
- Houston Texans 17, Indianapolis Colts 19 (Sep 27)
- Kansas City Chiefs 24, Miami Dolphins 10 (Sep 27)
- Tennessee Titans 7, New York Giants 12 (Sep 27)
- Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 30 (Sep 27)
- Seattle Seahawks 31, Washington Commanders 33 (Sep 27)
- Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 (Sep 27)
- Los Angeles Rams 26, Denver Broncos 30 (Sep 27)
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