Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Preview & Odds — November 1, 2026

Matchup preview

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Odds and line movement

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

• Ravens +3+101Caesars
• Bills -3-115Fanatics
• Over 54-109Caesars
• Under 54-108BetMGM
• Ravens+160ProphetX
• Bills-163Novig

G&W Line

Players to watch

Zay Flowers has 608 receiving yards for the Ravens (5th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 31.4%. Derrick Henry has 579 rushing yards on 147 carries (6th of 39 qualified running backs). Khalil Shakir has 280 receiving yards for the Bills (40th of 75 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 20.0%. James Cook has 627 rushing yards on 117 carries (3rd of 39 qualified running backs).

Ravens

RB · Derrick Henry

• Carries147
• Rush yards5796th
• Yards per carry3.923rd
• EPA per rush−0.13626th
• Rush success rate38.1%21st

WR · Zay Flowers

• Targets / catches53 / 40
• Receiving yards6085th
• Target share31.4%4th
• Yards per target11.53rd
• EPA per target+0.6148th

TE · Mark Andrews

• Targets / catches37 / 26
• Receiving yards20421st
• Target share18.7%10th
• Yards per target5.533rd
• EPA per target−0.07232nd

Bills

RB · James Cook

• Carries117
• Rush yards6273rd
• Yards per carry5.45th
• EPA per rush+0.0519th
• Rush success rate50.4%3rd

WR · Khalil Shakir

• Targets / catches32 / 22
• Receiving yards28040th
• Target share20.0%37th
• Yards per target8.827th
• EPA per target+0.31335th

TE · Dalton Kincaid

• Targets / catches29 / 23
• Receiving yards3158th
• Target share18.1%14th
• Yards per target10.91st
• EPA per target+0.33910th

Among players not listed out or doubtful on this game’s captured injury report, the featured back has the most carries and receivers the most targets over each team's last four games. This is a usage comparison, not a confirmed starting lineup. Stats are season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).

Success by situation

On early downs the Ravens succeed on 47.5% of plays (6th) against a Bills defense that allows 46.7% (29th); on 3rd down they convert 42.7% (10th) against a defense allowing 45.6% (27th). On early downs the Bills succeed on 47.6% of plays (4th) against a Ravens defense that allows 42.3% (11th); on 3rd down they convert 49.2% (4th) against a defense allowing 41.3% (18th). The Ravens score touchdowns on 62.5% of red-zone trips (14th). The Bills score touchdowns on 72.0% of red-zone trips (4th).

Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.

Coaching and tendencies

The Ravens run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−3.9% pass rate over expected, 24th-highest), while the Bills sit at −2.0% (17th-highest). In neutral situations the Ravens take 35.3 seconds between snaps and the Bills 32.1, so the Bills play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Ravens have gone for it 6 of 7 times and the Bills 3 of 3.

Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest.

EPA rank trend

Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 8 times since 2015: the Ravens won 4 and the Bills 4. In the most recent meeting (September 7, 2025), the Bills won 41-40; the Ravens averaged +0.386 EPA per play; the Bills averaged +0.235 EPA per play.

The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the closing lines.