Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants Final — September 27, 2026
Final score and result vs the closing line
Tennessee Titans 7, New York Giants 12
New York Giants won by 5.
- Against the closing spread (New York Giants -2.5): New York Giants covered.
- Combined score 19 vs the closing total of 37.5: Under.
- New York Giants closed at -140 on the moneyline (a 56% no-vig market-implied chance).
The pre-game matchup
The Titans (0-2) visited the Giants (1-1) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, September 27 at 1:00 PM ET in Week 3.
The Titans have the 17th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 25th-ranked defense. Meanwhile, the Giants have the 16th-ranked offense and the 31st-ranked defense. When the Titans have the ball, a 17th-ranked offense (−0.020 EPA per play) meets a 31st-ranked defense (+0.257 allowed); when the Giants have it, a 16th-ranked offense (+0.003) meets a 25th-ranked defense (+0.098 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Titans offense is at 44.0% (14th) and the Giants offense at 45.0% (11th). Through the air, the Titans average −0.056 EPA per dropback (25th) against a Giants pass defense ranked 31st; the Giants average +0.066 (17th) against a Titans pass defense ranked 26th. The Titans score 15.0 points per game (26th) and allow 23.5 (16th); the Giants score 17.0 (23rd) and allow 24.0 (18th).
Jaxson Dart has a 70.5% success rate (1st of 33 qualified quarterbacks) compared to Cam Ward's 46.2% (17th). Per dropback, Dart is at +0.550 EPA to Ward's −0.056, with 3 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions to Ward's 1 and 0.
The Titans are 0-2 and 1-1 against the spread; their last game was a 24-20 loss to the Eagles. The Giants are 1-1 and 1-1 against the spread; their last game was a 28-6 loss to the Rams.
The Giants closed as 2.5-point favorites at home against the Titans. The spread opened at Giants -3.5. The total closed at 37.5, down from 40.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Titans +117, Giants -140) prices the Titans at 44% and the Giants at 56%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Tale of the tape
Titans2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: play-by-play via the public NFL Lab tables (raw EPA, not opponent-adjusted).
Quarterback matchup
- Dropbacks63
- Success rate46.2%17th
- EPA per dropback−0.05625th
- Completion %61.5%24th
- CPOE+2.716th
- Yards per attempt6.227th
- TD–INT1–0
- Sack rate7.9%23rd
- Dropbacks38
- Success rate70.5%1st
- EPA per dropback+0.5503rd
- Completion %76.5%3rd
- CPOE+10.63rd
- Yards per attempt7.416th
- TD–INT3–0
- Sack rate5.3%11th
Primary passer = most dropbacks over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among 33 qualified quarterbacks (at least 14 dropbacks per team game). Success rate = share of dropbacks and designed runs that gain expected points.
Players to watch
Carnell Tate leads the Titans wide receivers with 65 receiving yards (59th of 85 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 24.4%. Tony Pollard has 99 rushing yards on 21 carries (23rd of 45 qualified running backs). Malik Nabers leads the Giants wide receivers with 70 receiving yards (54th of 85 qualified wide receivers) with a target share of 21.3%. Cam Skattebo has 117 rushing yards on 30 carries (18th of 45 qualified running backs).
- Carries21
- Rush yards9923rd
- Yards per carry4.711th
- EPA per rush−0.03116th
- Rush success rate42.9%16th
- Targets / catches11 / 7
- Receiving yards6559th
- Target share24.4%21st
- Yards per target5.961st
- EPA per target−0.29572nd
- Targets / catches7 / 6
- Receiving yards4125th
- Target share15.6%16th
- Yards per target5.925th
- EPA per target−0.12627th
- Carries30
- Rush yards11718th
- Yards per carry3.930th
- EPA per rush−0.09418th
- Rush success rate36.7%26th
- Targets / catches13 / 7
- Receiving yards7054th
- Target share21.3%32nd
- Yards per target5.465th
- EPA per target−0.16166th
- Targets / catches18 / 13
- Receiving yards1116th
- Target share29.5%2nd
- Yards per target6.223rd
- EPA per target+0.59211th
Lead back = most carries and lead receivers = most targets over each team's last four games. Season to date; ranks among qualified players at the position (6.25 carries, 3 targets for wide receivers or 2.5 for tight ends per team game).
Success by situation
| Situation | Titans | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTitans offense vs Giants defense | 40.5%22nd | 48.3%27th |
| Early-down success rateGiants offense vs Titans defense | 42.0%14th | 43.6%14th |
| Early-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Giants defense | −0.11425th | +0.14931st |
| Early-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Titans defense | +0.05121st | +0.04313th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTitans offense vs Giants defense | 40.0%17th | 68.4%31st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGiants offense vs Titans defense | 44.8%22nd | 50.0%6th |
| 3rd-down EPA per playTitans offense vs Giants defense | +0.17110th | +0.75931st |
| 3rd-down EPA per playGiants offense vs Titans defense | +0.02618th | −0.08720th |
| Red-zone TD rateTitans offense vs Giants defense | 60.0%18th | 100.0%31st |
| Red-zone TD rateGiants offense vs Titans defense | 71.4%18th | 66.7%13th |
| Red-zone success rateTitans offense vs Giants defense | 52.9%7th | 46.7%18th |
| Red-zone success rateGiants offense vs Titans defense | 55.6%26th | 50.0%8th |
On early downs the Titans succeed on 40.5% of plays (22nd) against a Giants defense that allows 48.3% (27th); on 3rd down they convert 40.0% (17th) against a defense allowing 68.4% (31st). On early downs the Giants succeed on 43.6% of plays (14th) against a Titans defense that allows 42.0% (14th); on 3rd down they convert 50.0% (6th) against a defense allowing 44.8% (22nd). The Titans score touchdowns on 60.0% of red-zone trips (18th). The Giants score touchdowns on 66.7% of red-zone trips (13th).
Each row pairs one offense with the defense it faces; for a defense the rank is how stingy it is (1st = allows the least). Ranks out of 32 teams, season to date before kickoff.
Coaching and tendencies
| Staff | Titans | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Robert Saleh | John Harbaugh |
| Offensive coordinator | Brian Daboll | Matt Nagy |
| Defensive coordinator | Gus Bradley | Dennard Wilson |
| Offense tendencies | Titans | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Pass rate over expecteddropbacks above what down, distance and score suggest · league −2.4% | −7.9%26th-highest | −5.0%21st-highest |
| Dropback rateshare of plays that are dropbacks · league 60.0% | 63.0%9th-highest | 55.8%25th-highest |
| Early-down dropback rate1st and 2nd down · league 54.7% | 58.1%10th-highest | 51.1%23rd-highest |
| Shotgun rateshare of snaps · league 58.4% | 63.0%12th-highest | 57.5%18th-highest |
| No-huddle rateshare of snaps · league 6.2% | 14.0%3rd-highest | 6.7%12th-highest |
| Seconds per snapneutral situations; lower is faster · league 33.1 | 31.128th-slowest | 35.72nd-slowest |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards)share of pass plays · league 15.3% | 8.6%30th | 15.9%15th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards)share of pass plays · league 8.6% | 6.9%22nd | 1.6%32nd |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards)share of designed runs · league 9.4% | 13.5%5th | 7.5%23rd |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback · league 6.5% | 7.9%22nd | 6.0%15th |
| Turnovers per playinterceptions and lost fumbles · league 1.85% | 0.00%1st | 1.67%17th |
| Plays per gameoffensive snaps · league 59.8 | 50.032nd-most | 60.013th-most |
| 4th-and-short go ratewent for it on 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30 · league 60.0% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Defense | Titans | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Sack rate generatedleague 6.5% | 4.4%26th | 1.5%31st |
| Explosive passes (15+ yards) allowedleague 15.3% | 18.5%26th | 16.4%19th |
| Explosive passes (20+ yards) allowedleague 8.6% | 12.3%27th | 7.5%12th |
| Explosive runs (10+ yards) allowedleague 9.4% | 4.8%3rd | 15.0%31st |
| Takeaways per playleague 1.85% | 1.52%20th | 2.78%8th |
| QB hits generatedper dropback · league 16.1% | 13.2%25th | 7.4%31st |
| QB hits allowedper dropback · league 16.1% | 14.3%9th | 19.4%25th |
The Titans run more often than down, distance and score would suggest (−7.9% pass rate over expected, 26th-highest), while the Giants sit at −5.0% (21st-highest). In neutral situations the Titans take 31.1 seconds between snaps and the Giants 35.7, so the Titans play faster. On 4th-and-2 or shorter beyond their own 30, the Titans have gone for it 1 of 1 times and the Giants 1 of 1.
Season to date before kickoff, from play-by-play (regular season). Ranks out of 32 teams; for style stats with no better or worse, rank 1 = highest. Coaching staff: Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Injury report
- Cordale Flott CBQuestionableQuadricep
- Deonte Banks CBQuestionableCalf
- Brian Burns LBQuestionableAnkle
- Tyler Nubin SQuestionableCalf
Starters (and the primary passer) on the game's official injury report, as of the latest report captured before kickoff.
Travel and schedule
The Titans have 7 days between games and the Giants 6. The Titans travel about 757 miles, moving their body clock 1 hour ahead.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home stadium; time-zone change is at kickoff. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Recent form and rest
TitansGiantsLast five results this season, oldest to newest. Against-the-spread and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
EPA rank trend
Season-to-date EPA per play rank after each week (offense: 1st = most efficient; defense: 1st = allows the least).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2015: the Titans won 1 and the Giants 1. In the most recent meeting (September 11, 2022), the Giants won 21-20; the Giants averaged +0.019 EPA per play; the Titans averaged +0.028 EPA per play.
| Date | Score | Spread | Total | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2022 | Giants 21, Titans 20 Giants won | Titans -5.5 Giants covered | 43.5 under | Giants +0.019 · Titans +0.028 |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Titans 17, Giants 0 Titans won | Titans -2.5 Titans covered | 42 under | Giants −0.257 · Titans +0.066 |
The last five meetings since 2015, most recent first. Spread and total are the nflverse closing lines.
Closing line and line movement
Titans +3.5 (-113)
Titans +2.5 (-108)
Giants -173 60%
Giants -140 56%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Dig deeper
Teams
Tennessee Titans
- Tennessee Titans team stats
- Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (Oct 4)
- Philadelphia Eagles 24, Tennessee Titans 20 (Sep 20)
New York Giants
- New York Giants team stats
- Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (Oct 4)
- New York Giants 6, Los Angeles Rams 28 (Sep 21)
- Dallas Cowboys 20, New York Giants 28 (Sep 13)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NFL games on September 27, 2026
- Los Angeles Chargers 16, Buffalo Bills 24 (Sep 27)
- Houston Texans 17, Indianapolis Colts 19 (Sep 27)
- Kansas City Chiefs 24, Miami Dolphins 10 (Sep 27)
- Cincinnati Bengals 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 30 (Sep 27)
- Seattle Seahawks 31, Washington Commanders 33 (Sep 27)
- Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 (Sep 27)
- Baltimore Ravens 34, Dallas Cowboys 31 (Sep 27)
- Los Angeles Rams 26, Denver Broncos 30 (Sep 27)
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